HAPPY NEW YEAR!!!!! 🥳
Sign up for my Premium Twitter subscription for $99/month and get 3 months FREE in my Discord chatroom using the Discount Code: "CHAT26"
No hype. No fake gurus. Just real trading, real risk management, and real results.
✅ Real-time alerts
✅ Community chat
✅ Learn to trade
Sign up now 👉https://t.co/JvZTekxGvw
Investors are spooked about the AI/tech sector continuing its drop next week if $META confirms the equity raise rumor.
But here’s what the market is fails to realize: If true, every dollar $META burns on GPU's, memory, and data centers flows straight to the real winners $NVDA, $MU, $AVGO, and the rest of the picks and shovels AI infrastructure crew.
$META and other heavy capex spenders may get punished, but this is classic “bad for the spender, great for the suppliers" news.
Alright, that’s a wrap for the week!
The market continued its uptrend on Monday and Tuesday before starting to pull back on Wednesday.
We saw another major rotation this week between software and semiconductor stocks.
The post-earnings drop in $AVGO put a damper on chip sentiment despite the company reporting a strong earnings beat.
That's been a common theme with many AI stocks lately. Even when they report strong numbers, investors have been selling them on earnings after big runs.
Most of these AI and tech names are trading at elevated valuations, and when sentiment weakens even slightly, they can sell off quickly.
Despite that rotation, we followed the money, adapted to the changing market, and caught some huge winners this week:
$MSFT 470 calls → 542% gain 💵
$NOW 130 calls → 280% gain 💵
$CRWV 125 calls → 119% gain 💵
$ORCL 240 calls → 133% gain 💵
$TSM 460 calls → 151% gain 💵
$SPX 7620 calls → 270% gain 💵
$NVDA 225 calls → 103% gain 💵
$AAOI 220 calls → 133% gain 💵
$OKLO 75 calls → 104% gain 💵
$AAPL 315 calls → 100% gain 💵
$TSLA 430 calls → 161% gain 💵
$LLY 1130 calls → 233% gain 💵
$GOOGL 370 calls → 107% gain 💵
$AAOI 205 calls → 150% gain 💵
$NVDA 220 calls → 107% gain 💵
$CRCL 80 puts → 158% gain 💵
$SPX 7370 puts → 233% gain 💵
The market changes every week. Sectors rotate. Sentiment shifts.
The traders who survive and thrive are the ones who protect their capital, take profits, and adapt. This is why I constantly preach account management.
Next week brings another round of opportunities, and we'll continue doing what we always do: follow the money, manage risk, and look for the best setups available.
The biggest catalyst next week is the CPI report on Wednesday morning before the market opens, followed by $ORCL earnings after the close.
$AAPL is also holding its Worldwide Developers Conference (WWDC) from Monday through Friday, with the keynote presentation on Monday at 1:00 PM ET.
Any positive announcements from that event could move the stock, which is why we're holding the $AAPL 320 calls for next week.
That's the only position we're holding over the weekend.
There are too many unknowns right now, so we're waiting to see what the market looks like on Monday.
I hope everyone has a great weekend!
Take some time to relax, recharge, and spend time with friends and family.
I'll see you all next week!
Jobs Report for May
+172k vs +80k est.
Unemployment 4.3% vs 4.3% est.
This is a strong number, but the market does not appear to like it. Futures are dropping with ES -50 now.
There are two schools of thought on this data. It indicates a stronger economy, but it reinforces odds of a rate hike, or at least no rate cuts in the near future.
The market appears to be focusing more on the latter.
Good Morning!
Futures are down, with ES -34.
WTI crude is holding around $93 a barrel.
The market is waiting on the Jobs Report which comes out this morning before the bell.
The consensus sees another decent increase of 85K jobs in May after 115K in April.
The unemployment rate is expected to be flat at 4.3%.
The software stocks are showing some pre-market strength this morning while everything else is down: $ADBE $CRM $DDOG $MDB $MSFT $NET $NOW $PANW $SNOW $WDAY $ZS
Other stocks showing pre-market strength: $APP $LLY $OKLO $RDDT $RKLB $UNH
I don't see any other notable pre-market activity this morning.
We'll see how the market reacts after the Jobs Report is released.
Choppy market today didn’t affect us in @OptionsPro101 Ron’s 💥💥room. When u practice what Ron preaches & properly manage ur acct, the 💰💰💰keep coming. IREN, QCOM, TSLA & old 🐢 CSCO sold twice for smaller profit margin. Nonetheless another stellar day coached by Ron 🐐🫡👊🏾
@options101pro OMG That is the 4th today for double double! My account is growing so fast! Just get in Ron's room, You will not regret it! All day long - Double Doubles! Only1RON!!!! @OptionsPro101
@options101pro You know I may be a slow learner, But Ron gets things done and explains it! This is #5 for daily doubles! Just keeps doubling my account! Only1Ron! Thank you Ron for doing what you do! It's amazing! Join his room you will not regret it! @OptionsPro101
What a day in @OptionsPro101 Ron’s room . Where the gains keep growing. Acct management 🔑2 success. Set a goal for the week and 💥 it LLY, UNH, SNOW, GOOGL, NVDA again all before lunchtime & room kept moving AAOI, SPX. Take profits @ all costs build capital!🤑💰💸 Ron 👑🐐🫡🙌🏾
@smartertrader SAM smoked everything today. Absolutely stunning moves, LLY SPX, AAOI and took Ron’s GOOG for a spin. Massive gains 🐐. GOAT doesn’t even explain Sam and Ron… Mega Ripping Genius does 🙏🙏💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰💰🔥🔥🔥🔥🔥🌴🌴🌴🌴🌴🌴🌴🌴@smartertrader 💯@OptionsPro101
Good Morning!
Futures are down, with ES -45.
WTI crude is holding around $93.
Techs are selling off this morning after $AVGO earnings failed to excite investors and the stock dropped.
$AVGO is down 13% after yesterday's earnings despite reporting a strong Q2 earnings beat on revenue and EPS. Their Q3 guidance and AI outlook failed to exceed the sky-high bar set by the stock’s recent rally.
This has been a common theme with A.I. stocks that have seen massive runs. The bar is set sky-high on earnings, and investors are selling the stock despite reporting strong earnings and guidance.
The good news is that these post-earnings sell-offs never last long.
Stocks like $AVGO usually rebound quickly after post-earnings dumps when results and forward guidance remain strong and beat expectations, signaling that the underlying fundamentals are still very solid.
$CRWD is down 10% pre-market despite reporting a beat on Q1 earnings, with raised full-year guidance, and announcing a 4 for 1 stock split. This mirrors the $AVGO reaction with strong fundamentals, but the bar in AI/cybersecurity names has been extremely elevated.
$ARM and $MRVL are both down 6% this morning. They have both seen strong runs lately and they are dropping this morning as part of the broader AI/tech selloff, following the pattern seen with $AVGO and $CRWD.
As money rotates out of the tech sector this morning, pay attention as it flows into other sectors.
The healthcare insurance stocks are moving this morning $UNH $HUM $MOH $CVS $CNC
The pharmaceutical stocks are also moving $LLY $NVO
$BTC is imploding, so pay attention to $COIN and $MSTR. Those will both dump if $BTC continues to head lower.
$AVGO Q2 EARNINGS
• Revenue $22.2B vs Est. $22.1B
• EPS $2.44 vs Est. $2.39
• EBITDA $15.2B vs Est. $14.9B
• FCF $10.3B vs Est. $11.8B
• AI Semiconductor $10.8B vs. $11.3B (+143% YoY)
Q3 Guidance
• Revenue $29.4B vs Est. $28.7B
• EBITDA Margin 68% vs. Est. 67%
• AI Revenue: $16B (>200% YoY)
$AVGO earnings numbers should be good, but will investors follow the same trend we've been seeing lately and sell the stock despite strong earnings because of high expectations?
We're about to find out!