@leon_heckmann@HorstJeanRecht@infornomics Interessant ist doch auch, dass Unternehmen, die jetzt fette Batterien in die Landschaften stellen, um quasi physisch zu hedgen, das Äquivalent zu volle Öltanker vor Singapur parken sind -- physisch long. Und bidirektionales Laden ist dann ein swap?!
@HorstJeanRecht@leon_heckmann@infornomics Also ich bin ja wirklich Laie, aber ich habe mich jetzt mal durch die Strompreise der vergangenen Jahre geklickt.
Haben die extremen Outlier der Preisschwankungen besonders stark zugenommen kürzlich?
FINALLY its here: the (searchable!) database of nearly 30,000 pages of Federal Reserve Board meeting minutes I got through FOIA. As I've already started to write about, they significantly rewrite Federal Reserve history.
https://t.co/3oPsqgAaAo
My wish for the next election is that poll trackers look like the one on the right 👉 not the left
This was yet another election where the polling showed it could easily go either way, but most of the charts just showed two nice clean lines, one leading and one trailing. Bad!
let‘s keep in mind germany: there are two main ways a govt can reduce debt — by replacing existing debt with new debt that costs less interest payments or by defaulting on that debt
This one felt quite personal. I've tried to keep the politics mostly out of explaining the row behind the debt brake.
I'm extremely curious how any future German government would fix these issues.
Are prediction markets rather an engine than a camera?
Kalshi and Polymarket — which were more or less illegal in the US until two months ago — „predicted“ a Trump-win for a while. How much of that was performative?