Nearsighted Capital

bad eyesight

[Nearsighted Capital @nearsightedcap]

Hyperscalers have an opportunity do something really easy and beneficial for themselves

[Nearsighted Capital @nearsightedcap]

If SKHYNIX/SAMSUNG go in a 35% drawdown in < 2 days, there will be a Korean version of the movie Margin Call coming soon to a theater near you

[Nearsighted Capital @nearsightedcap]

Of course I capitulated at the top, rumor circulating amongst Semi procurement that one of the hyperscalars are considering pausing orders in early 2027

[Nearsighted Capital @nearsightedcap]

You win AI-perma bulls. Been a bear since 2023, finally throwing in the towel. Just closed up the rest of my AI semis shorts after witnessing this SpaceX ridiculousness. Lesson learned, just be a bull and make money.

[Nearsighted Capital @nearsightedcap]

Remember, on days like these you need to wait until 1 PM for the leveraged ETFs to rebalance. Look for max pain in semis between 12 and 1 pm EST

[Nearsighted Capital @nearsightedcap]

@SahilDhankhad @michaeljburry Not going to happen for obvious reasons, data residency laws being primary. But I do think the past few months of enterprise AI spend are overstated as companies like mine quickly built way too many deployments and are now only reconciling with out of control costs.

[Nearsighted Capital @nearsightedcap]

@michaeljburry As someone who works in FinOps at an enterprise SaaS company, the sentiment went from “Let’s build! Deploy more! Test test test.” to “Wait, we spent $3 million in one month on tokens and PTUs…?”

[Nearsighted Capital @nearsightedcap]

Before you ape into the AI semi/infra trade, just know that when sorting for 200 bn+ companies, in descending P/S ratio order, 14 of the top 20 are AI semi/infra companies. The trade is already extremely stretched, profits are being driven by temporary price gouging.

[Nearsighted Capital @nearsightedcap]

@MikeZaccardi Things you see at the beginning of bull markets /s

[Nearsighted Capital @nearsightedcap]

@KobeissiLetter @TheShortBear Art of The Deal

[Nearsighted Capital @nearsightedcap]

@Midnight_Captl @BarnieTaintpipe Just to add another POV. Executives and leadership will never admit it’s because of overhiring. Potential legal overhang, but more than anything it’s because then the blame shifts to leadership. Why admit you were wrong in your strategy and 5 year roadmap when you can blame AI.

[محمدباقر قالیباف | MB Ghalibaf @mb_ghalibaf]

مردم ما خواهان تنبیه کامل و پشیمان کنندهٔ متجاوزان هستند.
همهٔ مسئولین تا رسیدن به این هدف پشت سر رهبر و مردم خود محکم ایستاده اند.
هیچ مذاکره ای با آمریکا انجام نشده است. فیک نیوزها برای دستکاری بازارهای مالی و نفتی و فرار از باتلاقی است که امریکا و اسرائیل درآن گیر افتاده‌اند.

[Nearsighted Capital @nearsightedcap]

Trump blinked.

[Nearsighted Capital @nearsightedcap]

@BRICSinfo But I thought Trump said the war is complete?

[Nearsighted Capital @nearsightedcap]

Trump - “The Iran War is over!! For the 7th time, it’s really over this time!”

Iran - “Hold my beer”

[Nearsighted Capital @nearsightedcap]

@FinanceLancelot I thought the war was over, according to him 2 weeks ago? 🤣

[Nearsighted Capital @nearsightedcap]

I thought Jensen said they had 0% marketshare of China at GTC 3 days ago… Maybe it turns out they’ve already had billions of chips illegally exported? Nahhhh

[Nearsighted Capital @nearsightedcap]

@MichaelPBento My thinking is that markets have been very patient and expecting a "TACO" for the past two weeks, but now the runway is legitimately starting to look thin and so they are now beginning to price in the risk of escalation. Insiders/the market will sniff out the truth by Tue imo.

[Nearsighted Capital @nearsightedcap]

@MichaelPBento That being said, if good news comes out. Then yes, we will see a “yuge” bounce next week

[Nearsighted Capital @nearsightedcap]

@MichaelPBento The implications of an escalation this weekend has a huge impact on whether us oil prices will go parabolic because SPDR depletes this month. Russia/Ukraine is incomparable to this debacle