Yopeanutz

[Yopeanutz @peanutrgood]

@GpeterTrades https://t.co/XhiuOY96p9
Bro

[Quant Data @QuantData]

$GOOGL, $META, $AMZN, and $MSFT all getting crushed today...

🔴 Puts lead calls on $GOOGL by $5M+
🔴 Puts lead calls on $META by $10M+
🔴 Puts lead calls on $AMZN by $7M+
🔴 Puts lead calls on $MSFT by $6M+

[Scott Cheggs @Scott__Cheggs]

British life summed up in a football match

[PeterTrades @GpeterTrades]

$ABCL red on a very green day is annoying.

But look at the volume.

Only around 2.32M shares traded so far vs roughly 8.4M average volume.

Day is not over yet, but for now this does not look like heavy selling.

It looks more like low volume noise while the stock digests the recent move.

Red days are never fun, especially when the market is green, but volume matters.

If sellers were really taking control, I would expect a lot more participation.

Don’t get discouraged by every red candle or every red day.

[PeterTrades @GpeterTrades]

$SOFI is at a pretty important spot here.

Weekly chart still needs to break and close above the 21 EMA at 18.3.

So far, we’ve had two rejections, but price is still consolidating instead of fully breaking down.

As long as this base holds, the setup is still alive.

Momentum is trying to curl back up, volume has been picking up, and the stock is tightening under resistance.

Next week’s Fed meeting could make or break this chart.

A clean weekly close above the 21 EMA and we are off to the races.

[PeterTrades @GpeterTrades]

Why $MSFT can be a dead stock for while.

Last month, I liked the setup because it looked like a software recovery trade with a decent risk/reward.

But this was always a trade for me, not some “hold forever no matter what” position. I own some $MSFT in my RRSP and I don’t really care about that, but the trading setup is different.

Right now, the chart looks broken.

The pump and dump brought in more bearish momentum, the stock can’t catch a bid, and the technical picture has gotten worse across multiple timeframes.

Weekly structure is weak.
Monthly squeeze looks bad.
Moving averages are rolling over.
Sentiment is dead, but not in the same way $GOOGL was last year.
That comparison does not really work for me anymore.
$GOOGL had dead sentiment, but the chart never looked this damaged.
On top of that, the fundamental debate around $MSFT is getting harder:

AI capex
Cloud margins
OpenAI ROI
Whether the spending actually turns into high-return revenue fast enough

I still believe in the software recovery trade.

But I’m starting to think $IGV may be the better expression than trying to force $MSFT alone.

You still get Microsoft exposure, but the bet is more balanced across software.
It would not shock me to see $IGV outperform while $MSFT just chops around at $430–450 and frustrates everyone.

[PeterTrades @GpeterTrades]

Not going to lie, this $SOFI setup looks explosive here.

Weekly chart is tightening right under resistance, momentum is curling back up, and price is holding the base instead of breaking down.

Tomorrow’s Fed meeting could be the catalyst if the wording comes in right.

And on top of that, Anthony Noto keeps buying.

Today’s filing shows he bought more shares at around $18.

Chart is setting up.
Insider buying continues.
Macro catalyst tomorrow.
$SOFI feels like it wants to go to 25.

[PeterTrades @GpeterTrades]

$GRAB has been absolutely destroyed.

But I think there is finally some hope here.

With oil coming down, one of the major pressure points for the business could be easing. And on the weekly chart, bearish momentum looks like it may be exhausting.

The chart is still ugly, no question about that.

But the red momentum bars have started turning yellow, price is trying to stabilize, and volume has been picking up around this area.

The key level to watch is the falling weekly 21 EMA around $3.80.

If $GRAB can test it, break above it, and close above it, that would be the first real sign that the stock may have finally bottomed.

This is not a bad company.

The market just refuses to reward it right now like many other sectors.

[Yopeanutz @peanutrgood]

@GpeterTrades

[Eyal Yakoby @EYakoby]

YouTube has just committed genocide.

[Yopeanutz @peanutrgood]

@GpeterTrades Makes no sense hahaha

[Yopeanutz @peanutrgood]

@The_RockTrading Is today that tomorrow? Haha
Im long MSFT and PLTR loving them for a while
Hopefully my MSFT LEAPS print :)

[Elon Musk @elonmusk]

@wholemars If I were, the douchebags at Verge would have been dead long ago 😂

[PeterTrades @GpeterTrades]

$MSFT bull vs bear case feels pretty simple here.

Bull case:

Azure + AI demand is real. Cloud revenue is still compounding at massive scale. Copilot, GitHub, and enterprise AI monetization are still early. Microsoft also has one of the strongest distribution advantages in the entire enterprise software stack.

Bear case:

AI capex is getting enormous. Cloud margins may come under pressure. The market may start asking whether all this spending turns into high-return revenue fast enough.

To me, the debate is not whether Microsoft is a great company.

It obviously is.

The real debate is whether the market keeps valuing $MSFT like an asset-light software compounder, or starts discounting it more like a capital-intensive AI infrastructure business.

That makes the next few quarters very important.

Azure growth
AI revenue
Capex
Cloud margins
OpenAI ROI
That’s the scorecard.
If Azure stays strong and margins stabilize, the bull case wins.
If growth slows while capex keeps climbing, the bear case gets louder.
From a technical perspective, I also think $MSFT needs to prove itself here.

If it closes below the weekly 200 while the broader market is at ATHs, that would be a real warning sign.

At that point, the tides may have changed, and there could simply be better setups elsewhere.

I still like Microsoft long term, but the stock needs to show that the AI/OpenAI partnership can produce real ROI, not just a great story.

[Roman Baber @Roman_Baber]

In @MarkJCarney's Canada, a 15 year old is welcome to inject fentanyl in a taxpayer funded facility, but can't have a Facebook account.

More evidence that Modern Liberalism is a mental disorder.

[Yopeanutz @peanutrgood]

@GpeterTrades @BourbonCap

[PeterTrades @GpeterTrades]

It's going to be $MSFT week this week 🤞

[Yopeanutz @peanutrgood]

@kpak82 So you are thinking we are looking for more bearishness in MSFT?

[PeterTrades @GpeterTrades]

A few months ago I was walking through the old streets of Kyoto at night, completely disconnected from the U.S. market because of the time difference.

No charts.
No alerts.
No overthinking every candle.
No staring at futures before the market open.

Just silence, old streets, lanterns, and this weird feeling that maybe the best trade sometimes is doing nothing.

That trip made me realize how much damage comes from overtrading, forcing setups, and trying to analyze every single move.

Sometimes less is more.

And honestly, that mindset matters even more with setups like $ABCL and $OUST.

They require patience, conviction, and the ability to sit through noise without constantly trying to “do something.”

[Leviathan @l3v1at4an]

So nice of @theJagmeetSingh to meet with prominent terrorist supporter Firas Al Najim.

The same one who protests & yells outside of Jewish retirement homes housing Holocaust survivors.

[Beardo @BeardoTrader]

When the peace deal is signed, $QQQ will return to all time highs.

Jim Cramer will say earnings are up, oil is down, and it's time to be bullish again.

That's when you sell.

Then, $SPY will drop 5% and the bears will scream "DOUBLE TOP!", while everyone calls for a crash.

That's when you buy.

Trading has never been easier.