pelado

Stockbroker & whiskey lover | DM Open | Not investment advice

[pelado @paibento]

I am setting up a communication group with my friends. If you want to join, you can click the link below to contact my assistant. Only real investors are welcome.
https://t.co/vbu0HC9x88

[pelado @paibento]

I have held $NVDA for nearly a decade; sticking to my system has turned that stake into roughly ten times. It has almost always looked pricey because plain DCFs miss a company that keeps creating new markets—every time you try to rationalize it, it makes new highs.
The edge is the tech gap: Blackwell delivers up to thirty times inference gains over Hopper. Rivals from $AMD to $AMZN’s AWS silicon to $GOOGL and Huawei are still catching up to Hopper. Risks remain—export rules, power constraints, hyperscaler capex—but AI compute demand keeps climbing.

[pelado @paibento]

Mixed open:
Dow up 0.10%, S&P 500 up 0.03%, Nasdaq down 0.05%.
Precious-metals names slid as bullion eased — Hecla Mining $HL down over 10%, First Majestic Silver $AG down over 9%, Pan American Silver $PAAS down over 8%, Gold Fields $GFI and Harmony Gold $HMY down over 9%.

[pelado @paibento]

JPMorgan calling a pullback “healthy” tracks with the setup: the 10-year just slipped under 4% (easier discount rate), while the Mag-7 still make up roughly a third of $SPX —super concentrated. A tidy 5–10% reset could bleed off froth without breaking the cycle, so long as earnings hold up and tariff noise doesn’t worsen. Keep an eye on buyback blackout and crowded positioning—dips likely get bought unless the data or policy shocks say otherwise.

[pelado @paibento]

@burbage89634 @StockMKTNewz if you want to know more, please contact me in DM.

[pelado @paibento]

@burbage89634 @unusual_whales Yeah, feel free to DM me.

[pelado @paibento]

@CarmelDecl36601 @StockSavvyShay Sure thing, just DM me.😄

[pelado @paibento]

Green finish on Friday.
Dow up 0.52%, S and P 500 up 0.53%, Nasdaq up 0.52%. Tech was mixed — $TSLA up 2.46%, $AAPL up nearly 2%, $ORCL down nearly 7%. China ADRs were softer — $HXC down 0.14%, with $BABA up 1.19% and $MNSO down 1.39%.

[pelado @paibento]

Market snapshot
Indexes: Dow down 0.20%, S and P 500 down 0.24%, Nasdaq down 0.32%.
Big Tech: $INTC down 1.3%, $NVDA down 0.9%, $TSLA down 0.76%.
China ADRs: $HXC down 1.29%, $NIO down 4.39%, $XPEV down 2.71%.
Regional Banks: $WAL up 1.9%, $ZION up 2.9%.
GLP-1 Pharma: $LLY down 3.7%, $NVO down 4.1%.
Risk tone soft at the open; policy headlines steering the tape.

[pelado @paibento]

Choppy close on Wall Street.:
The Dow fell 0.65 percent, the S and P 500 fell 0.63 percent, and the Nasdaq fell 0.47 percent.
Among the most traded names:
$TSLA fell 1.47 percent, $NVDA rose 1.10 percent, $SMCI fell 1.69 percent, $ORCL rose 3.09 percent.

[pelado @paibento]

BloombergNEF shows China way out front in zero-emission trucks, with sales of medium and heavy duty rigs surging into Q2 twenty twenty five. The recipe is mandates, depot charging and battery swap buildout, and city procurement that moves fleets fast. The U.S. and Europe are ramping too, helped by new rules and funding, but grid hookups and megawatt charging will dictate speed. Keep an eye on names tied to heavy duty electrification like $BYDDY $TSLA $NKLA as standards and infrastructure catch up.

[pelado @paibento]

Valuation check for $SPX. The price to peak earnings ratio is about 27.9, the highest since the dot-com era and roughly sixty percent above its long-run median. That sits next to an unusually top-heavy market where the Magnificent Seven hold roughly a third of the index. Policy backdrop is mixed: Powell is keeping a meeting-by-meeting stance and the next big print is Sept CPI on Oct 24 while tariff headlines keep inflation risks alive. Context like this argues for selectivity rather than blanket fear.

[pelado @paibento]

Gold ripped to another record as safe-haven demand builds. Spot pushed above four thousand two hundred intraday while the U.S. shutdown drags on and trade tensions with China flare. Futures still lean toward more Fed easing this fall. $GLD and $GDX caught a bid. BofA now projects five thousand by 2026, and some analysts say pullbacks are likely to be brief as dip buyers step in.

[pelado @paibento]

Mixed close on Wall Street. The Dow slipped 0.04 percent, the S&P 500 rose 0.40 percent, and the Nasdaq rose 0.66 percent. Chips led the charge — $AMD climbed more than nine percent, $INTC gained more than four percent, $GOOGL and $AVGO advanced more than two percent, and $TSLA added more than one percent. Leadership stayed with AI and semis as traders look ahead to late-October data and the next Fed steps.

[pelado @paibento]

@GigiTyra99241 @StockSavvyShay if you want to know more, please contact me in DM.

[unusual_whales @unusual_whales]

A green market so far today.

[pelado @paibento]

@unusual_whales That lines up with the Fed’s Sept projections (median points to two additional cuts) and with futures pricing for Oct and Dec. The tug-of-war is tariffs keeping inflation sticky while the labor market looks low-hire, low-fire. Next stop: Sept CPI on Oct 24.