Nocturnal

#indies #jpvideogames

[Nocturnal @Noshten]

My estimates for retail software puts 2025 just below 2023 result of 22.18M

NSW: 12.54M (-8%)
NS2: 5.70M
PS5: 3.10M (-7%)
PS4: 0.55M (-50%)
OTH: 0.01M (-50%)
ALL: 21.90M

[Nocturnal @Noshten]

Famitsu 2025 Annual Report

HW - 49.3%+ YoY
Retail SW up - 21%+ YoY

https://t.co/TIC1s7COhW

[Nocturnal @Noshten]

@upbasepm Congrats on the new feature its great to have one place to collaborate

[Nocturnal @Noshten]

Japan Physical Sales W40 2025

1) [PS5] Ghost of Yotei - 120K
2) [NS] Super Mario Galaxy 1 + 2 - 48K
3) [NS] Final Fantasy Tactics - 41K
4) [NS2] Mario Kart World - 37K
5) [PS5] Final Fantasy Tactics - 24K

NS2 - 44K
PS5 - 27K
NS - 24K

Bonus:
[PS5] Digimon Story - 24K

[Nocturnal @Noshten]

Japan Physical Sales Prediction W40 2025

1) [PS5] Ghost of Yotei - 167K NEW
2) [NS] Super Mario Galaxy 1 + 2 - 71K NEW
3) [NS] Final Fantasy Tactics - 53K NEW
4) [PS5] Digimon Story: Time Stranger - 41K NEW
5) [PS5] Final Fantasy Tactics - 28K NEW

NS2 - 49K
NS - 25K
PS5 - 22K

[Nocturnal @Noshten]

Japan Physical Sales Prediction W40 2025

1) [PS5] Ghost of Yotei - 167K NEW
2) [NS] Super Mario Galaxy 1 + 2 - 71K NEW
3) [NS] Final Fantasy Tactics - 53K NEW
4) [PS5] Digimon Story: Time Stranger - 41K NEW
5) [PS5] Final Fantasy Tactics - 28K NEW

NS2 - 49K
NS - 25K
PS5 - 22K

[Nocturnal @Noshten]

Best physical launch for a SH game since Silent Hill 2 which sold 69K units

With digital we are likely talking either the best or second best launch in the Franchise in Japan

Silent Hill debuted with 103K units per Famitsu

Setting & game turned out to be a hit in JP

[Nocturnal @Noshten]

Japan Physical Sales W39 2025

1) [PS5] Silent Hill f - 57K NEW
2) [NS2] Mario Kart World - 35K
3) [PS5] EA Sports FC 26 - 11K NEW
4) [NS] Atelier Resleriana - 10K NEW
5) [NS] 9 R.I.P. Sequel - 10K NEW

NS2 - 44K
NS - 23K
PS5 - 17K

[Nocturnal @Noshten]

Hades 2 managed to top the Switch 2 eShop in Japan

On the Switch its #3 behind Mario Galaxy & FF Tactics

Japan will be one of the few markets where the game probably won't top the Switch eShop

Still it's a good performance as charts are revenue base and Hades 2 is much cheaper

[Nocturnal @Noshten]

The game is receiving free DLC
in December titled "The Sinister Broker Bazario's Schemes"

This will likely coincides with discounts on digital store fronts and more physical shipments in Japan for the busy holiday season

https://t.co/19oyha4uSF

[Nocturnal @Noshten]

Fantasy Life i has now surpassed 1.4 million World Wide

By the end of the year the game is likely going to hit 2 million with Japan representing around 700K+

Digital is leading by far as the game only received physical SKU in Japan where physical had shortages at launch

[Nocturnal @Noshten]

Fantasy Life i surpassed 1.2 million WW with a Switch SKU fully on the cart announced for August

Likely we are already looking at 500K in Japan with Switch making up over 400K units

https://t.co/wJIBvQzKZ5

[Nocturnal @Noshten]

New #1 on the Japanese eShops

Trails in the Sky First Chapter is now ahead of Grand Bazaar on both Switch & Switch 2

The physical shipment is sold out at a few retailers so digital sales for this title will be strong

We are looking at 100K launch across physical/digital

[Nocturnal @Noshten]

@Paarthurnaaxx There was a promotion around $100 off the PS5 in the past two weeks

[Nocturnal @Noshten]

Japan Physical Sales Prediction W37 2025

1) [NS2] Mario Kart World - 41K
2) [PS5] Borderlands 4 - 33K NEW
3) [NS] SoS: Grand Bazaar - 13K
4) [NS] Demon Slayer 2 - 12K
5) [NS2] Donkey Kong Bananza - 11K

NS2 - 49K
PS5 - 30K
NS - 22K

[Nocturnal @Noshten]

Japan Physical Sales W37 2025

1) [NS2] Mario Kart World - 38K
2) [PS5] Borderlands 4 - 13K NEW
3) [NS2] Donkey Kong Bananza - 10K
4) [NS] SoS: Grand Bazaar - 9K
5) [NS] Demon Slayer 2 - 7K

NS2 - 44K
PS5 - 22K
NS - 19K

[Nocturnal @Noshten]

Japan Physical Sales Prediction W37 2025

1) [NS2] Mario Kart World - 41K
2) [PS5] Borderlands 4 - 33K NEW
3) [NS] SoS: Grand Bazaar - 13K
4) [NS] Demon Slayer 2 - 12K
5) [NS2] Donkey Kong Bananza - 11K

NS2 - 49K
PS5 - 30K
NS - 22K

[Nocturnal @Noshten]

30+ hours into Silksong I'm still in Act 1

Now I found the Mist and I'm truly lost

Also don't have that many rosaries to my name & I haven't found Moorwing

[Nocturnal @Noshten]

The game is still topping the eShops:

Ahead of Bananza on the Switch 2 & New Horizon on the Switch

Releasing ahead of the fall with first digital discounts likely to happen in October/November at 20% off

[Nocturnal @Noshten]

Grand Bazaar has surpassed 500K shipped+digital WW

In Japan the game likely shipped around 200K

The physical shipment in Japan is already sold out at many retailers/online stores

On https://t.co/Or4g2txr69 it's 4.5 ⭐️

Great WoM means great legs should ship over 400K by EOY

[Nocturnal @Noshten]

Grand Bazaar with 65K sales performed pretty well compared to prior remakes in the franchise A Wonderful Life(41K) and Friends of Mineral Town(66K)

When accounting digital we are looking at the best launch for a remake so far for Marvelous

[Nocturnal @Noshten]

Overall Marvelous have had a good year thanks to Guardians of Azuma & Grand Bazaar which were both polished for both the Switch & Switch 2 while also being fully on the carts

Their major misstep is Daemon X Machina which lacked the same level of polish which hurt its WoM

[Nocturnal @Noshten]

I expect WW for the game to surpass 1M shipped+digital before March 2026

Should be easily the fastest selling remake in the franchise

[Nocturnal @Noshten]

8) Yoshi Mysterious Book - 215K+👁️/3K+👍
9) SMG & SMG2 - 215K+👁️/5K+👍
10) Pokemon ZA - 212K+👁️/3K+👍
11) Suika Planet - 190K+👁️/2K+👍
12) Age of Imprisonment - 170K+👁️/3K+👍
13) Metroid Prime 4 - 142K+👁️/2K+👍
14) Pokemon ZA - 135K+👁️/2K+👍
15) MT Fever - 120K+👁️/1K+👍

[Nocturnal @Noshten]

Nintendo JP Direct(09/12/25)

1) DQ VII Reimagined - 780K+👁️/11K+👍
2) Pokopia - 660K+👁️/14K+👍
3) Tomodachi Life - 455K+👁️/28K+👍
4) FE: Fortune's Weave - 330K+👁️/9K+👍
5) DQ I&II - 255K+👁️/2K+👍
6) Mega Man Collection - 225K+👁️/6K+👍
7) Danganronpa 2x2 - 215K++👁️/8K+👍