Pathikrit Bhowmick

[Pathikrit Bhowmick @pathikrit_wrick]

Got 49/50 right from my prediction in July. Missed MI - mainly underestimated how much build-in-america would resonate with the Detroit autoworker demographic. Anyway congrats @realDonaldTrump

[Pathikrit Bhowmick @pathikrit_wrick]

My predictions for 2024 election: https://t.co/LJqZ25yxof

[Pathikrit Bhowmick @pathikrit_wrick]

@sflorimm flickr

[Pathikrit Bhowmick @pathikrit_wrick]

1. Sloped roof makes no sense in India - very little snow. You want roof terrace as a 3rd space.

2. Large lawns make no sense in the north. Very harsh and dry summers. The grass will simply wilt away.

3. US cities are smaller so you can have a large plot close to city center. Indian cities are far bigger - for a reasonably priced plot close to work (which is usually in city center) you'd need to live very far away commute wise.

[Pathikrit Bhowmick @pathikrit_wrick]

2025: Do you still write your code?
2026: Do you still read your code?

😅😅😅

2027: Do you still write your specs?
2028: Do you still read your specs?

[Pathikrit Bhowmick @pathikrit_wrick]

@cuerdo_de Same reason the masseuse leaves the room while you change .... taking off clothes in front of someone is far more intimate than being actually naked.

[Pathikrit Bhowmick @pathikrit_wrick]

conspiracy theory: Ferrari did Luce so the gas car division could kill the EV division when they dont manage to sell more than a dozen units

[Pathikrit Bhowmick @pathikrit_wrick]

@RhysSullivan Lasik, my cat, macbook, Tonal, 8 sleep

[Pathikrit Bhowmick @pathikrit_wrick]

@Scivf4 Is there a library of these kind of animations for math?

[Pathikrit Bhowmick @pathikrit_wrick]

Indian aesthetic: Perfection is achieved when nothing more can be added

Japanese aesthetic: Perfection is achieved when nothing more can be removed

[Romy @Romy_Holland]

it’s interesting that japan and india have basically opposite cultures despite both being high population-density places that developed shame/honor-based cultures.

there are major differences in things like poverty-level, but my guess is that this is not super explanatory. it seems like some sort of snowball effect of different belief systems, and if anything, poverty-level is downstream of culture.

[Pathikrit Bhowmick @pathikrit_wrick]

Q: Simple Monty Hall: I have 2 kids, one is a boy. What are the chances the other one is a girl?
A: 66%

Q: Conditional Monty Hall: I have 2 kids, one is a boy born on a Tuesday. What are the chances the other one is a girl?
A: 51.85%

The answer is 2/(4-p) where p is the probability of the independent filter. In the born on Tuesday example p = 1/7 and in the simple version p = 1.

The rarer the filter (e.g. born on Christmas) , the chances the other child is girl approaches 1/2 and the more common the filter (e.g. born with 2 hands) the answer approaches 2/3

Intuition: Out of BB, BG, GB, GG families, 2 have girls (BG, GB) out of the 3 who can say they have a boy (BB, BG, GB). So in simple case the answer is 2/3

But when we introduce a hard to pass filter (e.g. born on a Tuesday) the BB families get 2x the chance to pass this filter than BG and GB families and thus BB families dominate - so less likely to have a girl as the other child.

[Pathikrit Bhowmick @pathikrit_wrick]

@MensHumor Prepare 4 egg-chicken?

[Pathikrit Bhowmick @pathikrit_wrick]

@AsiaTravelerBro @Teslarati @elonmusk constant failure to accurately predict the future ----> yet still somehow becomes the world's first trillionaire lol

[Pathikrit Bhowmick @pathikrit_wrick]

@Windsofchange72 Churchill died a decade after Gandhi did

[Pathikrit Bhowmick @pathikrit_wrick]

Fly private -> Fly Business. With small kids you don't even want to fly business anyway because they want to be next to you.

Buy house of dreams -> Absolutely you can with a mortgage

Tbills and chill -> 60-40 and chill (you get 6-8% instead of 4%)

[Cullen Roche @cullenroche]

Something terrible happens to people with a net worth of about 2-10MM. They are very rich, but they aren't rich enough to fly private, buy the house of their dreams or put it all in Tbills and Chill.

The trap is not realizing your absolute AND relative living standards are phenomenal against everyone except the upper echelon people you irrationally compare yourself to. Don't fall into that trap.

[Pathikrit Bhowmick @pathikrit_wrick]

@lennysan The 3 oldest professions - sex worker, midwife, nanny.

Making, delivering, taking care of humans

[Pathikrit Bhowmick @pathikrit_wrick]

@Junoonyaar Layout 1: Simply I need the bedside nightstand (earplugs, phone, watch, books I read, glass of water)

[Pathikrit Bhowmick @pathikrit_wrick]

@Mimshack20 That's me after Texas BBQ

[Pathikrit Bhowmick @pathikrit_wrick]

@pretty_sarlin I see neither; I have no brain apparently

[Pathikrit Bhowmick @pathikrit_wrick]

@lochan_twt @grok: Is the graph correct? Is it really almost 0 question asked in 2026 monthly?

[Pathikrit Bhowmick @pathikrit_wrick]

But they convey literally more info:

orthogonal: 2 things could be related but don't impact each other; different from "unrelated"

stochastic: random at surface but may have a hidden generative process for the randomness

local minima: there are other harder/better options over the horizon

isomorphic: Not only the system as a whole but subsystem has similarities to the other thing

[roon @tszzl]

you need to be modifying your speech to piss off the nonbelievers:

- DON’T say “unrelated”, DO say “orthogonal”
- “random” -> “stochastic”
- “this is fine ig” -> “local minima”
- “sorta like” -> “isomorphic”

[Pathikrit Bhowmick @pathikrit_wrick]

We need a new VCS layer above git for agentic coding:

- Check-in everything + metadata of prompt at each turn

- Quickly tag a commit as "golden"

- Rollback to last gold

- Quick branching from last golden state

[Peer Richelsen @peer_rich]

prediction:

no one will ship a github alternative

no new startup, nor existing series C / beyond

not linear, not vercel, not cloudflare :(