Diesel is a global market, Russia was the biggest exporter. Ukraine drones CDU and hydro crack/treaters = Russia now can only upgrade to say gas oil which isn't useable by most of the world. After Russia the Middle East balanced diesel exports, similar story. Less Rus/Arab Gulf diesel and bob yours uncle.
Compute Loop
OpenAI & Claude need massive compute.
Train. Infer. Repeat.
AI labs raise billions.
Microsoft, Amazon, Google & others invest in the labs.
The labs spend that capital renting compute from... Microsoft, Amazon, Google & others.
Hyperscalers buy more NVIDIA GPUs.
NVIDIA invests in AI labs.
The cycle repeats.
AI is real.
Is AI demand more enterprise adoption or capital recycling.
If frontier AI labs are the biggest AI customers of the hyperscalers, when does the end customer become the enterprise instead of the next funding round?
@jameslavish QE doesn't add to money supply in real or relative terms in the way you are implying. If it did why was inflation 2 percent or lower per year from 2009 to 2019 when a total of 3.9t of QE was deployed in notional terms.
@dunnde@RinnyTheGopher@E_Energy_Adams Barrel sold out of refiner as non obligated vs obligated. If you're dealing with bbls over the rack you wouldn't see non obligated volume trade.
Some of the best PM i have see from the largest Multi-Strat firms like P72, Millennium, Tudor, Dymon all do something very similar.... KISS... they boil down a view to a simple thesis. They have a process that is mostly repeatable and they read alot.... Yes, some model out things, but mostly they just consume information and ask questions.