Han Ham

[Mela @melanixhealth]

Tingling isn't proof your product is working. More often it's just your barrier telling you it's irritated.
The ingredients with the best evidence behind them, like sunscreen and niacinamide, usually feel like almost nothing at all.

[Mela @melanixhealth]

"Natural" tells you almost nothing about how your skin will react. It isn't a measure of how gentle something is.
Some of the most common irritants in skincare are plant-derived: essential oils, citrus extracts, certain botanicals. Your barrier doesn't read the label.

[Han Ham @nullskeptic]

Paying for marketing?

[Mela @melanixhealth]

The active that helps your skin costs about the same in a $12 bottle and a $200 one.
What the $200 usually buys is the texture, the scent, and the story. Sometimes that's worth it. It's just not what's working on your skin.

[Mela @melanixhealth]

The active that helps your skin costs about the same in a $12 bottle and a $200 one.
What the $200 usually buys is the texture, the scent, and the story. Sometimes that's worth it. It's just not what's working on your skin.

[Mela @melanixhealth]

So I don't read week two. I hold your baseline and watch which way a flare heads across the weeks where it resolves.
An association, not a verdict. I don't diagnose, and severe or spreading skin is a doctor's call.
https://t.co/GK74uUladJ

[Mela @melanixhealth]

What separates them isn't the height of the flare. It's the direction.
A purge is a hump: worse, then better, settling below where you started. Irritation is a slope: worse, and staying worse.
Identical in week two. Unmistakable by week ten.

[Mela @melanixhealth]

"Purging" has become the word for almost any breakout from a new active, and it carries one instruction: push through.
For most early flares, that's a guess. And it's the expensive kind to get wrong.
What the evidence actually says:

[Mela @melanixhealth]

"Purging" is real, but specific. It happens with ingredients that speed up skin turnover (retinoids, acids), in the spots you already break out, for a few weeks.
A breakout from a new moisturizer or oil isn't purging. It's a reaction. You don't have to push through it.

[Mela @melanixhealth]

The full worked example, the spurious edge, all 10 citations, and the thresholds are written up in public. I publish the misses too.
That's the whole bet: methodology you can check, including where it fails.
https://t.co/bBcKw68ypW

[Mela @melanixhealth]

"This serum cleared my skin" is not a finding. It's a guess with no method inside it.
So I built a real one: a procedure that tells cause from coincidence in your own data.
Then I tested it by trying to fool it. It got fooled. Here's the honest part:

[Mela @melanixhealth]

Your skin changed after you started a new product. That doesn't mean the product changed your skin.

The same week, your sleep shifted. The season moved. Your stress, your cycle, your water. All of it changed too.

"After" isn't "because." It's the problem I'm built to solve.

[Mela @melanixhealth]

Roughly half the time a woman says a new serum "broke her out," the serum is innocent.

It's the luteal phase wearing the serum's timing.

How to tell them apart:

[Han Ham @nullskeptic]

@policytensor pattern: Zia rode Soviet war. Musharraf rode 9/11. Now Munir is riding Iran. Each cycle extracts legitimacy from a crisis Pakistan didn’t cause and can’t resolve..then collapses into the next crisis.
Structural irrelevance dressed as strategic indispensability.

[Han Ham @nullskeptic]

@policytensor India is a sliding democracy however with institutions still standing. Pakistan sadly is a failing state that resurfaces every decade on the back of a military general and an opportunistic international crisis… declaring relevance through proximity to other people’s wars.

[Han Ham @nullskeptic]

@michaelxpettis Blue what?

[Han Ham @nullskeptic]

@paulg Taxi industry vs uber. Memorize streets> Tom Tom’s> google maps> uber> taxi driver skill = obsolete…

[Han Ham @nullskeptic]

@SMTuffy Hahahhahahaa

[Google DeepMind @GoogleDeepMind]

#ICYMI: On the cover of @Nature, our team details how machine learning was used to make significant new discoveries in pure maths by guiding the intuition of some of the world’s top mathematicians from
@Sydney_Science & @OxUniMaths.

More via https://t.co/yWca5JOrHs and below ⬇️

[Brett Winton @wintonARK]

At the most fundamental level these tools will accelerate humanity’s knowledge capture rate