@ChrisWh08370492 However, i'm not sure about my take. If he was smart and/or maxxing his potential profits, he should at least sell some during the jury results, even at a loss. 🇫🇮 was dead quite early.
@ChrisWh08370492 Actually played the market perfectly imo. Had walls on several countries. Resulted to keeping some prices down while cementing 🇫🇮 on top. Could cashout for a big profit but didn't. My guess is he had 🇧🇬+ others covered on sportsbooks/exchanges. If not he is crazy or very rich lol
I know nobody gives a shit right now but it will be hilarious to see plenty of poor man's Bangarangas in Sing for Greece 2027..
#Eurovision#eurovisiongr
@khrebareaalne@ChrisWh08370492 As Chris said, it happens and it's okay. Your honesty is very much appreciated and refreshing to see in a community where no one ever loses..
@RemetSantos May be harsh with this but ofc it goes when you're pretty confident pre-contest and all season long that Finland's path to win is through the juries, and their actual chance to win tele is below 5%. As I said you will not hit every time but in the long run doubling down is value
🧵 Time to write down lessons learned for #Eurovision next year.
Feel free to share down below yours as well!
This year taught (or reminded) me the following:
1/ Most In-play trading/betting are dumb money or hedging. Be confident and PILE on what you think will happen.
@RemetSantos When scores are keep coming its not mainly about predicting anymore, but responding to what's actually happening. When J results were over, 🇫🇮 was nowhere near 25-30% as the market suggested on BF. The scenario of 🇫🇮 overlapping 🇧🇬 in tele while remaining above 🇮🇱 was next to 0%
@UTelega88106 Don't actually agree with the first one. Early betting can def be value. We might overrate how smart it is but still.
The tricky part is to be able to change your mind and not be anchored by your early positions. My season begun with backing 🇫🇷 outright and ended laying top-10
🇧🇬doesn’t fall into this category. Was overlooked for long but people loved the song eventually, staging/performance led to the landslide. When it got exposed outside the bubble it exploded immediately. I expect very good streaming success for 🇧🇬and endless partying in the summer
4. No amount of staging can elevate a mediocre song to a winning song. Yup, it's about you 🇦🇺. It’s a song contest. Buffled how I backed them this week after a long season of being very vocal and bullish against their chances. Lucky I sold some.
Want to give a shout out to @ChrisWh08370492. Consistently sharp with his predictions but most importantly with his insight.
Must admit he was one of those that pushed me in the 🇧🇬 hype train and luckily I was early enough to get 75 odds in the outright.
Follow him!
#Eurovision
@Barwineewindas Thanks a lot man! Appreciate your contribution to our community too!
Some distractions were in my feed this year, you were definitely not a part of it. Can't wait for next year!
Super excited with the results and overall journey!
🇧🇬 Superb winner, finally Eurovision is back to the Balkans! Perfect year for huge profit when a dark horse wins.
🇷🇴 I'm so happy for it. Betting aside, it was my favorite this year and was bullish about their upside
#Eurovision
#Eurovision Final Predictions:
Winner: 🇦🇺
Top-5 (random order): 🇫🇮🇧🇬🇮🇱🇬🇷
Rest of Top-10 (random order): 🇮🇹 🇫🇷🇷🇴🇲🇩🇩🇰
Last Place: 🇦🇹
Betting wishes:
Winner: 🇦🇺/🇧🇬/🇷🇴
Top 5-10/ Best Balkan: 🇷🇴🇧🇬
Top-10: 🇲🇩🇦🇱
Not Top-10: 🇸🇪🇫🇷
Not Top-15: 🇨🇾🇵🇱🇲🇹
Last Place: 🇧🇪
Good luck everyone!
#Eurovision Final Predictions:
Winner: 🇦🇺
Top-5 (random order): 🇫🇮🇧🇬🇮🇱🇬🇷
Rest of Top-10 (random order): 🇮🇹 🇫🇷🇷🇴🇲🇩🇩🇰
Last Place: 🇦🇹
Betting wishes:
Winner: 🇦🇺/🇧🇬/🇷🇴
Top 5-10/ Best Balkan: 🇷🇴🇧🇬
Top-10: 🇲🇩🇦🇱
Not Top-10: 🇸🇪🇫🇷
Not Top-15: 🇨🇾🇵🇱🇲🇹
Last Place: 🇧🇪
Good luck everyone!