🏇The Longines World’s Best Racehorse Rankings need a rethink, starting with the name.
How long can you continue to call it a ranking of the best racehorses in the world when it doesn't actually represent that?
It's a ranking of individual performances or peaks, which in many cases are questionable themselves.
🌟 Leaving Autumn Glow outside the world’s top 30 is ridiculous. She is a level above plenty of horses on this list.
Let's take Deterministic as an example. This year’s Breeders’ Cup Mile wasn't particularly strong compared with past editions, which themselves haven’t consistently represented elite world-class form. Deterministic beat Notable Speech (equal 7th on the list), but he ran well below his best.
Lake Forest finished just 2L from Deterministic and 1.25L behind Notable Speech. He's rated no better in the past two years than when beating Tom Kitten by 0.6L in the 2024 Golden Eagle with Makarena 1.3L behind. Tom Kitten is a good horse but has and never will be in the same class as Autumn Glow, yet she cannot make this top 30?
In principle, the rankings appear too heavily driven by margins, collateral form and assumptions about how strong that must make an individual performance... rather than deeper rigorous analysis.
Experienced punters and analysts know how many false signals that type of simplistic approach can produce. Beating a highly rated horse doesn’t mean that horse ran anywhere near its rating.
🇦🇺 If these rankings carry global significance, who is making the Australian case and challenging the assessments with detailed analysis?
💡 A better approach would be to rank the world’s best horses over a rolling 12 months, considering their full body of work. That is where an international committee could add real value, debating the quality and consistency of performances across different racing jurisdictions.
At the moment, the work the committee seems to do focusing on peak performances using past handicap ratings and collateral form could be automated by a computer program.
Keep a separate list of the highest-rated individual performances by all means, and publish it as such. But if the title is “World’s Best Racehorse Rankings”, the list should be defensible on that basis taking into account everything we know about each horse, with a recency weighting.
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Umamusume has become a founding partner of the 2027 F1 Japanese Grand Prix, to be held at Suzuka Circuit!
Also, Suzuka Circuit's famous high-speed 130R corner will be renamed the "Umamusume 130R"!
Details:
https://t.co/8oh92xpJUp
#F1jp#Umamusume
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