Parcl

The Real-Time Housing Market. Powered by @ParclLabs | Support: @ParclHelp

[Parcl @Parcl]

Predictions like this used to be conversations. Now they’re positions

[Nicholas J. Stelzner @stelzner_n1150]

Don’t buy a house now; wait three years for the market to drop 40%.

[Parcl @Parcl]

Join Parcl V4 with a referral code from an existing trader.
https://t.co/90bI2eMJ7x

The Week 3 leaderboard is in Discord. Payouts are scheduled one week after the leaderboard post, following review.
https://t.co/JfYs5SJjNe

[Parcl @Parcl]

There’s a fresh USDC rewards pool on Parcl V4 this week, starting at $1,000

Your share is based on your eligible trading volume on US home-price markets. Half the eligible volume from traders you refer directly counts toward your score too

We’ve allocated another $1,000 USDC for Week 3, and Week 4 is now running through Nov 19 at 00:00 UTC. The program continues weekly until further notice.

[Parcl @Parcl]

Week 2 of Parcl V4 trading rewards has closed. We’ve allocated $1,000 USDC to eligible traders, with payouts scheduled one week after the leaderboard post, pending review.

Each week, eligible trades on US home-price indices count toward a share of the USDC pool. Your score includes your own eligible volume and 50% of the eligible volume from traders you refer directly.

Week 3 is underway with a pool starting at $1,000 USDC and closes Nov 12 at 00:00 UTC.

The program runs weekly until further notice.

[Parcl @Parcl]

Explore L.A. and other U.S. housing markets on Parcl V4
https://t.co/90bI2eMJ7x

[Parcl @Parcl]

An L.A. property owner may want to keep a low-rate mortgage while worrying about a fall in local home prices.

Selling means giving up both the property and its loan. @realtordotcom’s latest study shows how expensive buying again could be.

A short position on Parcl V4’s L.A. metro home-price index can help offset part of the exposure to a broader decline in local prices, while the home and mortgage stay in place.

The short can gain when the traded price falls and loses money when it rises, before fees and funding. It requires separate collateral and can be closed out if that collateral becomes insufficient.

V4 is in closed alpha.

[Parcl @Parcl]

D.C.’s Dec 31 housing market on Polymarket:
https://t.co/xHabmimrq6

[Parcl @Parcl]

Our D.C. metro home-price index fell ~1.1% in the week to Nov 10, after a 0.3% decline the week before

A rebound could still leave the metro’s home-value benchmark below $503,000. It would take a ~1.4% rise from the latest reading to reach that level

On @Polymarket, the odds of finishing below $503,000 on Dec 31 are roughly 80%.

[Parcl @Parcl]

Trade Miami City’s home-price index on Parcl V4
https://t.co/vhjZSKeNh3

[Parcl @Parcl]

Florida’s larger tax break for primary homes starts in 2027. How much will buyers pay today for those future savings?

Our Miami City home-price index was up 2.6% over the 30 days to Nov 10.

We’ve got a Miami market on Parcl V4. Take a side.

[Meet Kevin ❇️ @realMeetKevin]

Florida just TRIPLED its homestead exemption.

✅ Amendment 3 passed: $50K today, $150K in 2027, $250K in 2028.
➡️ Less taxable value on every owner-occupied home. Investors don't get it.
😇 This could create a bottom in the Florida housing market.
Should we start buying in Florida?

[Parcl @Parcl]

Follow the U.S. home-price index on Parcl V4.
https://t.co/zDmue2jBgS

[Parcl @Parcl]

U.S. home prices can fall while the “shelter” number in the inflation report goes up.

Shelter mostly tracks rent. For homeowners, it uses an estimate of what they’d pay to rent their own home.

Our U.S. home-price index tracks sale prices per square foot.

[Parcl @Parcl]

Explore Denver’s active listings on Parcl
https://t.co/zBAV0YIbEw

[Parcl @Parcl]

Denver’s October housing report from DMAR shows what sold. On @ParclLabs, you can see what’s still for sale, with new data every day

On Nov 10, the share of homes listed for 90+ days was nearly 10 percentage points higher for condos and townhomes than for single-family homes

That’s worth a look before forming a view on Denver home prices.

[Parcl @Parcl]

Explore U.S. housing markets on Parcl V4
https://t.co/jVyQDichZO

V4 is in closed alpha. Sign up with a referral code from an existing trader. Need a code? Ask in Discord.
https://t.co/JfYs5SJjNe

[Parcl @Parcl]

Nearly half of Monday’s trades on Parcl V4 were in the Austin housing market.

Austin and the national market together accounted for 78% of the day’s trading volume.

V4 also crossed $250K in all-time trading volume.

[Parcl @Parcl]

Where does the sales benchmark finish the year?
https://t.co/WbrLPZwB1t

[Parcl @Parcl]

Dallas–Fort Worth sellers have cut the ask on 54% of homes for sale. The median cut was 4.9%, per Parcl Labs.

Meanwhile, the metro’s home-value benchmark was $384,440 on Nov 8.

Where it lands on Dec 31 settles the Dallas housing market on @Polymarket

[Parcl @Parcl]

Ask Parcl AI Connect for recent sales near an address with similar square footage and a remodeled kitchen or bath.

[Parcl Labs @ParclLabs]

New in Parcl AI Connect: Advanced Property Attributes

Remodels, new roofs, basements, solar, views, waterfront, flood zones, 55+ communities, leased land and more, for homes in any US market

Ask Claude or ChatGPT for lead lists, comps, and deal flow

[Parcl @Parcl]

It’s easy to compare two homes by square footage and miss that one has a redone kitchen.

Our data guru found that nearly 4 in 10 Cleveland homes for sale had a kitchen or bath remodel. Before you use a nearby sale to decide what a home is worth, check what’s been updated.

[Jason Lewris @jasonlewris]

As of this morning, approximately 1 in 4 homes available for sale today have undergone a kitchen / bath renovation. This is wildly popular in markets like:

Cleveland: 37.8%
San Francisco: 36.6%
Baltimore: 35.6%
Washington, DC: 35.5%
San Diego: 34.7%
LA: 34.1%

Boston, Baltimore, and Philly lead the pack on full gut renovations. Over 2% of everything for sale today has undergone a full renovation.

Minneapolis and Seattle lead on cosmetic updates (19.2% and 18% respectively)

[Parcl @Parcl]

Open Order entry on Parcl V4. You’ll find the Units / USD toggle in the Size field
https://t.co/jVyQDichZO

[Parcl @Parcl]

Say you buy one unit at $200 in one housing market and one unit at $250 in another. Same quantity, $50 difference in position value

If you want $200 of exposure in each market, you’d need 1 unit in the first and 0.8 units in the second. If both prices rise 5% from entry, each long gains $10 before fees and funding

On Parcl V4, use USD in the Size field when you want to target a dollar amount. Use Units when you want to set the quantity directly.