bob

[Diyas.Σίσυφος(embracing bubble) @diyas_1989]

@swh16888 Nooooooo for a trade yes, only for weeks long trade

[bob @peibo0318]

@diyas_1989 @entropycurve @saylor He doesn’t have to sell. MSTR has enough cash. I think he is doing it on purpose to accumulate btc

[Diyas.Σίσυφος(embracing bubble) @diyas_1989]

@TShirtnJeans2 I know u r qualified be wealth management client of gs/jpm/ms lolol

[bob @peibo0318]

@labubu_trader Curious why you longed NG in the first place. This rally is driven by unexpected cold weather. Did you see that coming? Or just because the shorts were too crowded

[Norseman Market Timing @Norseman1]

We are green on all our Portfolio’s. Hitting new ATH’s this am off open on them today. Still green with the market red….But we don’t expect a BROAD rip without $MAGS. $MSFT isn’t micro soft it’s mega soft.

[bob @peibo0318]

@diyas_1989 I think you are right. in addition, military operations again VE has been going for a while, the capture of Maduro will likely be seen as the end of a potential risk event. 1989 Panama might be an example to study.

[bob @peibo0318]

@diyas_1989 The final stage of a bubble is the craziest. I am ready to short now.

[bob @peibo0318]

@diyas_1989 time to short, better risk reward than long here

[Diyas.Σίσυφος(embracing bubble) @diyas_1989]

Do u go to gym today?

[bob @peibo0318]

@diyas_1989 @AntonLaVay Short crude

[bob @peibo0318]

@hhuang @tj_research @ynzchn1545156 @JOSEPH_GENLIN 假突破一下200日线然后回头

[bob @peibo0318]

@Norseman1 Total tranches = 10? or 100?

[bob @peibo0318]

@hhuang 这个信源准确吗？找不到source

[bob @peibo0318]

@hhuang @AntonLaVay 短线看一波TLT反弹问题不大

[bob @peibo0318]

Told you

[bob @peibo0318]

@hhuang @Balder13946731 vix连续三天在40以上过去二十几年只发生过15次。11次筑底反弹，四次继续下跌。问题是那四次都是极端情况（疫情，08年），之后市场继续大跌。因此如果历史有效，现在属于大概率反弹，但是upside有限，小概率下跌，但是跌幅较大。但我觉得反弹概率大一些，毕竟没有流动性危机。

[bob @peibo0318]

@hhuang @Balder13946731 vix连续三天在40以上过去二十几年只发生过15次。11次筑底反弹，四次继续下跌。问题是那四次都是极端情况（疫情，08年），之后市场继续大跌。因此如果历史有效，现在属于大概率反弹，但是upside有限，小概率下跌，但是跌幅较大。但我觉得反弹概率大一些，毕竟没有流动性危机。

[bob @peibo0318]

@hhuang @Balder13946731 这个时候任何好消息都会推动市场反弹，这里做空的性价比很低，风险很大

[bob @peibo0318]

@diyas_1989 @hhuang I checked 2022 and 2020, seems HYG and SPX moved simultaneously. HYG does not seem to lead SPX. This time will probably be the case as well?

[bob @peibo0318]

@diyas_1989 @venusinox1 that's about +6.5% from here

[bob @peibo0318]

@diyas_1989 @venusinox1 typo, I mean "data"

[bob @peibo0318]

@diyas_1989 @venusinox1 did some math with dada. combined with VIX profile, safe play is to bet SPY +6.25%, QQQ + 7.5% from here and then wait for the next leg