Between 1790 & 1810, France emerged as the strongest continental power of Europe..(see map of its territories in 1810)
But France had a weak Navy compared to England..the importance of this difference was only realised in 1803 when France started building its Navy furiously
In this period while Britain kept getting defeated on land, but its superiority at seas ensured victory in far theatres such as in India and Africa..Command of seas & control of these territories gave British the economic muscle to continue fighting for almost 25 years when Napolean was eventually defeated at Waterloo in 1815
Lessons for an aspiring Great Power
1-Build Navy in time..it takes time to build..
2-Superiority in one domain alone is not sufficient
3-Military genius centred on one man is episodic..build systems to ensure military superiority
‘The deepest structural lesson of this period — and the one I have argued hardest for in the context of India’s own programmes — is that future strike arsenals split into two tiers, and neither works alone.
The first tier is attritable mass: cheap, producible, good-enough airframes whose only job is to be numerous. They soak up interceptors, stimulate sensors, drain magazines, impose cost. Losing one is an accounting entry, not a tragedy. The Shahed-136 is the archetype — crude, slow, loud, a financial auditor’s delight and strategically transformative because you can build it in the thousands and improve it every month.
The second tier is intelligent mass: networked, autonomy-capable, heavier-payload systems that exploit what the first tier creates. They carry the warheads that matter, a jet engine that speeds, the seekers that discriminate, the mesh links that let the package re-plan when the defence reacts.
The platforms that fit neither tier are dying in front of us — The medium-altitude long-endurance drone — the TB2, the Wing Loong, the slow hybrid that looked revolutionary over Karabakh in 2020 — proved indefensible over Ukraine the moment integrated defences recovered their composure. Same for the twenty plus MQ-9s lost in the Middle East skies in the last couple of years. The MALE UAV will not survive in contested space. Too expensive to throw away like the first tier, too weak and too few to fight like the second.
The two-tier arsenal — and the “death valley” where platforms too costly to lose and too weak to saturate are dying.’
Worth a read to understand what it will take to Command the Air in future
#Saturation warfare comes down to 5 numbers: fire channels, magazine depth, leakers, cost-per-effect, and time. All 5 are now moving in one direction & #IntelligentMass is the reason. My new piece on why 2026 is the year the race tips. #ComethTheSwarm
https://t.co/VA6uyPm0RD
AI that thinks in India's own languages.
IIT Bombay is proud to present BharatGen to the world: Open, multilingual AI for India's languages and people, at Bharat Innovates 2026 in Nice, France (14–16 June).
BharatGen is built at IIT Bombay's Department of Computer Science and Engineering, led by Prof. Ganesh Ramakrishnan, with Rishi Bal (CEO) and Dr. Maneesh Singh (VP, ML) with a consortium of 9 premier academic institutions. A team of 60+ researchers, engineers and linguists are building AI that includes all scheduled Indian languages, across text, speech and documents.
-> Param2, its foundational text model with reasoning, coding, and tool calling capabilities works across all 22 scheduled Indian languages
-> Shrutam2, for automatic multilingual speech recognition/ STT across Indian languages
-> Sooktam2, a text-to-speech models with zero-shot voice cloning across Indian languages
-> Patram, a document vision model built for understanding Indian-specific documentation
BharatGen powers services in governance, healthcare, education, insurance, finance, and cultural preservation.
A national effort backed by DST and the IndiaAI Mission, BharatGen is India's push for open, homegrown AI, built for 1.4 billion people.
For more information, visit https://t.co/bZul5Lr3yC
Bharat Innovates 2026 · 14 - 16 June · Nice, France
@BharatInnov2026@EduMinOfIndia
#BharatInnovates2026 #IITBombay #BharatGen #DeepTech
American arrogance towards India has been visible throughout this War
Whether it was attack on an unarmed Iranian Ship returning from India, multiple attacks on Commercial Ships that have already crossed Gulf of Hormuz or American response to Indian protests..they all point to dictum of ‘might is right’
In my opinion our response is not only about national power, it’s also about national culture..I am reminded of American attack on Chinese Embassy in Belgrade..at that point of time, China was the 7th largest economy of the World..it had a much inferior military..But Chinese firm response resulted in US official apology for this incident..
The fact is, it’s all about National Culture..leadership and resolve..
Worth a thought..
A deal for Ceasefire, opening of Straits of Hormuz & negotiations have been reached. US has tried to cut its losses even though it will have to suffer considerable loss of face
The weaknesses of US military industrial complex and political disunity in United States are two prominent lessons that emerge straightaway from this War.
Iranian dogged political resistance, resilience of its command & control infrastructure, its drone-missile campaign, Iranian use of control of Gulf of Hormuz as a bargaining chip, audacity of its decision to attack all Gulf States American bases as well as critical infrastructure to paralyse economic life ..are some of the lessons that emerge from Iranian side
I will be watchful of divisions that have developed within Gulf States with Saudi-Turkey-Qatar forming an axis while Jordan-UAE-Bahrain & Kuwait forming another.. India, Israel & Pakistan being other actors aligned clearly with one of the sides
Overall, I expect the Ceasefire to be an episodic affair. Both Israel and US will come back to finish the job, as soon as there is a political opportunity & US military industrial complex can churn out additional military equipment to make up the losses and build up reserves
As I said earlier about differences in negotiating positions of Iran & US that ‘negotiations have been meandering through this period due to large differences in negotiating positions of both countries’
Now Israel has taken upon itself to wake US from its indecisiveness..Israeli actions in Lebanon have precipitated an Iranian response, which couldn’t go unanswered..since non-response would have weakened Israeli deterrence posture
Israel knows well that Iran hasn’t been subdued adequately..but it also needs American support to ‘finish’ the job..Next few days will be eventful & I will be watching for following..
1-Whether these strikes lead to Iran attacking Saudi Arabia & Qatar
2-Whether US will join Israel to attack Iran again, will tacit approval of Saudi block..since UAE bloc is already on board
3-Whether Arab states themselves join the offensive..
Completely agree with this assessment. US has tried to cut its losses even though it will have to suffer considerable loss of face
The weaknesses of US military industrial complex and political disunity in United States are two prominent lessons that emerge straightaway
Though I expect the Ceasefire to be an episodic affair. Both Israel and US will come back to finish the job, as soon as there is a political opportunity & US military industrial complex can churn out additional military equipment to make up the losses and build up reserves
American arrogance towards India has been visible throughout this War
Whether it was attack on an unarmed Iranian Ship returning from India, multiple attacks on Commercial Ships that have already crossed Gulf of Hormuz or American response to Indian protests..they all point to dictum of ‘might is right’
In my opinion our response is not only about national power, it’s also about national culture..I am reminded of American attack on Chinese Embassy in Belgrade..at that point of time, China was the 7th largest economy of the World..it had a much inferior military..But Chinese firm response resulted in US official apology for this incident..
The fact is, it’s all about National Culture..leadership and resolve..
Worth a thought..
American arrogance towards India has been visible throughout this War
Whether it was attack on an unarmed Iranian Ship returning from India, multiple attacks on Commercial Ships that have already crossed Gulf of Hormuz or American response to Indian protests..they all point to dictum of ‘might is right’
In my opinion our response is not only about national power, it’s also about national culture..I am reminded of American attack on Chinese Embassy in Belgrade..at that point of time, China was the 7th largest economy of the World..it had a much inferior military..But Chinese firm response resulted in US official apology for this incident..
The fact is, it’s all about National Culture..leadership and resolve..
Worth a thought..
The man leading the effort is Bihar's Chief Secretary, Pratyay Amrit.
His track record is formidable.
He turned around a loss-making state corporation and helped electrify all 39,073 villages in Bihar ahead of schedule.
But infrastructure is easier than behaviour.
Absolutely delighted to hear that General Ghai will be the next Military Advisor in National Security Council Secretariat..
I am certain that National Security Conversations at NSCS will be richer, more meaningful & implementable in times to come..
Best wishes to @RgGhai Sir