Most people approach outright markets by trying to predict winners.
That’s not what I do.
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I identify hedging opportunities early and model how prices are likely to move under different scenarios.
Different results create different market reactions.
Understanding those price paths is where the opportunity lies.
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30 years specialist knowledge on a small number of markets, mainly European football and Tennis.
12% ROI proven by available results over last 7 years, 18% in 2026.
DM to learn more.
@maddycted@mason8815@henrywinter Agreed. Arsenal played great football second half of that season and wouldn’t have got anywhere near the “hate” they did this one had they won it.
@TheTennisLetter It's consistent with what has been a patchwork of a Slam. Exciting in the first week but revealing a soft underbelly in the tennis ranks. Questioning his tennis career whilst at no. 4 in the world. This from a player losing in the 1st round in 7 of his last 15 slams.
@puresinnema I agree and he'll be a well deserving champion too. With just 3 top 10 seeds in the last 16, I think the soft layer of men's tennis under the Top 4 has been exposed in the second week, after the excitement of the first.
@NYMag Has it though? The first week felt that way but the unpredictability of this week, with only 3 top 10 seeds in the last 16, has, for me, revealed a soft layer under the Top 3.
There's a 72% probability of the men's winner coming from the bottom of the draw as opposed to 28% for the top.
With many players in unchartered waters, it's difficult to know how each will react to such an opportunity.
@henrywinter Agree on the Rice for captain call. A natural leader and yet he appears to be behind both Odegaard AND Saka. There’s been talk of Odegaard being sold which would make the transition a lot easier.
@TunedIntoTennis FAA is the highest seed but I think a final will be too big for him. Berrettini has the experience but does he have the fitness? He looks exhausted already. Ruud was the biggest threat and Fonseca has a chance.
@Zwxsh He has played in seven semi finals and three finals against some of the greatest players that ever lived - and fallen only just short. Of those left in the draw only Berrettini has played in a final. This is his edge.
@markgoldbridge I don’t agree. Any team attacking PSG is leaving themselves open to the devastating counter attacks that saw them beat Inter 5-0 in last years final and win comfortably at Stamford Bridge and Anfield. Arteta’s tactics were sound.
Arsenal's front 3 pale by comparison with those of PSG, Bayern, Barca, and Real who have true world class forwards. This is where Arsenal need to invest although more creative full-backs would also add to their attacking threat. Hakimi and Mendes at PSG and O'Reilly and Nunes at City are the comparisons there.
If you compare the Arsenal front 3 with those of PSG, Bayern and Real then yes that is an obvious statement. They also need more offensively minded full-backs though. Timber, Hincapie etc are fine defenders but don’t offer enough of a threat going forward. Again, comparisons with Hakimi and Mendes are not positive.