Steven Patton

Data Scientist @StatRankings

Code PATTONPLUS for -20%

[Steven Patton @PattonAnalytics]

A thread of sports analytics papers and projects I’ve worked on over the years 🧵

[Steven Patton @PattonAnalytics]

Nobody wants to pass the ball against Flores

[Steven Patton @PattonAnalytics]

A tale of two passing charts

[Stat Acccount @AcccountStat]

QB target heatmaps through week 10 TNF
- Red = more tgts than avg | Blue = less tgts than avg

[Steven Patton @PattonAnalytics]

@ZHumbug @J1xMONEY @jcaruso172 @StatRankings These graphs aren't generated with AI lol.

The rosters on the backend had Grover listed as a tackle and Morgan listed as a guard. Thanks for catching that, just fixed it.

Morgan's time to pressure is 2.57 seconds, and his pressure rate allowed is 5.3%.

[Steven Patton @PattonAnalytics]

Four offensive tackles were drafted before Amarius Mims in the 2024 NFL Draft

[Steven Patton @PattonAnalytics]

Hmmm...

[Sam Hoppen @SamHoppen]

How quarterbacks have performed in expected pass situations:

[Steven Patton @PattonAnalytics]

There have been four punts of 80 or more yards over the past three seasons.

Corey Bojorquez (CLE) is responsible for two of them.

[Steven Patton @PattonAnalytics]

@PanthersAnalyst What a time to be alive

[Steven Patton @PattonAnalytics]

@c_killington @StatRankings I included the top 10 QBs in this metric. Mahomes ranks 20th with an 11.7% checkdown rate.

[Steven Patton @PattonAnalytics]

Checkdown % Leaders per @StatRankings:

Jared Goff - 18.7%
Tanner McKee - 18.4%
Drake Maye - 17.3%
Joe Burrow - 16.5%
Deshaun Watson - 16.4%
Bo Nix - 16.2%
Tyler Shough - 15.6%
Baker Mayfield - 15.5%
Caleb Williams - 15.4%
Kirk Cousins - 15.1%

[Steven Patton @PattonAnalytics]

In-Line TE % Leaders per @StatRankings:

AJ Barner - 67.3%
Michael Mayer - 60.6%
George Kittle - 58.0%
Greg Dulcich - 52.8%
Tucker Kraft - 50.7%
Sam LaPorta - 49.8%
Cade Otton - 47.9%
Colston Loveland - 43.4%
Harold Fannin - 43.3%
Evan Engram - 42.1%

[Steven Patton @PattonAnalytics]

Benched in Arizona last year. Benched in Minnesota this year.

Kyler Murray's future in the NFL isn't looking too bright.

[Steven Patton @PattonAnalytics]

Passes Defended Leaders per @StatRankings:

Jacob Parrish - 14
Quentin Lake - 11
Zyon McCollum - 11
Deonte Banks - 10
Denzel Ward - 10

[Steven Patton @PattonAnalytics]

@Jaybird404Z ??

[Steven Patton @PattonAnalytics]

Expect an unbearable response to this one

[Steven Patton @PattonAnalytics]

Lamar Jackson doesn't need a second opinion

[Steven Patton @PattonAnalytics]

@sportswaatcher Homer >>> WW2

[Steven Patton @PattonAnalytics]

Rewatched The Prestige last night and I'm convinced it's Nolan's magnum opus

[Steven Patton @PattonAnalytics]

@TheMikeSalk Tendency ratings from the end of last season: https://t.co/YJZua01pFo

[Steven Patton @PattonAnalytics]

Play Caller Tendencies 🎛️

Shane Steichen and the Colts missing the playoffs is tough to see after such a promising start.

It’ll be interesting to see where Zac Robinson, Mike Kafka, and Drew Petzing land once the dust settles.

[Steven Patton @PattonAnalytics]

Play Caller Tendencies 🎮

The NFC North is the only division where every offensive play caller has a positive rating.

The AFC North, AFC East, and NFC West are close behind, each with at least three play callers in positive territory.

[Steven Patton @PattonAnalytics]

@TheMikeSalk Here is the methodology: https://t.co/B0Tue1jr6g

[Steven Patton @PattonAnalytics]

The wait is over.

The full breakdown of v3.0 is finally here.

Link Below 👇

[Steven Patton @PattonAnalytics]

@cbocker32 @FantasyKash Posted about him a good amount this season bud

[Steven Patton @PattonAnalytics]

CJ Stroud is balling out in spite of his supporting cast

[Okeezie @OkeezieSportsPT]

Yeah we aren't going to let people tell us Caleb Williams is a better QB than Stroud. Results over Hype:

[Steven Patton @PattonAnalytics]

@juss1700 Kevin's doesn't adjust for offensive line play. Just look at the EPA column in Ben's post.

[Steven Patton @PattonAnalytics]

@juss1700 If adjusted EPA only factors in SOS then sure, but when you adjust EPA for additional context that's not the case.

QBR also adjusts for supporting cast and strength of opponents faced, and Stroud edges him out there as well. https://t.co/lsppWC4pLk

[Computer Cowboy @benbbaldwin]

Adjusted EPA + PFF Blend through week 9

Ah Joe Burrow is BACK

How are the Broncos 7-2 lol