Oddly Likely

Turning sports data, odds and public sentiment into clear, engaging insights that reveal the story behind the market

[Oddly Likely @oddlylikely]

Isco scored the winner the last time Real Betis beat Real Madrid, the club that released him. Madrid have not won in Seville since 2021. Is this La Liga football trip really the routine one? #RealMadrid #Betis
#LaLiga #RealBetis #Football

[Oddly Likely @oddlylikely]

VfL Osnabrück once knocked FC Bayern Munich out of the German cup, and they have printed a one-off shirt of that night. Now Bayern come to the Bremer Brücke in the DFB-Pokal first round. Is everyone sleeping on Osnabrück? #DFBPokal #FCBayern #Osnabrueck #Bayern #Fussball

[Oddly Likely @oddlylikely]

Tottenham Hotspur got taken apart 3-0 a week ago, finished 17th last season and won three home games all year. Newcastle United have won five of the last six meetings. The Premier League market still has Spurs ahead. Which of these two wins? #TOTNEW #THFC #NUFC #PremierLeague

[Oddly Likely @oddlylikely]

Crystal Palace v Man City, Premier League football at Selhurst Park. Everyone remembers Palace winning the FA Cup final against them. Nobody mentions the two league meetings since. Does that Wembley night tell you anything about Friday?
#ManCity #CrystalPalace #PremierLeague

[Oddly Likely @oddlylikely]

Philadelphia Union host Messi's Inter Miami in the MLS rematch — and Philly scored FOUR on them in May. Market has it near-even at 2.30 v 2.45. Who wins at Subaru Park? #Messi #InterMiami #MLS #PhiladelphiaUnion #InterMiamiCF

[Oddly Likely @oddlylikely]

The whole tennis world is treating Iga Swiatek vs Diane Parry as a formality, but Parry has bounced a reigning champion from her own tournament before. Is everyone sleeping on her in this WTA Cincinnati fourth round? #CincinnatiOpen #IgaSwiatek #DianeParry #WTA #Tennis

[Oddly Likely @oddlylikely]

Iga Swiatek is a massive favourite over Diane Parry at the Cincinnati Open, but Parry has pulled off shocks like this before. Is the world right to write her off in this WTA fourth round? #CincinnatiOpen #IgaSwiatek #DianeParry #WTA #Tennis

[Oddly Likely @oddlylikely]

Fenerbahce host Lyon in the Champions League playoff first leg in Istanbul as home favourites. But is the crowd backing the wrong side in this one? #Fenerbahce #Lyon #ChampionsLeague #Mourinho #Football

[Oddly Likely @oddlylikely]

Neymar's Santos are the outsiders away at Vasco da Gama in the Brasileirao, both sides scrapping near the drop. Does Neymar tip a game between two strugglers? #Neymar #Santos #Vasco #Brasileirao

[Oddly Likely @oddlylikely]

Arsenal are champions. Man City beat them home AND away last season. Yet City are the Community Shield underdogs. Value, or a trap? #Arsenal #ManCity #CommunityShield

[Oddly Likely @oddlylikely]

Nashville lead the East and already knocked Messi's Inter Miami out of the Champions Cup. Now they meet again — who's really the value at home? #InterMiami #Messi #NashvilleSC #MLS

[Oddly Likely @oddlylikely]

Ian Garry just beat a former champion and he's the biggest man Makhachev has faced at 170. Is he the most slept-on fighter at UFC 330? #UFC330 #Makhachev #Garry #MMA #UFC

[Oddly Likely @oddlylikely]

Ian Garry just beat a former champion, and UFC 330 has him near 3.7 to shock Islam Makhachev. Gift or trap? #UFC330 #Makhachev #Garry #MMA #UFC

[Oddly Likely @oddlylikely]

Al-Nassr open their Saudi Pro League title defence against Al-Fateh on opening night. The champions are runaway favourites, but the underdog already has a receipt from last season. Who wins the rematch? #AlNassr #AlFateh #Ronaldo #SaudiProLeague #Football

[Oddly Likely @oddlylikely]

Sri Lanka host India in the first Test at Galle, and everyone's backing the tourists again. But is this really the same India that built that Galle streak? Who takes the opener in cricket? #INDvSL #TeamIndia #Cricket

[Oddly Likely @oddlylikely]

Leylah Fernandez just crushed the French Open champ 6-1, 6-4 — but the market still has her at 3.25 against Naomi Osaka in Toronto. Osaka: no title in ~5 years, 7-7 in finals. Is the crowd overpaying the name? #tennis #Osaka #Fernandez #WTA #NationalBankOpen

[Oddly Likely @oddlylikely]

Botafogo are the home favourite for the Rio derby, but Fluminense have won the last three Classico Vovo meetings and sit higher in the Brasileirao. Who actually deserves to be favourite in this one? #Brasileirao #Botafogo #Fluminense #ClassicoVovo #Futebol

[Oddly Likely @oddlylikely]

Monterrey have never lost to Messi's Inter Miami, and knocked them out of this competition last year. Now they meet again in the Leagues Cup, MLS vs Liga MX, with Monterrey ranked the long shot. Who wins? #LeaguesCup #InterMiami #Monterrey #Messi #MLS

[Oddly Likely @oddlylikely]

Monterrey have never lost to Messi's Inter Miami, and knocked them out of this competition last year. Now they meet again in the Leagues Cup, MLS vs Liga MX, with Miami the home favourite. Who wins? #LeaguesCup #InterMiami #Monterrey #Messi #MLS

[Oddly Likely @oddlylikely]

The Indiana Fever beat the Las Vegas Aces twice in Vegas this WNBA season, both by big margins, and then hosted the rematch. A'ja Wilson and the Aces were the pick. The market called it a coin flip. #IndianaFever #LasVegasAces #WNBA #AjaWilson #Fever