The old exportweltmeister has been dethroned -- and its economy is suffering at the hand of the new exportweltmeister (China).
That is the story told by both a new ECB paper and the FT in an excellent new piece
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the thing is that the big advantage the American banks had over European counterparts is that everyone trusted their capital. now they've got a dodgy version of Basel, unrealised losses on securities and supervisors that fold when the stress test is challenged.
The mathematician Kurt Gödel’s incompleteness theorem ranks in scientific folklore with Einstein’s relativity and Heisenberg’s uncertainty. https://t.co/PMYnrvyIw8
@ivancarrino @leomezzi81 Pregunta, no crees que forcé un ajuste fiscal restrictivo al subir la carga de intereses del Tesoro? Si no lo hacen, tarde o temprano esos “pases” van a “regresar” al BCRA. Gracias, Iván.
If you want to see just how exceptional Brazil's trade surplus is, compare Brazil to its peers across emerging markets. There is no other EM - no one - that has transformed itself quite like Brazil. Brazil will graduate from EM to G10 status in the coming years...
This is Brazil. A transformation into a huge trade surplus country powered by agricultural exports (lhs, orange) going to China (rhs, red). If the West wants to pry Brazil from the "Global South," it's got to put its money where its mouth is and stop protecting its own farmers...
This year's widening in Turkey's current account deficit is highly unusual and worrying. The "core" goods deficit (blue) is stable from last year. Instead, the widening in the deficit is about gold imports (pink). That could reflect building expectations of more Lira devaluation.
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Longer🧵on bank deposits, financial market distortions, how the debt ceiling plays into this, and its coming impact on the economy.
Don't worry, like Playboy Magazine ... lots of (G-rated) pictures!
But I know you're here for the articles!