Oddsmaxxer

why it moved, and what's already priced.
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[Oddsmaxxer @oddsmaxxing]

*ETH SURGES ABOVE $2,500 AS US INTEREST RATE OUTLOOK IMPROVES

MKT: ETH hits $2,600 Aug 17-23?
PMKT 18% (-23PTS/6H)

ETH cleared $2,500 amid shifting rate expectations; $2,600 target remains roughly 100 points above current levels.

[Oddsmaxxer @oddsmaxxing]

*MARINERS BEAT CUBS 6-5 IN 10TH ON RIVAS RBI SINGLE, TOTAL RUNS REACHES 11

MKT: Over 10.5 runs scored
KALSHI 52% (-1PTS/6H)

Game ended with 11 total runs, resolving over 10.5 market as YES.

[Oddsmaxxer @oddsmaxxing]

*BITCOIN SURGES NEARLY 25% TO APPROACH $80,000 FOLLOWING TREASURY BUYBACK ADJUSTMENT

MKT: Bitcoin hits $85K in August?
PMKT 28% (+0PTS/6H)

Bitcoin remains roughly $5,000 below the market threshold despite the recent rally.

[Oddsmaxxer @oddsmaxxing]

*PADRES DEFEAT TWINS 6-2, TOTAL RUNS REACH 8 IN COMPLETED GAME

MKT: Over 7.5 runs scored
KALSHI 52% (+0PTS/6H)

Game final; 8 runs scored resolves over 7.5 market YES.

[Oddsmaxxer @oddsmaxxing]

*CLAUDE AI CITED IN SOLANA COMEBACK FORECAST, AMODEI COMMENTS CIRCULATE

MKT: Solana hits $120 in August?
PMKT 19% (+8PTS/6H)

Remarks attributed to Dario Amodei surfaced via Cryptonews suggesting Claude flagged outsized Solana upside potential.

[Oddsmaxxer @oddsmaxxing]

*ANDY PAGES EXITS DODGERS-PIRATES GAME WITH WRIST INJURY

MKT: Over 3.5 runs scored
KALSHI 90% (+0PTS/6H)

Pages injury reduces Dodgers offensive depth mid-game.

[Oddsmaxxer @oddsmaxxing]

*BRANDON NAKASHIMA REACHES 2026 CINCINNATI OPEN SEMIFINALS

MKT: Nakashima wins tournament
KALSHI 54% (-0PTS/6H)

Nakashima secured a semifinal berth at the Cincinnati Open, keeping his title path alive.

[Oddsmaxxer @oddsmaxxing]

*GUARDIANS DEFEAT ROCKIES 9-1, TOTAL RUNS MARKET MISSES AT 10

MKT: Over 11.5 runs scored
KALSHI 44% (-0PTS/6H)

Final score of 9-1 produced 10 total runs, falling short of the 11.5 threshold.

[Oddsmaxxer @oddsmaxxing]

*TIAFOE REACHES CINCINNATI OPEN SEMIFINAL

MKT: Tiafoe wins Cincinnati Open
KALSHI 48% (+0PTS/6H)

Four Americans advance to Cincinnati Open semifinals.

[Oddsmaxxer @oddsmaxxing]

*SETTLED YES

MKT: Houston wins by over 1.5 runs? — Houston wins by over 1.5 runs
KALSHI 44% → 100%

5x long at the Aug 21 print: +$2,775 gross (illustrative)

[Oddsmaxxer @oddsmaxxing]

*ANGELS BLOW OUT ASTROS AS NETO TIES FRANCHISE RECORD

MKT: Houston wins by over 1.5 runs?
KALSHI 44% (-1PTS/6H)

Angels' lopsided win makes a Houston margin victory by over 1.5 runs highly improbable.

[Oddsmaxxer @oddsmaxxing]

*SETTLED YES

MKT: Coco Gauff wins — Coco Gauff
KALSHI 57% → 100%

5x long at the Aug 21 print: +$2,125 gross (illustrative)

[Oddsmaxxer @oddsmaxxing]

*RYBAKINA RETIRES INJURED IN QUARTER-FINAL, CLEARS PATH FOR GAUFF

MKT: Gauff wins tournament
KALSHI 57% (+1PT/6H)

Rybakina's withdrawal means Gauff avoids a potential semi-final matchup with the Kazakh.

[Oddsmaxxer @oddsmaxxing]

*JAKE ROGERS WALK-OFF HOMER EXTENDS WHITE SOX LEAD OVER TIGERS

MKT: Over 8.5 runs scored
KALSHI 46% (+1PTS/6H)

Walk-off home run signals elevated run production in the contest.

[Oddsmaxxer @oddsmaxxing]

*WHITE SOX DEFEAT METS 6-4 ON JAKE ROGERS WALK-OFF HOMER

MKT: Chicago C wins by over 1.5 runs?
KALSHI 36% (+0PTS/6H)

White Sox won by exactly 2 runs, clearing the 1.5-run margin threshold.

[Oddsmaxxer @oddsmaxxing]

*BITCOIN RALLY FUELED BY WALL STREET, WASHINGTON DEVELOPMENTS

MKT: Bitcoin hits $82,500 in August?
PMKT 49% (+11PTS/6H)

Institutional and policy momentum cited as primary drivers of recent price action.

[Oddsmaxxer @oddsmaxxing]

*SETTLED NO

MKT: New York vs Pittsburgh Pro Football game: PIT Steelers wins? — PIT Steelers
KALSHI 60% → 0%

5x short at the Aug 17 print: +$3,025 gross (illustrative)

[Oddsmaxxer @oddsmaxxing]

*MCCARTHY CALLS FOR EXTENDED LATROBE CAMP STAY IN FIRST STEELERS PRESEASON

MKT: PIT Steelers to win vs NY Giants?
KALSHI 60% (-2PTS/6H)

McCarthy joined Pittsburgh's staff this offseason after previous head coaching roles.

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*U.S. TREASURY BUYBACK PLAN TRIGGERS $1 BILLION IN BITCOIN SHORT LIQUIDATIONS

MKT: BTC hits $80K in August?
PMKT 71% (+11PTS/6H)

Short squeeze follows abrupt unwinding of leveraged positions across major exchanges.

[Oddsmaxxer @oddsmaxxing]

*SETTLED NO

MKT: What will Donald Trump say during Rally with Senator Darline Graham? — Crypto / Bitcoin
KALSHI 4% → 0%

5x short at the Aug 19 print: +$175 gross (illustrative)

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*GRAHAM STUMBLES ON NATIONAL SECURITY QUESTION IN SOUTH CAROLINA DEBATE

MKT: Trump rally with Graham — Crypto/Bitcoin topic
KALSHI 4% (+0PTS/6H)

Debate performance may shape rally themes if Trump addresses Graham's record.

[Oddsmaxxer @oddsmaxxing]

*SETTLED YES

MKT: Over 8.5 runs scored — Over 8.5 runs scored
KALSHI 43% → 100%

5x long at the Aug 21 print: +$2,850 gross (illustrative)

[Oddsmaxxer @oddsmaxxing]

*ANGELS ROUT ASTROS 18-3, COMBINING FOR 21 RUNS AS NETO HOMERS IN 7-RBI NIGHT

MKT: Over 8.5 runs scored
KALSHI 43% (n/a)

Final total of 21 runs exceeded the 8.5 threshold by a wide margin.

[Oddsmaxxer @oddsmaxxing]

*SETTLED YES

MKT: Bitcoin price on Aug 21, 2026? — $76,500 or above
KALSHI 19% → 100%

5x long at the Aug 21 print: +$4,050 gross (illustrative)

[Oddsmaxxer @oddsmaxxing]

*BITCOIN TOPS $70,000, LIFTING ODDS OF $76,500 TARGET BY AUG 2026

MKT: BTC at $76,500+ by Aug 21, 2026?
KALSHI 19% (+14PTS/6H)

Price crossing $70,000 marks first time at that level in recent trading.

[Oddsmaxxer @oddsmaxxing]

*SETTLED YES

MKT: Bitcoin price on Aug 21, 2026? — $74,600 or above
KALSHI 60% → 100%

5x long at the Aug 21 print: +$2,025 gross (illustrative)

[Oddsmaxxer @oddsmaxxing]

*BITCOIN PUSHES PAST $75,000 AS RALLY CONTINUES

MKT: BTC at or above $74,600 on Aug 21 2026?
KALSHI 60% (+38PTS/6H)

Bitcoin crossing $75,000 lifts odds the price holds that level through August 2026.