Pat Cavlin

PIX11 Meteorologist // AMS CBM #871 // Pilot // Former NYS EMT // Occasional Storm Chaser ☈

[Pat Cavlin @pcavlin]

No one:
Absolutely no one:
Not a single soul:

Deer in Ronkonkoma:

[Pat Cavlin @pcavlin]

GRAF (left) and HRRR (right) continue the idea of a transition to snow or mix of rain and snow for areas north and west of NYC on Friday

Factors such as low placement and strengthening will ultimately play a key role in this but a trend worth watching

*Still NO SNOW for NYC*

[Chris 🇩🇪🇺🇸 @Mabuhei1]

Da kann man nur hoffen, dass die Besatzung gut angeschnallt war in ihren Kojen...

Ansonsten gibt es vielleicht Kopfweh!

[NY NJ PA Weather @nynjpaweather]

I said this in July and I will say it again, this winter is not your typical east-based El Nino. This is not 1998.

[Yashar Ali 🐘 @yashar]

NEW

The New York Times has obtained the letter President Trump left for President Biden in the Oval Office in 2021.

The letter — which Trump wrote by hand using his signature black Sharpie — is printed in Biden’s forthcoming presidential memoir.

Full Story: https://t.co/cIwHwWcS0c

[NWS Mount Holly @NWS_MountHolly]

Not much change from yesterday regarding the late week system affecting us beginning Thursday. #NJWX #PAWX #DEWX #MDWX

[Nicholas Isabella @NycStormChaser]

Here is how much snow fell around our region last winter. Will be interesting to see how the strong El Nino and other factors influence this coming winter.

[NWS Mount Holly @NWS_MountHolly]

El Niño conditions have already developed across the equatorial Pacific Ocean, and are forecast to continue strengthening into a very strong El Niño as we get into the winter months. What does this mean for our area this winter? (1/3)

https://t.co/ajwc5XDmt5

[Pat Cavlin @pcavlin]

I know we're a week out, but to get this kind of agreement between these two models (and the ensembles) at this range is impressive...

[Pat Cavlin @pcavlin]

❄️ You’re gonna hear a lottttttt about the chance for snow in the Northeast this week

Here’s what we know now:

@PIX11News

[Pat Cavlin @pcavlin]

Really impressed with how early the NWS is addressing this potential

[NWS Weather Prediction Center @NWSWPC]

Yes, there is a chance for a low pressure system to bring mixed precipitation to the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast by next weekend. But, there remains a lot of uncertainty. Keep apprised of the latest information at https://t.co/D8jZlzOsbd

[Tomer Burg @burgwx]

First thoughts on Fri-Sat storm potential 🧵

Ensembles have been persistently signaling a potential NE US cyclone, and the possibility for the first widespread interior snowstorm of the season.

Looking into the upstream drivers of this potential & remaining uncertainties:

[Pat Cavlin @pcavlin]

@andhewarhall

[Pat Cavlin @pcavlin]

well well well....

[Pat Cavlin @pcavlin]

@amarkowitzWX EURO ain’t far off 👀

[The Weather Channel @weatherchannel]

Central Park peak fall foliage

[Pat Cavlin @pcavlin]

AND A DOUBLE RAINBOW C'MON

[Pat Cavlin @pcavlin]

Face really says it all here:

@PIX11News

[Pat Cavlin @pcavlin]

GO OUTSIDE RIGHT NOW

[Basil🧡 (they/them) @LinkofSunshine]

The President, Speaker, and Majority Leader all grew up in this area of NYC lol