The Big Ten isn't bad. It's beat up.
UCLA, Oregon and Ohio State have all lost their starting QB for the season, and conference scoring is down this year.
UCLA is still 9-0 and Oregon just won in Columbus with a backup. The SEC's window is right now.
@ESPN_BillC There are two kinds of fans this time of year: loss counters and schedule graders. Flip my model to loss counter and Texas Tech jumps to 6th and Boise to 12th. With everything weighted equally, they're 18th and 20th. Which one are you? https://t.co/4Dpi7Ikv6w lets you pick.
@RankAcct@CFBONFOX Love it. Two different models, same answer: Utah by 1, about a coin flip. That's not what a No. 2 team usually looks like in Week 11. What are you feeding yours? Mine is opponent-adjusted scoring margin plus home field. No preseason priors.
@LFTGCFB@Pypeline_ Two ranked teams my results-only model has losing Saturday:
LSU 27, No. 6 Texas 23
Oklahoma State 39, No. 12 Texas Tech 34
And No. 2 Utah at Arizona is basically a coin flip (56%). Built it here if you want to argue: https://t.co/4Dpi7IjXgY
@JoshPateCFB Upset alert from my results-only model: LSU 27, Texas 23 in Baton Rouge.
Texas is 6th in the CFP, LSU is 21st, but the model gives the Tigers a 64% chance at home. Anyone else see this coming?
@espn@PeteThamel Free weekly game: think like the committee.
Set the sliders the way you think they think, lock in before next Tuesday's rankings, and see how close you get. Leaderboard posts after the reveal.
https://t.co/4Dpi7IjXgY
@B1Gfootball@BigTenNetwork@bigten Think the committee got it wrong tonight? Prove it.
https://t.co/4Dpi7Ikv6w lets you build your own Top 25 from this season's results. No polls, no preseason. You decide how much wins, losses, schedule and margin matter.
Share yours below π
@BussinWTB UCLA: 9-0. Won at Oregon. Hasn't lost a game.
Alabama: 7-2.
Committee: Alabama 3, UCLA 4.
If going undefeated in the Big Ten doesn't get you ahead of a 2-loss team, what does? Answer: who you play. UCLA's schedule ranks 50th. Bama's ranks 2nd.
@CFBPlayoff Last week the committee had Indiana 4th. Results said 11th.
Tonight, after a bye: 9th.
Dropped 5 spots without playing. Looks like the committee finally noticed the 0 wins over ranked teams. Utah still gets the benefit of the doubt, though. π
@CFBPlayoff@UCLAFootball Notre Dame at 5? They beat then-No. 1 Miami, their only loss was by 4 on the road, and they're top 5 nationally on offense AND defense against their schedule. Both my results-only and committee-style formulas put them top 3.
Projected CFP Top 12 π
Built from my reverse-engineered committee formula. Only problem: their formula has Utah 7th and Indiana 11th, so I had to add the committee's Utah & Indiana bump by hand.
We'll see in a few minutes if they do it again.
@ESPN_BillC Love this. I reverse-engineered the committee's first top 25 and the best fit was wins, losses and schedule maxed out, defense mattering, offense almost zero. Run on this week's results, it lands Kentucky at exactly 10th too. Where we split: it has Notre Dame 2nd, not 4th-8th.