Patrick Draut

Patrick Draut | Freight Executive | National Champion Baseball and Football Coach | Dad to D and Romi

[Patrick Draut @patrick_draut]

@Kevin1182343 @WHLeavitt I bought a home that his wife and Rezko developed in the mid 00’s. Blago was at least that close to him.

[Patrick Draut @patrick_draut]

@Jennifer55gt At this point I’m so sick of seeing these posts; every sit down restaurant should just charge 20% more starting July 1; get the non tippers out of the system or in forced compliance. Great service and you can add another 10-20%. This is exhausting

[Patrick Draut @patrick_draut]

Wouldn’t we need for dangerous events to occur combined with litigation,insurance determinations, rulings and precedent establishment before any of this impact even begins to occur? Doesn’t seem like an overnight type impact. Possibly a slow drip that drives prices up and more new qualified operators and drivers as backfills.

[Patrick Draut @patrick_draut]

@rafichicago @FreightAlley Brokers don’t define rates; they place a margin on an existing rate provided by a shipper.

[Patrick Draut @patrick_draut]

@zerohedge Are assets going to have magical capacity at every ad hoc load and global contracts with every shipper. These narratives are insane.

[Patrick Draut @patrick_draut]

@FreightAlley I forecast a bump up in insurance expense and lower cost compliance subscriptions.

[Patrick Draut @patrick_draut]

@JohnB1009 @ChuckECheese_1 @FreightAlley If compliance software and subscriptions will put you out of business, how much business are they doing. Not much is the answer.

[Patrick Draut @patrick_draut]

@BBGreatMoments Cubs fan: Garvey, Murphy, Von Hayes

[Patrick Draut @patrick_draut]

@Rysven19 @PodcastDoesnt Ah yes, the infallible sabermetrics 🙄

[Patrick Draut @patrick_draut]

@GafGaffey @easydigita Yes, the combined record of his opponents was 308-20 from Berbick to Douglas including multiple fights against undefeated opponents including this fight.

[Patrick Draut @patrick_draut]

@FoulTerritoryTV In theory; can’t every position player pitch. They do in blowouts, so I imagine there’s not restricting measures in place

[Patrick Draut @patrick_draut]

@TigersJUK Golf. There’s 125 or so global PGA pros globslly. Maybe a handful of new members per year. Usually none of significance. Thousands of collegiate studs every year.

[Patrick Draut @patrick_draut]

@NFLonFOX @Loustradamus1 is this Brock?

[Patrick Draut @patrick_draut]

The likelihood of this has to be at minimum in the 1/100,000,000’s +

[MLB @MLB]

All THREE of Jo Adell's home run robberies from tonight ...

Yes, you read that right 😮

[Patrick Draut @patrick_draut]

Big moves.

[Craig Fuller 🛩🚛🚂⚓️ @FreightAlley]

Daily trucking van spot rates explode overnight +$.16/mile to $3.17/mile.

There is nothing stopping the rate rally.

[Patrick Draut @patrick_draut]

The ol’ Coyote Curve revisionist playbook.

[FreightCaviar 🚛 @freightcaviar]

📈 C.H. Robinson Just Raised Its Rate Forecast

The world's largest freight broker updated its 2026 outlook this month: dry van truckload rates are now expected to run 12% higher than last year, up from their prior estimate of 10%.

They also raised the floor on how low spot rates will get, with the new bottom at $1.72 per mile, up from $1.65. Three years of carriers going out of business has thinned the truck supply to the point where even modest demand is moving prices.

Flatbed load-to-truck ratios hit 60-to-1 in late February, the highest since mid-2022, meaning 60 loads competing for every available truck.

Carriers are parking equipment they can't staff and refusing loads.

Source: C.H. Robinson

[Patrick Draut @patrick_draut]

Any flatbed brokerages for sale, I’m always looking to buy good asset light businesses.

[Craig Fuller 🛩🚛🚂⚓️ @FreightAlley]

Flatbed trucking spot rates hit new all time high at $3.80/mile. Flatbed spot rates are +$.36/mile in the past week alone.

Flatbeds = industrial strength

[Patrick Draut @patrick_draut]

Exogenous events are the prerequisite to freight market price increases. Low price is stability not “recessionary”. High price is reactionary not a new normal.

[Ken Adamo @thefreightnerd]

The EIA has updated diesel this week and the national average added another $0.212 per gallon. That's up $1.52 per gallon versus last year.

More importantly, the data is showing that small carriers are capturing less than 50% of this increase in fuel. This necessarily means that fuel expenses are eroding their bottom lines.

Dry van spot linehaul rates are now at the lows of the year. They're still up 15-16% YoY, which is great, but have come down from their highs of +23-25% YoY.

I've also been hearing a ton of feedback from shippers that their tender acceptance rates have increased substantially, partially due to normalization after the storms but also due to carriers rotating back to contract freight with dedicated FSC programs.

[Craig Fuller 🛩🚛🚂⚓️ @FreightAlley]

Citi studied the impact of surging oil prices on domestic freight demand and concluded that they could stimulate more freight rather than hurt.

The reason: the outsized proportion of the US goods economy tied to oil exploration/refining and petrochemical manufacturing.