The latest additions of adding AI to further develop my scanners and reporting on numerous criteras sorting etc has increased my focus, not much actual time was spent investigating the stocks selected for trading, simply decent (but not great) timing of entries.
Last month I've been very passive, scaling out everything, while there are many opportunities shining on a daily basis, I've taken time off the markets for a while, I will most likely get back into it after summer (if not before ;)) My YTD is resting now at 62.6%.
Basically comes down to actualizing the plans I have set in motion the last years, studying hard, developing a solid risk management strategy and cutting the losers, still married to some small cap names but honestly they seldom deliver anything other than actual DD.
I remember Mark Minervini mentioning in a TraderLion interview:
“Focus most of your attention on leading stocks, not the indexes.”
That made a big difference to me - during the last dip Leading themes held above the 50DMA.
That was the tell.
They are going to lock out rally this till everyone can’t take it anymore and they chase with FOMO and then we get a nice pullback, leaders already up 5-8 days in a row.
Tough market with crazy swings, I've sized down significantly and not done many trades at all. Simply short intraday trades in $AAOI $NQ and some Oil.
Will keep on grinding smaller trades but mostly do nothing and wait for better market opportunities.
Remember a follow through day doesn't happen until 4-7 days after a low is put in.
This means you don't need to try and play every 5min green candle as THE BOTTOM. $SPY $QQQ
$AA was taken of days ago as tweeted back then, since then, these have all hit their respective stop losses and my account did take a hit, however since I was up around 55-60% I am now around 44% on the year so far.
This is surely acceptable and I will now remain very cautious, as I honestly knew it was major risk doing trading while Iran was attacked.
Bought back some $LITE Bag now remains: $MP, $AA $SGML, they've all gapped down, im in DD now. Will see how the day develops! Not afraid in these hot names, but I will prioritize preservation of capital over risk taking.
If the $QQQ could climb 5-6% from here and start to breakout it might become the most hated rally in my career.
- 5 disgusting months of chop
- NAAIM sub 80
- Plenty of downside protection already purchased via put positioning which creates a floor
- The removal of those hedges becomes supportive liquidity
- Severe destruction in Software $IGV and Crypto $BTC $ETH
- Seasonality indicates that we typically bottom middle of March
- Finding reasons to be optimistic since this market refuses to rip off the band aid.