Top #NFL pick today: Los Angeles Rams -3.0 (5.3 value)
I've got 12 picks today. For every +25 Likes + RTs (combined) on this tweet, I'll drop the next pick in this thread (#2 → #12).
Free plays: 24-14. No unlock game last Sunday - on the previous Sunday we went 3-2 (before that 2-0, before that 3-0, before that 4-2).
Site (value ≥2.1) last sunday for NFL: 4-2. NFL model: 50-41 YTD (7.14% ROI) | Value ≥2.1: 22-10 (34.06% ROI).
Let’s cook. #NFL #GamblingTwitter
Top #NFL pick today: Detroit Lions -10.5 (3.0 value)
I’ve got 12 picks today. For every +20 Likes + RTs (combined) on this tweet, I’ll drop the next pick in this thread (#2 → #12).
Free plays run: 14–5 (last 2 NCAAF missed). NFL sundays: 2–0, 3–0, 4–2 the last three weeks.
NFL model: 35–27 YTD (10.08% ROI) | Value ≥2.1: 12–7 (23.16% ROI).
Let’s cook. #NFL
Top #NFL pick today: Atlanta Falcons -2.0 (5.2 value)
I’ve got 12 picks today. For every +15 RTs on this tweet (likes welcome but RTs only count), I’ll drop the next pick in this thread (#2 → #12).
Recent: 3–0 last week, 4–2 the week before, 12–3 free-plays run.
Let’s cook
Top #NFL pick today: Indianapolis Colts -5.0 (5.1 value)
I’ve got 13 picks today. For every +20 Likes + RTs on this tweet, I’ll drop the next pick in this thread (#2 → #13).
Let’s cook
Top #NFL play today: Buffalo Bills -6.0 (5.2 value)
Like = tailing
We've got 13 NFL plays today. For every +15 Likes + RTs on this tweet, we’ll drop the next pick in the thread.
Let’s run it up.
Critic Fans!!!!
You keep telling me you want it back.
I've been trying for years!
Well, now, creator Al Jean is on board!!!
If you want it back, we need your help!
Please like this post and spread the word! So we can show the studio, how many people want it!
Sports bet tracker spreadsheet. Fully customizable for your own bet types & model/strategy tags. You might find it useful for segmenting your bets and identifying key sources of profit and loss.
P.S. It's free 🫡
https://t.co/BjcEzJcYb2
For anyone out there battling in silence, you’re not alone.
We’re all in it together.
Lift someone up this week for no reason at all.
“I hope you win the war you tell no one about.”
If you have time over the holidays or winter break, I put together a coding tutorial on doing data manipulation and visualization in R using the new free public NFL coverage data, while also showing how to measure defensive coverage predictability
Video: https://t.co/2sRKZNiDIX
Yes, lots of people have podcasts and Substacks. Almost no one has the discipline to do what's required to write and record on a regular basis. For every successful Substacker you see, there are dozens who wrote 1-2 posts and gave up. 90% of podcasters don't get past episode 3.
Kind over nice.
Outcome over ego.
Velocity over speed.
Quality over quantity.
Effective over efficient.
Ability over experience.
Progress over perfection.
Consistency over intensity.
Competence over charisma.
Environment over willpower.
Correctness over consensus.
Long-term over the short-term.
The right way over the shortcut.
Avoiding stupidity over seeking brilliance.
Sometimes having a higher genetic risk for a psychiatric disorder can also be associated with positive outcomes 🧬🧠
The figure below shows shared genetic effects between psychiatric disorders and a range of behavioral traits (source: https://t.co/37RHhqch1r)
Don't mistake being present for showing up.
People who 'show up' want to win. They have a positive attitude, they don't talk for others, they work hard, they do their job, they're pleasant, and they look for opportunities to do more without being told.
People who are present check their phones every 15 minutes, watch the clock, and can't wait to leave. They're like that kid in school who stopped working when they knew they had a C.
Showing up consistently makes you an asset. Simply being present makes you a liability.