A broke Italian gambler in 1560 wrote a short manual on how to win at dice. Nobody in finance read it for four hundred years.
The nine-trillion-dollar insurance industry runs on his equation.
His name was Girolamo Cardano. The book was called Liber de Ludo Aleae. He scribbled it in Milan to settle a card debt. Every dollar of premium ever collected on Earth is a footnote to that scribble.
Nobody connected the dots until 1996. A ninety-year-old man in New York wrote a book called Against the Gods and traced every modern risk model back to Cardano's manual. Wall Street called him the historian of risk.
His name was Peter Bernstein. In 2008 a small production company filmed him for thirteen minutes. He walked through the entire five-hundred-year arc. Cardano to Pascal to Fermat to Black-Scholes.
Then he stopped and said the industry had built glass towers on the back of an idea a broke gambler scribbled to shave the house edge.
He died the following summer. Age ninety.
There are only four ways to make money. Labor. Capital. Arbitrage. Insurance. Insurance is the oldest and the least visible. Every actuary on Earth still prices catastrophe risk with Cardano's framework.
The video is thirteen minutes long. Free on YouTube. Twenty-nine thousand people have watched it.
@JRobbo@BrandyZadrozny They also arrested people at the beach and in California we had to have people show their papers to get in. Who esle asked for your papers?
Yup we dealt with the Russian bounties hoax Lafayette park hoax Jessie Smollett hoax Aoc near death experience hoax antifa is a myth lie the Nuclear code hoax and the tin foil keeps getting thicker. Lie after lie after lie
Everyone ready for Thanksgiving? Some holiday programming notes for you. I’ll be joining @OutnumberedFNC tomorrow/Wednesday followed by @Gutfeldfox then hosting @AmericaNewsroom on Thanksgiving 9a-12pm and @FaulknerFocus on Friday followed by @BigWeekendShow Saturday and Sunday at 7pm. Harrison and Avery say, don’t miss it!
Friday MLB betting @BetMGM ⚾️
Most bet games 🎟️
1. Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Yankees
2. Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays
3. Pittsburgh Pirates at Cleveland Guardians
4. San Diego Padres at Kansas City Royals
5. Washington Nationals at Athletics
Most bet moneylines 🎟️
1. New York Yankees -105
2. Detroit Tigers -115
3. San Diego Padres -118
4. Pittsburgh Pirates +110
5. Houston Astros -115
Most bet moneylines 💵
1. Seattle Mariners -190
2. Detroit Tigers -115
3. Washington Nationals -135
4. Los Angeles Dodgers -115
5. Milwaukee Brewers -150
Most bet totals 🎟️
1. San Diego Padres at Kansas City Royals Under 10.5
2. Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Yankees Under 9
3. Pittsburgh Pirates at Cleveland Guardians Under 7.5
4. Chicago White Sox at Toronto Blue Jays Over 8.5
5. Minnesota Twins at Chicago Cubs Over 11
Most bet props 🎟️
1. Shohei Ohtani to hit 1+ home runs +185
2. Coby Mayo to hit 1+ home runs +475
3. Elly De La Cruz to hit 1+ home runs +360
4. Yordan Alvarez to hit 1+ home runs +195
5. Andres Chaparro to hit 1+ home runs +450
Most bet NRFIs 🎟️
1. Pittsburgh Pirates at Cleveland Guardians -140
2. Miami Marlins at Milwaukee Brewers -125
3. Los Angeles Dodgers at New York Yankees -105
4. San Francisco Giants at Seattle Mariners -135
5. Texas Rangers at Atlanta Braves -130
Yes, the core numbers in this flier match recent DHS data releases from this week (July 16, 2026).
DHS reviewed public voter files in CA, PA, NJ, and NV (states not using SAVE) and reported over 250,000 potential non-citizen matches, notifying those states. Proactive SAVE-using states identified ~28,000 non-citizens and 400k+ deceased registrants across 25 states processing 68M+ records.
These are initial database cross-matches (names/DOB/SSN etc.), not final confirmed illegal voters. States must still verify individually—SAVE has produced false positives before. Non-citizen voting is already illegal; this reflects ongoing federal efforts to support roll maintenance. The flier adds interpretive political framing.
🇺🇸 The opening of Obama's Presidential Center gave us this gem: Obama and Jill Biden both walked off and forgot Joe!
Anyone else hit with a bit of sweet nostalgia seeing Joe lost on stage again? 😂
Dear Joe,
I wish I could sit down with you face to face and explain why so many of us were offended by the UFC fight on the South Lawn of the White House.
For me, it had nothing to do with the UFC or who showed up for the fights. The brand you and Dana have built is a bona fide American success story. More power to you. As for the fighters, in my book, anyone brave enough to put it all on the line in the arena is remarkable to witness. Their dedication and discipline inspire me. I don’t understand anyone who can’t admire that.
And as for the people who attended, I, for one, love Shane Gillis. I think he’s hilarious and brilliant. It was a show. A once-in-a-lifetime spectacle. I can’t blame anyone for wanting to witness it firsthand.
My problem is that I believe some of our public spaces are sacred. And unlike many of the great powers that came before us, these American monuments belong to all of us. Not to whoever happens to hold power at the moment.
The White House does not belong to Donald Trump. It does not belong to any President. It belongs to the people. To treat it as Caesar treated the Colosseum is antithetical to everything our founding fathers fought for.
This is not Rome. Presidents are not emperors doling out bread and circuses for the peasants. The White House is the People’s House. This “celebration” could have happened in any stadium within a stone’s throw of the South Lawn. No one would have had an issue with it.
But that was obviously Donald Trump’s whole point. By holding the event on the South Lawn, what he was saying to the rest of us is:
“This is my house. I own it. I will do with it what I please. I’ll build a colosseum and have the gladiators fight under my gaze. I’ll tear down the East Wing. I’ll pave over the Rose Garden. I’ll cover everything in gold and marble. I’ll erase the names of all the men who came before me.”
The fights were an exhibition of imperial domination, not a celebration of our 250th anniversary as a democracy.
The White House is not Buckingham Palace. It is not the Palace of Versailles. It is not the Forbidden City of Beijing. It does not belong to an emperor, or a king, or a commissar.
The White House belongs to us. All of us. The person who sits behind the Resolute Desk in the Oval Office is nothing more than an honored guest. A temporary caretaker.
The President is our servant. Not our Caesar.
Respectfully, Hunter
P.S. Cage match between me and Don Jr.? Your call on the venue. Anywhere but the South Lawn.
Absolute horseshit… 💩
🚨 The latest Mail-In Ballot Dump Pushed Democrats Ahead — Pratt’s Lead Diminishes, Hilton is now in 2nd place
Late mail-in ballot dumps continue to dramatically shift both the Los Angeles Mayor’s race and the California Governor’s race in HEAVY favor of Democrats.
In the LA Mayor race, Nithya Raman (D) has surged to just 3.3 points behind Republican Spencer Pratt (28.2% vs. 24.9%), and with remaining late mail-in-ballots still to be counted, she is now EXPECTED to completely eliminate Pratt from contention altogether.
In the California Governor race, Republican Steve Hilton was comfortably in first place the night of the election — but now thanks to late mail-in-ballot dumps, the Democrat contender significantly benefited placing Steve Hilton now in 2nd place and
Falling fast.
This is a disgrace…
FRAUD ALERT!
What's remarkable is that despite the fact that Karen Bass is the clear frontrunner and Raman is in third, Raman is getting the lion's share of the new votes!
That's statistically impossible. Karen Bass should be getting most of the new votes as the clear frontunner assuming these new votes coming in are largely Democrat.
Clearly they're cheating.
They need Raman to get the new votes so that she can pass Pratt.
🚨 BREAKING: Nithya Raman surges to an 80% chance of advancing — Spencer Pratt down to just 20% in the LA Mayor race!
This is the biggest steal. It’s the 2020 elections all over again. This is disgusting.
Late ballot dumps are magically flipping the script, with Raman gaining huge ground while Pratt gets squeezed out. Karen Bass cruises through, but the real fight for the runoff spot looks rigged in real time. Sound familiar? Wake up, LA — they’re doing it again.
Share if you’re not buying this! 🇺🇸 #LAMayor #ElectionIntegrity #StopTheSteal
🚨BREAKING: Massive ballot drop in Los Angeles mayoral race saw Republican Spencer Pratt get ZERO votes out of 24,000 ballots delivered.
This is insanity! Makes no sense
H/T Terrence K Williams