Did you know that Messi is currently in 4th place for the Ballon d'Or?
absolute madness
his chances are sitting at 13%, and he is breathing down the necks of Dembele, Kane, and Mbappe
now just imagine the scenario. what if he takes the award again and somehow becomes the top scorer of this World Cup along the way?
the most interesting part about this situation is the probability structure
the chances of his main competitors on the leaderboard are just as tied to the outcomes of this tournament
any exit or slip-up by the European heavyweights in the playoffs will automatically boost Leo's odds in the book
just think about it: winning his 9th Ballon d'Or at 39 years old while playing across the ocean in MLS...