Neuronaut

Systematic #Crypto #Trader

[Neuronaut @neuronaut1357]

@AlfieJCarter Agents

[antirez @antirez]

I want to say a final thing about my Fable first reaction: I dedicated my life to programming and I'll use every innovation in the field, also to extract value and bring it to the local inference world, to Redis, and so forth. But:

[Velvet | SocialFAI @Velvet_Capital]

crypto during the last World Cup in Qatar 🕊️

[Rafał Zaorski @rafal_zaorski]

Każdy kto uważa, że USA przegrało z Iranem :) jest niespełna rozumu.
Nawet jeśłi w warstwie propagandowej ktoś uważa ze blokada Ormuzu szkodzi USA - to pośrednio tak ale o wiele bardziej Chinom i ich nowym potencjalnym sojusznikom z zatoki perskiej. Mrzonki o sprzedaży ropy bez USA szybko się skończyły.

Powiem więcej -> USA zbliża się do wygranej z Chinami. Widać to w odradzającej się warstwie biznesowej/ gospodarczej w USA - zanim jednak społeczeństwo to odczuje minie jeszcze sporo czasu.
USA jest samowystarczalne pod względem żywności
Samowystarczalne pod względem energii.
Zaczyna uniezależniać się pod względem surowców - metali ziem rzadkich.
Zaraz będzie więcej eksportować niż importować.
Dodatkowo w końcu używają swojego największego atutu Armii.
Żadna inna armia nie jest w stanie zablokować w odwecie USA np kanału panamskiego.

Ormuz to problem dla Państw Arabskich "kolaborujących surowcami" z Chinami patrząc z perspektywy Amerykanów.
USA ma ropę/gaz i to w nadmiarze i może dostarczyć każdemu :) po atrakcyjnej cenie. Arabowie pomimo, że ropę mają nie są w stanie sprzedać do Chin.

Rozpatruje tu kilku scenariuszy w tym kryzys w Chinach w najbliższym czasie poprzez uderzenie w Chiński eksport. Najnowsze dane świadczą że w tym zakresie zaczyna się sporo zmieniać.

Podsumowując - co z tego że możesz dużo produkować jak nie możesz tego sprzedać bo USA cię zablokują i jeszcze będąc jako Chiny uzależniony od surowców działania USA wpłyną na Twoje koszty.
Dodatkowo widać jak Chińskie alianse na przykładzie Iranu mogą być łatwo zablokowane przez USA.
Kolej na państwa afrykańskie ile im czasu zajmie zrozumienie, że jak USA wejdą do gry to Chiny nie wyślą swoich wojsk do obrony a systemy Chińskie czy Rosyjskie są słabe..

Cała ta bańka o strefie wpływów Chin może pęknąć w ciągu najbliższego czasu.

[Alex Veremeyenko @alex_verem]

I turned Naval Ravikant's mental models into AI prompts.

It's like having the AngelList founder rip apart your career and rebuild it from leverage and specific knowledge.

Here are the 13 prompts that transformed how I build wealth:

[Bob Kendall (The Kendall Report) @PortfolioXpert]

So here’s the issue you get influencers like this guy have a quarter million followers and they claim they don’t know why it is declining… it’s because they don’t understand basic mechanics of price discovery.

They don’t understand that the marginal buyers or the float determines price they think the onchain bitcoin is that is the price discovery

Well, it was once upon a time but now..

Once you can synthetically manufacture the supply, the asset is no longer scarce and once scarcity is gone, price becomes a derivatives game, not a supply-and-demand market.

This is exactly what has happened to Bitcoin.

This is the same structural break that occurred in gold, silver, oil, and eventually equities once they became derivatives-dominated.

The original premise that no longer exists

Bitcoin’s entire valuation logic was built on finite supply (21M) and inability to be rehypothecated.

That died the moment:
•Cash-settled futures
•Perpetual swaps
•Options
•ETFs
•Prime broker lending
•Wrapped BTC
•Total return swaps

were layered on top of the chain.

From that moment forward:

Bitcoin supply became theoretically infinite.

Not on-chain in price discovery.

The metric that explains the collapse

Synthetic Float Ratio (SFR)

Once you can synthetically manufacture the supply, the asset is no longer scarce — and once scarcity is gone, price becomes a derivatives game, not a supply-and-demand market.

That is exactly what has happened to Bitcoin.

This is the same structural break that occurred in gold, silver, oil, and eventually equities once they became derivatives-dominated.

Why Wall Street can now “trade against” Bitcoin

They do exactly what they’ve done in every commodity market:
1.Create unlimited paper BTC
2.Short into rallies
3.Force liquidations
4.Cover lower
5.Repeat

They are not “betting” — they are manufacturing inventory.

The same 1 BTC can now support:
•An ETF unit
•A futures contract
•A perpetual swap
•An options delta
•A broker loan
•A structured note

All at once.

That is six claims on one coin.

That is not a market.
That is a fractional reserve price system.

[Dr. Alex Wissner-Gross @alexwg]

https://t.co/WepvhzVpIV

[Max Crypto @MaxCrypto]

EVERYONE IS TALKING ABOUT HYPERLIQUID WHALE.

BUT VERY FEW ARE TALKING ABOUT THE FACT THAT $WLFI NUKED 30% EVEN BEFORE TRUMP'S 100% TARIFF ANNOUNCEMENT.

SOMEONE GOT THE NEWS IN ADVANCE AND LITERALLY DUMPED HIS ENTIRE STASH.

MAYBE WATCHING THE WLFI CHART WILL GIVE US A SIGNAL ON WHAT'S COMING NEXT.

[Aporia @0xaporia]

Trend-following strategies reveal a counterintuitive truth: systematic losing is the foundation of systematic winning. The losses aren't random failures; they're the necessary cost of maintaining positioning for asymmetric opportunities. When 65% of your trades fail, each loss becomes a payment for the right to remain positioned for the rare, explosive moves that generate all profits. This inverts our basic understanding of competence, where being wrong most of the time is actually evidence the system is working correctly.

Our psychological wiring rebels against this reality because frequent failure feels like incompetence. The brain interprets a string of losses as proof the strategy is broken, triggering the fatal urge to "fix" what's actually functioning as designed. This emotional response explains why most traders abandon profitable systems during inevitable drawdown periods: They choose the comfort of being right over the discomfort of being profitable.

[Ted @TedPillows]

The Yen carry trade is back.

And it could be bigger than the August 2024 crash.

The Bank of Japan (BOJ) announced today that it'll start selling $520 billion of its ETF holdings.

This immediately dumped the Nikkei 225 and other Japanese stock indices.

But this is just one part.

For decades, investors have borrowed cheap yen to buy assets like stocks, crypto, etc.

BOJ is now eyeing a rate hike in October due to inflation risks.

If a rate hike happens, investors will sell their global assets and convert them into yen to repay their debt.

This will bring massive short-term selling pressure, similar to August 2024.

As per one article, the yen carry trade size is nearly $14 trillion, which is 3.5x that of the crypto market.

Keep an eye on this.

[Neuronaut @neuronaut1357]

@mikefutia NANO

[Neuronaut @neuronaut1357]

@options_insight PROTOCOL

[conor | writing @conor_writer]

Discipline is a Superpower

[Neuronaut @neuronaut1357]

@luagaroz Email

[Neuronaut @neuronaut1357]

@coldemailchris Clay

[Kevin Henrikson @kevindegods]

Your 40s will destroy your happiness.

You'll work 60-hour weeks while your kids need money and your parents need care.

Ray Dalio calls this the "midlife squeeze" - and it breaks most people.

His leverage strategy that changes everything:

[Ian Nuttall @iannuttall]

Claude Code pro tip:

Create your own slash commands to start, update, end a dev session and log everything you did. Mine tracks:

- Todos complete
- File changes
- What worked/didn't
- What we learned
- Next steps

[Neuronaut @neuronaut1357]

@troyaitken_ System