@CryptoGirlNova That’s the issue
The question is who buys BTC now it’s a Tradfi asset
Mark Cuban and many OGs sold for fundamentals and aren’t coming back
Also saw 50% of the supply is underwater
No idea what the record is here
You hope Blackrock step in and save it
Brilliant from @nikshepsvn
I was going to write my thesis
But now I don’t need to this is pretty much how I see it
But extends to a few other projects like @nillion and @openservai
This screenshot might help from today in that these are all in profit or breakeven
bitcoin broke $70k and everyone’s calling the top. i don’t think that’s it — i think bitcoin’s just not the center anymore, and honestly that’s the bullish part. wrote a whole article on why, but here’s the tldr:
it lost two jobs this year. it used to be the market’s risk trade, and it used to be crypto’s money. AI took the first, the dollar took the second
AI capex this year is ~$700-830B, call it half the entire investment-grade bond market. bitcoin has no cash flow, it just soaks up loose risk capital — and the biggest capital vacuum in history is soaking it up first
the money part is what people are sleeping on. usdc passed tether, stablecoins settle ~$30T a year, the on-ramp now is just fiat → usdc → whatever you want. bitcoin isn’t in that path anymore, so it can keep falling and never catch a bid from onchain activity
meanwhile the onchain stuff is thriving — hyperliquid did more volume than coinbase last year, polymarket’s at $20B. real businesses now, none of their demand depends on bitcoin
and the part i find most interesting: crypto isn’t consolidating, it’s spreading out — tons of chains, a dollar layer underneath, agents moving money on their own. that needs something to tie it together. used to be bitcoin’s job, it’s open now, and near’s quietly positioning to be the layer that fills it
the full piece goes way deeper on all of this — the mining stuff, why quantum is fixable but AI isn’t, the privacy angle, where near fits. worth the read if this thread got you thinking
bitcoin breaking $70k isn’t crypto ending. i think it’s crypto growing up 👇
@CryptoGirlNova Sub 70K BTC but still some Alts being very strong WLD NEAR ZEC RENDER INJ NIL CC ICP PENDEL GRASS NOCK I excluded sub 20m MC coins that are doing really well like POD
So could this be the bear traps of bear traps because serious capital is allocating here?