New paper from me for @tradebetterapp
Spot crypto prices are shadows: lossy. The terrain underneath is the lossless information you need to trade.
Mapped 89.7 million one second ticks to create a 6 dimensional diffusion manifold. $BETTER regime detection. $BETTER yields. Vaults arriving light speed.
BETTER trades prediction markets, an asset class with a 24/7 catalyst pipeline; Fed prints, elections, sports, geopolitics and binary contracts that can't be liquidated.
While BTC printed its worst week since February prediction markets did this:
> Polymarket and Kalshi each set ATH crypto category volume ($176M and $108M).
> May closed at $28.4B for the prediction-market sector, A fourth consecutive monthly record.
That's the structural advantage. $BETTER vaults will trade on markets that don't rely on the macro state of crypto.
BETTER's market making strategies gate every bid before it's placed:
Eligible market, fresh order book and oracle, custom volatility regime model, a non-crossing price under cap, and positive EV after fill probability, adverse selection and fees.
> Miss one check and the trade is skipped
$BETTER vault users will inherit the same hard risk controls: drawdown limits, fractional Kelly sizing, and depth checks on EVERY position.
MESH is the privacy-first AI router: one OpenAI-compatible endpoint in front of 46+ models, a signed receipt on every call, and zero payload retention.
SERV is the reasoning layer adding structured, schema-forced, auditable reasoning that routes each step to the right model instead of burning frontier tokens on everything.
Soon you'll be able to switch SERV on as an optional layer over every model and agent already on MESH
What that unlocks:
> Reasoning that stays inside defined bounds instead of drifting
> Signed receipts for the privacy, structured auditable steps for the logic
> Frontier-grade results without frontier-grade token bills
MESH's verifiable privacy meets .@openservai's SERV reasoning. Coming soon.
Every "private AI" router asks for the same thing. Trust.
Trust us. We don't read your prompts.
Trust is not privacy. Moats aren't built on faith.
Today we ship the one you can verify instead. 🧵
https://t.co/m0HHNkfb6u
#PTPodcast Ep. 8 A $Better Solution
This week we sit down with @explosivesox of the @tradebetterapp to talk the Beta launch of their highly anticipated Vault!
Ary believes the Better Vault could be able to produce yields not seen in a Bear market until now.
How is Better making this possible?
What advances in tech has he brought to the system in the last few months?
And of course, how has $SERV propelled $Better forward?
If you are a $Better token holder, or a #PredictionMarket trader you won't want to scroll past this.
The $BETTER buy back and burn system, powered by every layer of the stack in the ecosystem.
Revenue flows get routed into market buys and immediately get burnt.
Currently Live:
> 2% buy/sell tax
> 2% Lite Mode fee
Coming:
> 20% vault performance fee
> B2B data + OpenRouter credit revenue
> vBETTER and later product arbitrage
Initiate the $BETTER flywheel.
> Polymarket backtests are fake.
There’s no reliable tick data. Most markets have almost no historical depth and zero order book visibility.
The $BETTER Quant Lab runs hundreds of variations of our base algorithm in live simulation testing, with:
> Real fees
> Slippage and tax adjustments
This ensures only live-proven & battle-tested strategies make it into our Vault models.
Predict $BETTER
Every LLM you ping logs your prompts. Every position you size, every market you skip, every edge you compute sitting in someone else's training set, you're edge is gone.
Private inference fixes this end to end: Encrypted prompts for traders, attested compute for agents and our own privacy stack with:
> ephemeral-key encryption
> hardware-attested enclaves
> client-only decrypt
Private AI infrastructure has been solved by BETTER
$300 million.
That's what Spread Networks paid in 2010 to lay fiber from Chicago to New York, just to shave 3 milliseconds off their trades.
In HFT, milliseconds are money.
Binary market alpha decays as other participants react. Latency = lost edge.
> BETTER (~1ms) → ~99% captured
> Hyperliquid HIP-4 (~1.5s) → 5-50%
> Polymarket REST (~5s) → ~0%
$BETTER gives users quant-grade HFT on prediction markets: Sub-1ms decision loops, no polling.
The vault enters its closed BETA for $BETTER holders shortly.
BETTER holders see the trade before you see the tweet.
Your news app: 30 seconds late.
Twitter: 10 seconds late.
Private Bots: 100ms late.
Our terminal sits next to the Polymarket CLOB. Tick to trade in 0.6ms.
@tradebetterapp's Pre-block edge of 1.5–5s.
See every move instantly with $BETTER