Dubber $DUB. A key to there being any value in this thing is whether the true gross margin = 65% as disclosed in accounts or 31% implied from the 4C. GM is always subjective - so large disparity at a minimum suggests a need for more questions.
1. Articore Group ($ATG) (formerly Redbubble $RBL) is another company where there is potential confusion between a strong cash balance and a strong balance sheet.
Headline cash of $87m is overshadowed by $92m in payables. The result is negative net current assets.
@david_katunaric I make no assumptions. Just observations and considerations of what if... . If revenue growth returns... stock will probably go up. If it doesn't ?
Disclaimer. I review balance sheets as part of a personal investment process. For education purposes I'm sharing this here - but please be aware this is NOT my full personal analysis and in no way constitutes a positive or negative view on the stock. ...
https://t.co/0LmDAdVi7V
4. $ATG This cash balance (whether $87m at Dec year end or the $41m at 31 Jan) is not available to shareholders. Best demonstrated by net interest income (=$0).
NB: $41m cash = 30% mkt cap β so can significantly distort valuations if incorrectly (IMO) included in EV calcs.
2. $ATG Negative working capital was a positive feature of the business whilst it grew. Sadly the COVID windfall was squandered and revenue is now in decline. Because of season vol in working capital β net current assets is a better way to monitor BS strength and CF performance.
Disclaimer. I review balance sheets as part of a personal investment process. For education purposes I'm sharing this here - but please be aware this is NOT my full personal analysis and in no way constitutes a positive or negative view on the stock. ... https://t.co/jecIHr7SeS
Prophecy International $PRO
A few thoughts on the Prophecy Balance sheet which at first glance appears exceptionally strong with net cash of ~$10m. But there are a few issues to consider.....
$PRO 5. Summary. None of this means PRO is financially stressed, but the BS does not have the optionality suggested by headline cash nos. Nor is it appropriate IMO to deduct cash from the mkt cap to calculate a cheap EV multiple given this cash is not surplus to requirements.
@OwenRask βYou can overintellectualize these Greek letters,β Pflug reflected, referring to the alphas, betas, and gammas in the option traderβs argot. βOne Greek word that ought to be in there is hubris.β When Genius Failed, Lowenstein.
Genuinely curious how a company that spends $8m pa on R&D and has a total wages bill circa $35m is valued at $11bn. $ALU takeout at $9b has >$150m wages...