Sheri

Chart-focused trader | Sharing setups, Support and resistance| No noise, just clean charts. not selling anything or financial advice.

[Sheri @persiantrader12]

@NBCNews @LiveSquawk Yes, they are going to fire him instead

[Sheri @persiantrader12]

@AlexsOptions I used to be die hard fan of your discord. But it kinda changed so I left. Maybe I give it another go. It may have been transitional.

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

DEMOCRATIC SWEEP? UBS SEES 50% ODDS.

UBS assigns a 50% probability to Democrats winning both chambers, while prediction markets put Democratic control of the House at 94% and Senate at 77%.

UBS warns a sweep could complicate Trump's fiscal agenda and 2027 debt-ceiling negotiations, while tariffs and AI investment remain largely insulated.

[Sheri @persiantrader12]

@Team2Trading Thank you for being honest.

[Sheri @persiantrader12]

@iCurlyCae @tradingview Chose SPX ON TVC .. same price same movement but free

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

FRENCH PRESIDENT MACRON: CIA HAS NOT WARNED FRANCE ABOUT RUSSIAN THREATS

[Sheri @persiantrader12]

@MrF2rev Well tomorrow your FTC may be invalidated.

[Sheri @persiantrader12]

@MrF2rev Or 2-1-2 to the downside. That’s the beautiful thing about the inside bar, there is no biased until it breaks one side.

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

US CPI PREVIEW 🇺🇸

Friday’s August US CPI report could be one of the most consequential inflation prints in months, with the outcome potentially tipping the balance on whether the Fed hikes rates at next week’s FOMC meeting.

Consensus expectations point to headline CPI rising around 0.4% MoM, a sharp acceleration from 0.1% in July, while core CPI is expected around 0.2% MoM. On a year-over-year basis, headline inflation is expected near 3.4%, with core easing to around 2.4%.

The expected acceleration in headline inflation is largely an energy story. Energy prices are seen rebounding roughly 2.5% MoM after falling 1.5% in July, driven in part by a 4%+ seasonally adjusted increase in gasoline prices. Food inflation is expected around 0.2%, although risks are tilted toward a slightly stronger 0.3% reading.

Underneath the headline, however, the core picture looks much more mixed.

Travel-related components could provide upside pressure, with airfares expected to rise around 3% MoM and lodging prices rebounding after two particularly weak months. On the other side, medical-care inflation is expected to moderate, apparel prices could decline, used-car inflation should slow and shelter inflation continues to show signs of cooling.

Technology goods are another area worth watching. July saw a sharp 1.4% MoM increase in IT goods, partly reflecting previously announced computer price increases. That impulse is expected to fade somewhat in August, potentially removing another source of pressure from core goods inflation.

THE FED DECISION 👀

This is where the report becomes especially important.

The Fed enters the release with policymakers debating whether recent disinflation is sufficient to justify patience or whether inflation remains sticky enough to warrant another increase in rates. With the September FOMC decision just days away, the composition of the CPI report could matter almost as much as the headline number.

A simple framework for Friday:

🔥 0.3% core: would represent a meaningful upside surprise and could significantly strengthen the case for a 25bp hike.

⚖️ 0.2% core: keeps the decision finely balanced. In that scenario, markets are likely to focus heavily on the unrounded number, shelter, services and the eventual core PCE read-through.

🕊️ 0.1% core: would provide much stronger evidence that underlying inflation is cooling and strengthen the case for the Fed to remain on hold.

Markets are already leaning toward a more hawkish policy path. Fed funds futures have roughly 15.5bp of tightening priced for next week, 23bp cumulatively by October and 37bp by year-end, meaning the CPI print has plenty of potential to force a repricing in either direction.

Bottom line: don’t just watch headline CPI.

Watch core inflation, shelter, services, energy and the PCE read-through. And with consensus sitting almost exactly at the dividing line, even a few basis points could matter.

0.1% = hold gets stronger.
0.2% = debate stays alive.
0.3% = hike risk rises sharply.

With the Fed decision just days away, Friday’s CPI could set the tone for rates, the dollar and risk assets heading into the FOMC.

[*Walter Bloomberg @DeItaone]

TRUMP PROPOSES MAJOR OVERHAUL OF U.S. CENSUS

The Trump administration proposed limiting the 2030 census to U.S. citizens and permanent residents, excluding undocumented and temporary lawful immigrants.

The proposal would also remove race and ethnicity questions from the census.

Because census data determines congressional representation and distribution of federal funding, the changes could significantly affect states with large immigrant populations.

The proposal now enters a 30-day public comment period and could face legal challenges.

[Citrini @citrini]

“Claude, criticize the Secretary of the Treasury. Make no mistakes.”

[Lukas Ekwueme @ekwufinance]

Trump: Losing world reserve currency status would be worse than losing a major war. We wouldn't be the same country anymore.

And yet, it looks like the US is losing both... a major war and its world reserve currency status.

- It has suffered a humiliating defeat against Iran
- It is becoming increasingly clear that the USD is unfit to remain the world's reserve currency

Bessent's interventions made two things clear:

1. You are encouraged to save in USTs for a rainy day...
But when that rainy day comes, you can't be allowed to sell.

It's a one-way deal.

Countries are expected to fund the US, but asking for your money back risks crashing the system.

2. The way Bessent ultimately wants to "solve" this problem is through printing... In other words, devaluing everyone else's holdings in the process.

We don't own enough gold for what is coming.

[Sheri @persiantrader12]

@QuantData What time does the MVC change? In am?

[Sheri @persiantrader12]

@tradingview @TradeStation Whatever happened to tradingview support. It won’t let you create tickets anymore. Offset thing

[LiveSquawk @LiveSquawk]

Rental costs near MetLife Stadium are already up sharply ahead of the World Cup. People are here and spending heavily. And then there is the uplift effect, similar to the Olympics, that supports economic mood in ways the data does not capture.

[Quant Data @QuantData]

🚨 The U.S government just recorded ANOTHER budget deficit month in May 2026 coming in at ($293B+).

For reference, the United States Government has only recorded 21 surplus months over the last 10 years...

[Sheri @persiantrader12]

@QuantData Thank you! Made 86%

[Sheri @persiantrader12]

@QuantData Are these the dark pool levels?

[GB Trader @GreenBeretTradr]

Tomorrow Trade plan: $NVDA 5/22 240C or 5/22 242.5C. I’m staying away from the 5/15s — gamma is brutal there and the ATM premium is too tight.

This is the single biggest directional name on the tape. Super clean bull flow: $228.7M in call buying against 206.7M in call selling, with puts basically split even at 43.8M. The key detail for me is the short-dated stuff — the 0–3 DTE alone is +$15M net bull, and the 11–30 DTE adds another +$13.4M.

$RKLB 6/18 145C or 7/17 140C. This is the cleanest 1-month bull setup in the data right now. Total +4.0M net bull on $17.5M directional flow — 100% bull side, zero offsetting flow.