@genejchan@paulg 3. China is also vulnerable to a reverse blockade by Taiwan. The five busiest ports in China are all within the range of the Taiwanese indigenously developed Ching Tien supersonic cruise missile.
@genejchan@paulg 2. Advanced semiconductors are normally shipped by air, not sea. It would be difficult for China to stop those shipments without starting a shooting war.
Don't forget that China is also dependent on semiconductors imports from Taiwan.
@genejchan@paulg Arguments against this scenario:
1. Taiwan can feed its population for at least six months in the event of a total blockage (source: US Army War College). Energy imports would be of greater concern than food.