Emirhan Erkan

Researcher, webmaster. Built The Singularity Gate: The threshold for AI-driven scientific discovery. Community Lead @arcprize. Owner @

[Emirhan Erkan @permaximum88]

Claude Opus 4.8 is an incremental but noticable improvement and leads the Singularity Gate with 20.47%. But still no model fully predicts a discovery. Opus 4.7 is 2nd, GPT-5.5 is 3rd.

[Emirhan Erkan @permaximum88]

@VictorTaelin @fchollet He totally used an LLM for that one lol :D

[Emirhan Erkan @permaximum88]

@haider1 Anthropic co-founder Jack Clarks also think end of 2028 is the point we reach rescursive self improvement.
https://t.co/DKKLYLORTb

[Jack Clark @jackclarkSF]

I've spent the past few weeks reading 100s of public data sources about AI development. I now believe that recursive self-improvement has a 60% chance of happening by the end of 2028. In other words, AI systems might soon be capable of building themselves.

[Emirhan Erkan @permaximum88]

@scaling01 It seems the first jump was related to the department of war fiasco both the Trump administration and OpenAI caused though, in the beginning of March.

[Emirhan Erkan @permaximum88]

@bindureddy They should also make the model smarter, and more agentic. Opus and Claude Code feels more like an actual smart agent that know you and your intent.

[Emirhan Erkan @permaximum88]

@arcprize No surprises here as my own benchmark, the Singularity Gate, has shown Claude Opus 4.8 is clearly smarter than other models as well. And it's at "high" effort. Not max or even xhigh.
https://t.co/x4Bl6jjwow

[Emirhan Erkan @permaximum88]

Claude Opus 4.8 is an incremental but noticable improvement and leads the Singularity Gate with 20.47%. But still no model fully predicts a discovery. Opus 4.7 is 2nd, GPT-5.5 is 3rd.

[Emirhan Erkan @permaximum88]

No surprises here as my own benchmark, the Singularity Gate, has shown Claude Opus 4.8 is clearly smarter than other models as well. And it's at "high" effort. Not max or even xhigh.

[ARC Prize @arcprize]

Anthropic Opus 4.8 is new SOTA on ARC-AGI-3

Score: 1.5%, ~$10K

ARC-AGI-3 analysis notes:
* Opus 4.8 read the environment an abstraction *above* Opus 4.7, as objects & systems, not pictures
* Opus 4.8 succeeded on early levels, but still committed to a wrong sub-goal

[Emirhan Erkan @permaximum88]

@fbneistersen Pierre Sage'yi Crystal Palace almak üzere. Ne yapın edin devreye girip getirin. 100% şampiyon yapar, rahat yapar. An itibariyle açık ara farkla dünyadaki en iyi teknik direktör. Yapay zeka şirketimde zaten teknik direktör, santrafor, ve kaleci önerileri yapıyoruz.

[Emirhan Erkan @permaximum88]

@yagosabuncuoglu Adam 23 nisanda görüştüm diyor. Nereye görüşeceğini açıklamış? Seçimi kazanırsa Hakan Safi, Fenerbahçe'yle alakalı her yerden men edilmelisin sen, tatlı su kurnazı seni. @fbneistersen

[Emirhan Erkan @permaximum88]

In the Singularity Gate, Claude Opus 4.8 at 'xhigh' performed worse than its 'max effort' setting, matching Opus 4.7's max effort. Since the benchmark only tracks each model's best configuration (highest effort, agentic harness & tool use allowed), its results have been excluded.

[Emirhan Erkan @permaximum88]

Claude Opus 4.8 is an incremental but noticable improvement and leads the Singularity Gate with 20.47%. But still no model fully predicts a discovery. Opus 4.7 is 2nd, GPT-5.5 is 3rd.

[Emirhan Erkan @permaximum88]

Claude Opus 4.8 leads in four of five scientific fields; GPT-5.5 leads in Physics & Astronomy. Per-field breakdown is below.
For more information about the Singularity Gate head over to the site or check the paper:
Paper: https://t.co/miqCc6YPq9
Website: https://t.co/E4w7puXzFa

[Emirhan Erkan @permaximum88]

Claude Opus 4.8 is an incremental but noticable improvement and leads the Singularity Gate with 20.47%. But still no model fully predicts a discovery. Opus 4.7 is 2nd, GPT-5.5 is 3rd.

[Emirhan Erkan @permaximum88]

We've seen a steady improvement with Claude Opus models in the Singularity Gate. They're getting closer to fully predicting a discovery. We'll probably see the first ones with Mythos.

[Emirhan Erkan @permaximum88]

The Singularity Gate results for the new Claude Opus 4.8 is coming in the next 24 hours! The contamination audit flagged a few discoveries for Opus 4.8, so those're removed from the corpus. Because of that small score changes for all models should be expected.

[Emirhan Erkan @permaximum88]

@fbneistersen Geç kalırsanız Liverpool önümüzdeki ay içinde alır haberiniz olsun.

[Emirhan Erkan @permaximum88]

@fbneistersen Daha önce de mesleğimden bahsetmiştim. Pierre Sage şu an Fenerbahçe (ve birçok takım) için dünyadaki en iyi teknik direktör. Ne kadara ikna ediyorsanız edin. Takım değerini 1.5 ile çarpacak kadar etkisi var. 300 milyon euroluk takımdan 450 milyon euroluk performans alır.

[Emirhan Erkan @permaximum88]

@petergostev I was expecting this. The model is incredibly honest and grounded.