“If Israel falls, then Athens, Paris, and Amsterdam will fall next. Our mothers in the West can sleep peacefully at night, because the mothers of Israeli soldiers lie awake wondering if their child will come back alive from battle.“
- Geert Wilders
Until the text of the US-Iran deal is signed and released, there is going to be a lot of spin on both sides. But here is my initial take.
This war was a mistake, and it needs to end. The President thought that the Iranian regime would collapse quickly, but it did not. In fact, it has been strengthened strategically by its survival against a heavy US-Israeli assault and carrying out some effective counterstrikes. Many countries in the region are now courting Iran and looking to deescalate and rebuild ties. A sign of which way the wind is blowing.
Getting the Strait of Hormuz open is the most important outcome of this MOU. Of course, the Strait was open before the war. Now we are paying to reopen it with sanctions relief. Iran has taken a theoretical point of leverage and turned it into a very real and powerful one, imposing costs across the global economy and rattling President Trump.
As for the nuclear issues, there really is no agreement, other than to negotiate over the HEU stockpile and an enrichment moratorium. Iran knows how to drag out those negotiations, and try to pocket concessions along the way. It is possible that no deal will every be reached, and very likely that if one is reached, it will be worse than what we could have achieved through diplomacy before the war.
Iran is not likely to take seriously that the US would return to war, certainly before the US midterms. So that means we will be conducting diplomacy without a credible threat of force.
If any agreement ultimately reached actually safely puts Iran's nuclear ambitions out of reach, I'll acknowledge it. It's just too early to make that judgment.
Trump is mainly focused on comparing his deal favorably to the JCPOA. But we are a long way from being able to make that comparison, and it may end up no better, or weaker than that deal.
But in some ways, Trump's deal and the JCPOA are already similar. Nothing on ballistic missiles, nothing on proxies, nothing on weakening the regime or helping the Iranian people. And plenty of sanctions relief that will strengthen the regime, and be poured into the missile program and proxy network. Honest critics of the JCPOA will not twist themselves into pretzels to defend Trump's approach.
Israelis are deeply disappointed in this outcome, but they should not be surprised. After some initial overlap of Trump's and Netanyahu's interests, there was a strong divergence. The United States needed this war to end. Netanyahu wanted to continue.
Trump's claim to include Lebanon in the ceasefire and his harsh shutting down Israeli attacks on Hezbollah is also a win for Iran. After the JCPOA was signed, Obama and Netanyahu worked together to strengthen Israel's campaign of strikes in Syria to intercept Iranian weapons shipments to Hezbollah in Lebanon.
So let's hope we see the removal of Iran's enriched uranium and a long-term suspension of enrichment, with full verification. But to achieve those goals, Trump's team is going to need to engage in far more sophisticated diplomacy, backed by qualified experts, than they have to date. If it is a phase one splash with no follow-up on implementation of later phases, like in Gaza, we will be much worse off after, and because of, this war.
Israel celebrates Yom Ha'atzmaut (Independence Day) today.
On May 14 1948, Israel declared independence, 8h before the termination of the British Mandate for Palestine
Egypt, Jordan, Syria, Lebanon,
Iraq, Saudi, Yemen & Morocco attacked Israel the next day but lost the Arab-Israeli War, which came to an end on March 10th 1949.
Egypt had pulled out of the fighting on January 7th after an Israeli offensive into the Sinai Peninsula.
This video isn’t 100% exact in the details but gives a good overview of the course of battles.
Victor Davis Hanson Perfectly Explains Why the Right Shouldn't Sabotage Trump Over Iran
"What's the alternative to Donald Trump's MAGA agenda?"
Trump is delivering historic domestic wins:
- Border closed
- Deportations and self-deportations surging
- Record levels of oil and gas production
- DEI is dead
- Universities forced to follow the law
- No men in women's sports
"If you sit out or you oppose Trump, de facto — whether you know it or not — you are favoring the alternate agenda."
These victories would never have happened under a Democrat or RINO president.
We should keep pushing to end this conflict and stay laser-focused on America First priorities.
But we should not give up or help the Democrats regain power by turning on Trump.
No disrespect to Linus Torvalds, but this guy is the greatest geek alive 🫡
Created UNIX in 1971 when he was 28 years old.
Created Go in 2009 when he was 66 years old😲
He also developed the B programming language (which led to C), created UTF-8 encoding (making international text possible online), and designed essential tools like grep that developers still rely on daily.
He also helped with the development of Multics (that led to UNIX), Plan 9 from Bell Labs and Inferno operating systems.
That's 4 operating systems in total... Most people don't even use these many OS.
Pretty impressive resume, right? 🔥
And it's a shame that many people, even the ones in the IT and tech industry, don't know him.
Ken Thompson.... Remember the name 🙏
BREAKING:
🇮🇱 Israel used its laser air defense system against rockets launched from Lebanon.
The “Laser Dome” (Or Eitan) laser system successfully intercepted rockets from Lebanon.
A new era of defense.
🛩️THE LARGEST MILITARY FLYOVER IN IDF HISTORY:
~200 IAF jets completed a broad strike against the missile array and the aerial defense systems of the IRGC in western and central Iran.
500+ targets hit, including aerial defense systems & missile launchers in several locations throughout Iran simultaneously.
Conducted following precise planning with excellent intelligence, while synchronizing hundreds of fighter jets, the strikes allowed the expansion of the IAF’s aerial superiority over Iranian air space.