Not a $MU problem, it’s investors problem.
When memory companies sell off, everyone dumps $MU first and hardest.
When memory rallies, the same crowd waits for $MU to "prove it."
Same company either way. Just a market that trusts it on the way down and doubts it on the way up.
10. November = first print with real Microsoft revenue.
February = first $400m+ quarter.
That’s when “bitcoin miner with promises” will become “AI cloud with $4bn ARR.” Consensus PT is ~$80. My thesis: it gets there by March.
Not financial advice
9. Fair — bears have a case:
• $25-30bn capex next year vs $7.6bn cash → a raise is coming
• 2 customers dominate the book
• Any Horizon slip = a lost quarter
• JPM is at Sell
None of that goes away. It will just get priced against actual revenue instead of promises.
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