Alex Gogl

überexponentiell • building oddlynew, the home for all knowledge work 🤝

[Alex Gogl @oddlyalex]

6 month prediction (knowledge work):

1. The capability overhang of models will not be an overhang anymore, at which point people will say AGI is here.

2. No matter your industry, you'll be incentivized/forced to use AI - you can't compete otherwise.

3. Companies that can profitably grow their token consumption will quickly out-compete all others.

4. The equivalent of all non-frontier human output won't actually need that much compute.

5. Very big questions will come up we'll have to answer fast.

[Alex Gogl @oddlyalex]

@tszzl @HumanHarlan working on it as hard as i can

[Alex Gogl @oddlyalex]

@jasoncrawford The impact of AI will soon be visceral https://t.co/w6oAiFlS76

[Alex Gogl @oddlyalex]

6 month prediction (knowledge work):

1. The capability overhang of models will not be an overhang anymore, at which point people will say AGI is here.

2. No matter your industry, you'll be incentivized/forced to use AI - you can't compete otherwise.

3. Companies that can profitably grow their token consumption will quickly out-compete all others.

4. The equivalent of all non-frontier human output won't actually need that much compute.

5. Very big questions will come up we'll have to answer fast.

[Alex Gogl @oddlyalex]

Been testing with influencer friends the last couple days and they were like: "This is amazing, but kinda weird", to which I responded "well that's why we call it oddlynew". Entirely new way of working, generalizes to any type of knowledge work

[Alex Gogl @oddlyalex]

The output of agents exceeds anything humans can feasibly process, the topology of information then becomes very important - we're very good at spatial understanding!

[Daniel Lockyer @DanielLockyer]

If you don't push to production because it's Friday, you are scared of your deploy process and need to fix that

[Alex Gogl @oddlyalex]

Topology of Information will have a huge renaissance

[Alex Gogl @oddlyalex]

Markdoc is criminally underrated

[Paul Graham @paulg]

A startup doesn't have to be your life's work, but if it is, you become much harder to defeat. You play the long game and you outlast everyone. Because practically everyone else is an opportunist by comparison.

[Alex Gogl @oddlyalex]

Google’s motto “don’t be evil” was prescient at the time

[Celeste @celestepoasts]

I think you should probably take seriously that the people who predicted all this will continue to be right

[Alex Gogl @oddlyalex]

It’s going to be sooooo obvious in hindsight that chat was a good interface for AI, but a terrible place for its work to live

[Alex Gogl @oddlyalex]

@tenobrus We need an equilibrium and that very fast

[Alex Gogl @oddlyalex]

AGI will start in like 2 weeks

[Alex Gogl @oddlyalex]

@JustJake Any other company will get crushed unfortunately, we need a path for these to thrive too though

[Alex Gogl @oddlyalex]

Oddlynew is like sharing skills but weirder

[Alex Gogl @oddlyalex]

Sometimes you gotta have conviction and just build, for as long as it takes!

[Alex Gogl @oddlyalex]

OAuth is one of my favorite pieces of tech ever