It used to cost $0.50 cents a minute to make a long distance call.
Now it costs $0.09 cents a minute to spin up an on demand AI Avatar accessible across the world.
The future is coming fast.
There are moments in this app when I can clearly see the future. Today is one of those. I teach AI in higher education, students are using it to improve their lives. Each TV at a sports bar placeholder for AI. Not too far away these will be AI powered and that power is $iren
You’re standing on a giant rock spinning at roughly 1,000 mph, flying around the sun at about 66,000 mph, while staring at candles and trading “magic internet money.”
And somehow a single red or green candle can make or break our morning. 😂
Zoom out.
We’re alive. We’re here. We got another day with people we love, another chance to build something, laugh, pray, screw something up and fix it.
This whole thing is absolutely wild.
Enjoy the ride!
after a century of uninterrupted growth, for 15 years, between 2005 and 2020, America did not grow electrical generation. we completely forgot what it meant to grow industrial capacity. politicians constantly talked about "reindustrializing" and "bringing back high-paying blue collar jobs".
then AI actually did it. for the first time in 20 years we started reindustrializing America's heartland. creating a massive boom of skilled, high-paying blue collar labor. an enormous construction boom. a new industry emerged to finance the expansion of our aging grid. a grid that needed to grow anyway, if we were going to become a modern, highly electrified economy. and all of a sudden the tech companies and hyperscalers showed up with wads of cash, completely willing to pay for a massive grid expansion.
and all the politicians that talked so tough about "bringing back industry and blue collar jobs" panicked when the rubber hit the road. because the NIMBYists had become used to stagnation and freaked out when it came time to build a couple transmission lines. all that tough talk down the drain, because some boomers have AI anxiety and think a warehouse full of computers is unsightly next to a mattress warehouse and a vape shop. probably the most pathetic political episode I've ever witnessed.
the only question that really matters is: is it still possible to build anything at all in this country? or have we completely lost the political will?
I think a non-negligible component of the data center backlash comes from people having imagined that the internet was a weightless thing that lived in "the cloud"
They are now learning that the internet requires physical infrastructure, cooling, and power, and they are upset about it
If your AI infra position is down and you are hunting for what went wrong in your name, stop and look up. The whole street is red. That is the market sending you a message.
If you own $IREN, $CRWV, $NBIS, the semis, the memory names, any of it, and you spent today searching for the thing that broke in your stock, let me save you the search. It is not your stock. Look at the tape. The entire complex printed red on the same candle. Five, six, ten tickers, one move.
Here is the trap, and almost everyone falls in it. When your name drops, you go looking for a reason inside it. Did the commissioning slip. Is the guidance soft. Was it the dilution, the lockup, the one bad data point. And you will always find a story if you go looking. It will feel like the reason. It will be the wrong reason. Because the stock next to yours, with a completely different story, fell just as hard on the same day. When everything correlated moves together, the move is not coming from inside any one of them.
This is the difference between idiosyncratic risk and factor risk, and it is the difference that wrecks people in weeks like this. You cannot research your way out of a factor drawdown. You cannot fix cohort beta by dumping one name and rotating into another that is falling for the identical non-reason. The correlation is the message. It is telling you the risk on your screen right now is not yours, it is the whole space repricing at once.
So what is the actual job. It is not "why is my stock down," the cohort already answered that. It is one question: is my stock only riding the factor down, or is it also breaking on its own. Most quality AI infra is just riding it. Some names are genuinely fracturing, and commodity memory on peak-cycle earnings is the honest example, because a low multiple on peak earnings is a trap, not a discount. Separating the names merely caught in the selling from the names that are actually broken is the only work that pays this week. Everything else is noise dressed as analysis.
And then the part people forget in the red. The correlation breaks. It always does. The day the cohort selling exhausts, the names that were only riding the factor come back, and the ones that were actually broken do not. Dispersion returns, and your individual research starts mattering again. But not while everything trades as one. Right now the tape does not care about your specific story, so do not let your specific story talk you into selling a good asset into a factor low.
One line to keep. In a week like this, do not ask what is wrong with your stock. Ask whether the entire space is down. It is. That is not six problems, it is one, and it is not yours to fix stock by stock. Hold the good ones through the beta, cut the ones that are actually breaking, and wait for the correlation to break so your research can be an edge again.
I have been wrong on timing plenty, so trust the process over the prediction. But the frame is the frame: when the whole street is red at once, the risk is not in your house, it is in the weather.
This is one of the most magnificent athletic feats of all time. This nearly 51 year old ran 100 miles with 33,000ft of elevation gain in 21 hours. 99.99% of the players in the World Cup couldn’t cover this course in under 30 hours. 90%+ couldn’t even finish. 0 ESPN coverage. Wild
I don't care about watches. I don't care about cars. I don't care about mansions. I don't care about airplanes. I don't care about awards. I don't care about money in and of itself. Life is short and I only care about family, faith, freedom, and fun. That's it. Period, full stop.
Bitcoin is Freedom
I spent the last few weeks in my motherland, Vietnam. The country has transformed since my family escaped in 1978. It is more prosperous, energetic, and ambitious than the Vietnam I left behind. A young population, rising investment, and global aspiration have created extraordinary momentum.
And yet one thing remains clear. For many in Vietnam, the ultimate dream is still America. And if they cannot make it to America, they want to wear American brands, eat American food, listen to American music, and exude American confidence.
My trip to Vietnam reminded me of this, and the World Cup has made it visible on a global stage. America remains not only a country people admire, but a place people still want to reach, represent, and belong to.
The United States remains the land of the free, the Wild Wild West, and the home of the American Dream. Walmart and Waffle House. Boston and Austin. Silicon Valley and Wall Street. A country where people can still rise from welfare to extraordinary success through hard work, ingenuity, risk taking, and some luck.
My family experienced that promise directly. We arrived in America as refugees, sponsored by a Catholic church in Syracuse, New York. We received public assistance, food stamps, and free school lunches. My father worked three jobs. We lived frugally and dealt with poverty and racism. America was not easy, but it was open. It gave us a system where effort, education, entrepreneurship, and perseverance could compound.
This is America. The world still aspires to be like us.
What has made America successful over the last 250 years is not accidental. It is a principled Constitution, geographic scale, abundant resources, and a culture of liberty, capitalism, entrepreneurship, and reinvention. Other nations try to replicate the recipe, but often waver. Interventionism, bureaucracy, corruption, and ego get in the way.
Which brings me to Bitcoin.
Bitcoin is the United States of money. It aspires to do for money what the American Constitution aspired to do for government: create a system governed by transparent rules rather than the discretion of individuals. Built on a principled white paper, digitally enforced scarcity, and proof of work, Bitcoin is digital capital governed by code, energy, and consensus.
But beyond that, Bitcoin is hope.
It provides hope for those who have worked hard for their money and want to protect it from monetary inflation. It provides hope for those born in countries without reliable rule of law or economic freedoms. It provides hope for anyone seeking protection, opportunity, and a form of property that does not depend on geography, politics, or permission.
I was born in the year of America’s bicentennial. Fifty years later, the future of American dominance is being questioned. I have no question. The United States of America is the greatest country in the world.
My life is proof of what America makes possible. I left Vietnam as a refugee, grew up poor in America, built a career through education and hard work, and now have a wonderful wife and three children. That is the American Dream to me. It is not just wealth. It is freedom, family, opportunity, and the ability to determine your own future.
That is also why Bitcoin resonated with me. I found Bitcoin because it reflected the same principles that shaped my life: clear rules, individual sovereignty, property rights, resilience, open competition, and long-term conviction.
America gave my family freedom through a country. Bitcoin offers individuals monetary freedom through a network. One opened the door for me. The other opens a door for anyone, anywhere, to protect the fruits of their labor.
That is why Bitcoin is freedom.
When bitcoin is going up:
It’s going to a million
When bitcoin is going down:
It’s going to zero
Feels like the only asset class w/such extreme sentiment