R10. Arcora gets the cleanest stalking setup and strongest execution support. Litzdeel looks well placed in a race that should reward stamina. Magnaspin gets his ideal economical run, even if the tape caps the upside.
R9. War Machine gets a beautifully clean stalking setup. Baraqiel maps into his best launch role. Tentyris, De Bergerac, Disneck, Geegees Mistruth and Wodeton all get strong straight track late run setups.
Autumn Stakes - looks to be a bit of speed in this with a few go forward runners, could set up for one getting a soft run behind the speed. Crocodile & Onavuitton look the best placed stalkers if the leaders overdo it, rated $7.5 & $10 respectively in my book
Big picture: on-pace and stalker roles with execution dominate this meeting. True backmarkers need elite handling or luck. The danger zone is leader dependent horses without guaranteed control, and grinders stuck in races that donโt stretch. Thatโs Caulfield today.
Iโve taken a look at Caulfield today, this is how i see it purely from a map and race fit angle. Rail out, on-pace friendly and not a lot of forgiveness for horses that need help. Iโm looking for runners where the role is achievable & lets them convert. A few really stand out. ๐งต
On the flip side, My Brothers Keeper is a clear fade for me. Wrong trip and wrong shape. Slane looks leader dependent in a race that wonโt hand him control. Bel Merci cops a brutal pressure setup. These are profiles getting actively suppressed today.