Ignacio Oroz

[Ignacio Oroz @OrozIgnacio]

Gold doesn’t move in a straight line.
The question isn’t whether it corrected.
The question is whether the regime behind it changed.

[Ignacio Oroz @OrozIgnacio]

Everyone says: Only the #Magnificent7 are pulling the market.
But owning the #SPY means you’ve ridden the world’s top performers.
What no one says:
🇩🇪 🇫🇷 🇮🇹 have even more index concentration than the U.S.
Top 10 stocks = 50%+ of their #markets.

[Ignacio Oroz @OrozIgnacio]

BofA’s Global Breadth Rule:
88% of MSCI ACWI indices above 50- & 200-DMAs = sell.
<88% = buy.
We’re at 80–84%. Nearing overbought?
Technicals still matter. Even globally.
#TechnicalAnalysis #GlobalEquities #Markets

[Ignacio Oroz @OrozIgnacio]

The equity risk premium is at its lowest since just before the GFC.
A historic moment. Not a sell signal — but maybe a time to rethink where true value lies. Stocks aren’t alone in the market. When risk pays less, safety can pay more.
#Bonds #RiskPremium #PortfolioStrategy

[Ignacio Oroz @OrozIgnacio]

When high yields can’t save the dollar

The US dollar is breaking down while 10Y Treasury yields hover near 5%.
When this correlation breaks, markets may be flagging something deeper: rising debt concerns, credibility, and structural USD risks. #macro #USD #bonds #markets

[Ignacio Oroz @OrozIgnacio]

The stock market is a leading indicator; it’s not accurate to expect it to fall only once a recession hits. #StockMarket #Investing #Recession #MarketTrends

[Ignacio Oroz @OrozIgnacio]

As we look towards potential rate cuts, it's time to consider how bonds could outpace equities, just like they have in the past. How are you positioning your portfolio? #Investing #Bonds #StockMarket

[Ignacio Oroz @OrozIgnacio]

Central banks' gold purchases are accelerating to historic levels. In this scenario, is it time for retail investors to consider following their lead? #gold

[Ignacio Oroz @OrozIgnacio]

Is a recession looming? Warren Buffett is amassing cash—could this be a signal to brace for economic turbulence? #recession

[Ignacio Oroz @OrozIgnacio]

Gold hits $2,500/oz for the first time ever! A 20% YTD surge, driven by aligned technical and fundamental factors, central bank buying, and hopes for monetary easing. Gold's appeal in uncertain times is undeniable. #Gold #Investing #SafeHaven

[Ignacio Oroz @OrozIgnacio]

The Worst Time to Buy Homes and Vehicles? Right Now!
U.S. consumers are clear: the current economic outlook isn’t favorable for big purchases. #Economy #ConsumerBehavior

[Ignacio Oroz @OrozIgnacio]

"Remember when good news was bad news? Now, bad news is bad news again. The market's narrative has flipped, and uncertainty reigns. How are you navigating these choppy waters? #Markets #Investing #Economy"

[Ignacio Oroz @OrozIgnacio]

Are sales and earnings keeping pace with market prices? This chart shows they're not. Investors are paying higher multiples of sales and earnings due to prevailing optimism.
Graphic Source: @CharlieBilello

[Ignacio Oroz @OrozIgnacio]

The market is estimating that #NVDA 's net income will soar, and high profit margins will continue. However, we shouldn't overlook similar past situations. High margins are a big invitation for new competitors.

[Ignacio Oroz @OrozIgnacio]

#Largecaps with the strongest market values currently have a high price/sales ratio, above what's considered healthy. This doesn't mean it won't continue, but there is a noticeable valuation difference compared to #smallcaps.

[Ignacio Oroz @OrozIgnacio]

Risk vs. Volatility: Key Differences
In investing, risk and volatility are often confused.
#Risk is the chance of financial loss.
#Volatility measures how much prices fluctuate over time.
Understanding these differences can help you make better #investment decisions.

[Ignacio Oroz @OrozIgnacio]

As José Luis Cárpatos says: Not good!
Graphic source: José Luis Cárpatos

[Ignacio Oroz @OrozIgnacio]

ROIC generates a compounding effect on the company's profits, leading to exponential growth over time.

[Ignacio Oroz @OrozIgnacio]

How an Economic Moat Provides a Competitive Advantage?
Graphic Source: Bolsa General

[Ignacio Oroz @OrozIgnacio]

Why do stock splits matter?