36 GB of real analytical data based on over 72 million Polymarket trades is available on GitHub and its absolutely free…
This is the largest public prediction market dataset I have ever found.
Here is how you can actually use it for trading on Polymarket, with a real example:
This tool allows you to create your own strategies based on real historical market data.
For example, u can analyze how typically prices behave right before the market resolves or right after it opens. You can also explore which market categories are more volatile than others, or find patterns in price movement that repeat over time.
Now lets imagine - u have already analyzed a huge number of trades using this tool and noticed a pattern. For example, in movie markets u discovered that they are less volatile and usually have a clear winner right from the start (with the highest % probability) - this is just a simple example.
And after that, you can use the second tool from GitHub - a working simulator built on this exact dataset. This simulator takes all past markets, analyzes their behaviour from open to close and applies your own strategy to them. As a result, it calculates the potential accuracy, pnl and risks as if u had actually made all these trades yourself.
So, you take your strategy - Always buy the most probable outcome at market open only in movie markets.
And the simulator tests this strategy across all existing past movie markets and gives u the success rate of this strategy. Based on that, you have a chance to decide whether its actually worth using.
This way, you can test hundreds of such strategies without risking any real money at all, see their average performance and choose the best one for yourself or for your trading bot.
If this post gets enough likes, I will run a real test of these two repos with proof and a detailed breakdown of how everything works.
Here are these two repositories:
1. 36 GB dataset (also read the research paper from the dev): https://t.co/4SsAr896Tb
2. The simulator: https://t.co/fmzzTgXAUl
so does anyone else occassionally get a random 2 seconds of perfect clarity where you fully realise and feel just how far downhill your life has gone and the fact that it's 2026 and not 2021 but then your brain immediately shuts down and corrects itself back to normal
watching keekihime vods but everytime keeki appears on the screen i bust a fat rope so its just me busting a nut continuously for the duration of the vod
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