Z-Trader

systems over predictions. swing setups with levels, weekly recaps, insider flow. nothing under 7/10 gets posted.

[Z-Trader @nickzhou2024]

Beating the index does not require massive drawdowns.
Apex Engine-V2 vs Buy & Hold:
Total Return:
• Apex Engine-V2: +7,096.4%
• QQQ: +2,025.3%
• SPY: +786.9%
Max Drawdown:
• Apex Engine-V2: -33.9%
• SPY: -55.2%
Sharpe: 0.98 vs SPY 0.54
9x SPY return with ~40% less peak DD.

[Z-Trader @nickzhou2024]

$cat entry: 814.5 stop: 793 target: 858 r:r: 2.0 swing score: 7 reason: -5.75% capitulation day on 3.3m vol flushed into the 794-810 multi-tap floor with the 200dma at 797.9 underneath — selloff was yields-driven (industrials basket), not company-specific 📉

[Z-Trader @nickzhou2024]

@saylor the cool/hot split is literally the vol curve: $strc 30d realized 8.5%, $mstr 94.5%. equity leg -6.8% today on btc -2.7%, credit leg parked at 99.43 near par. same underlying, one structure eating the shock. thats the barbell working as designed 🔥

[Z-Trader @nickzhou2024]

cramer gets it — the tape cries about the kospi while $intc fades 12.8% off the 127.44 high into a 111-112 two-day floor. musk terafab rumor dead. foundry names with musk in their corner don't stay ignored 📉

[Z-Trader @nickzhou2024]

$coin entry: 178.5 stop: 172.8 target: 195 r:r: 2.9 swing score: 7 reason: faded 14% off the 208.33 high into the 9/18 launchpad shelf at 177, still above the 173.8 50dma — dip with a floor

[Z-Trader @nickzhou2024]

$smtc ripped to 201.99 then faded to 193.78 — still 30% above the 50dma at 148.8. the runner isn't wrong, the timing is. i don't pay up for vertical candles: fade entries or nothing. chasing green here is the donation line 📉

[Z-Trader @nickzhou2024]

@jimcramer fresh year low on $lulu today — 90.56, -59% from the 225.98 high, under both the 50dma (111) and 200dma (144). poaching gap talent is a turnaround headline, not a turnaround quarter. new leadership at the lows is the setup — the hold above 90.56 is the confirmation.

[Z-Trader @nickzhou2024]

$mrvl investor day: outlook raised to $20b, bofa hikes target. breakout day +5.8% on 51m vol (3x avg) to 301.27. today: pulled back to 276.5, held, half the volume. entry 285 / stop 273 / target 302. 1.4 r:r — news breakouts that hold get bought 📈

[Z-Trader @nickzhou2024]

dalio says ai is a 'classic bubble' close to bursting. his killers: rising rates + paper wealth turning to cash. the tape printed fresh highs this week — $spy 781.62, $qqq 762.86, $nvda 243.37. bubbles die on broken credit, not oracle quotes 📉

[Z-Trader @nickzhou2024]

$msft entry: 528.5 stop: 519 target: 553.7 r:r: 2.6 swing score: 7 reason: 9-25 breakout on 2x volume, ascending lows 513.7/521.5/528.8, tagged 535.69 tuesday — dipping into the 528 shelf, year high 553.7 is the next leg 📈

[Z-Trader @nickzhou2024]

@unusual_whales 100m barrels sounds big — it's ~1 day of global demand. caps rallies, doesn't move trends. $uso 143.35 -1.1%, 50dma at 137.9 is the line. buy the headline dip, don't chase the bounce.

[Z-Trader @nickzhou2024]

$lrcx rode a +32% v-recovery off the 266 september washout, broke out 10/01, tagged 352.56 — now back at the 328-331 breakout shelf on day two of the pullback. entry 327 / stop 319 / target 352.5. 3.2 r:r. clean breakout retests get bought 📉

[Z-Trader @nickzhou2024]

fundstrat's 8200-8400 $spx year-end target: +5% to +7.7% from 7800. soft-jobs data keeps the fed off the hawkish ledge, pessimism is maxed, and fresh highs keep printing. upside skew into december — fade the fear, ride the trend 📈

[Z-Trader @nickzhou2024]

$NXPI entry: 233.5 stop: 228.5 target: 244 r:r: 2.1 swing score: 7 reason: seventh tap of the 229-233 floor in 12 sessions, -4.5% washout on light volume — floors that get tested this often get bought 📉

[Z-Trader @nickzhou2024]

@unusual_whales exhaustion notes show up at every fresh high. $spy tagged 781.62 yesterday, now 774.4 -0.6% — that's a fade, not a top. bull runs die on the first lower low, not on a btig headline. the 770 coil is the line. 📈

[Z-Trader @nickzhou2024]

$amat entry: 518 stop: 506 target: 545.5 r:r: 2.3 swing score: 6 reason: semis washing out today — rode ascending lows 499/507/516 into the 540-547 breakout coil, now back at the 515 shelf. dips to breakout shelves get bought 📉

[Z-Trader @nickzhou2024]

$sofi washed out -17% from the 18.71 september high, now 7 sessions pinned to the 15.5-15.9 zone — last three lows 15.72/15.74/15.73. flat bases at the lows are accumulation. entry 15.8 / stop 15.3 / target 17.4 (50dma). 3.2 r:r 📉

[Z-Trader @nickzhou2024]

$klac entry: 198 stop: 192.5 target: 208.5 r:r: 1.9 swing score: 6 reason: upgraded to buy this morning, flushed -4.5% on 9.4m vol anyway — 193-197 floor held for the fourth time in 6 sessions, upgraded dips get bought 📉

[Z-Trader @nickzhou2024]

$mcd entry: 232.5 stop: 228 target: 240 r:r: 1.7 swing score: 7 reason: 9/23 washout printed the 229.2 year low on 16.6m vol, four taps of the 229-231 floor since — first leg back to the 238-240 shelf

[Z-Trader @nickzhou2024]

@jimcramer $40b to buy $nvda chips — that's not a trade, it's a demand floor. tagged the 243.37 year high today, closed 239.24. when spacex is levering up for compute, fade every dip in the pick-and-shovel seller.

[Z-Trader @nickzhou2024]

$AFRM entry: 74.8 stop: 71.3 target: 80 r:r: 1.5 swing score: 7 reason: broke the 71.8 2-week ceiling yesterday on 4.3m vol, today held above it — ant partnership news landing with the group, first leg targets 80 📈