Peter J Higginbotham

AFL statistics, analysis & forecasts

[Peter J Higginbotham @PeterHiggo]

@jock_reynolds Very much reciprocated. Please send my regards to Narelle.

[Peter J Higginbotham @PeterHiggo]

@SENBreakfast To paraphrase T.S Elliot - Information is not knowledge, and knowledge is not wisdom. There are intangibles that can't be grasped by data sets or media commentators. Dees just win the flag Kingy.

[Peter J Higginbotham @PeterHiggo]

A big shoutout to all Team Punk TDF competitors. May the best team win! #sbstdf

[Peter J Higginbotham @PeterHiggo]

Updated tables for Round 5. Average Game Score predictions spot on again. Predicting a slight elevation in scoring this week - ave. game score forecast = 163 pts.

[Peter J Higginbotham @PeterHiggo]

Updated Total Game Scores and Margin tables. Round 4 ave. score was 156.4pts. Expecting a similar outcome for Round 5.

[Peter J Higginbotham @PeterHiggo]

@commishjc Very flattering - I do miss the fun, camaraderie and warmth from friends such as yourself.

[Peter J Higginbotham @PeterHiggo]

Updated Total Game Scores & Winning Margin charts. Feel media may be going slightly early on scoring shift. Traditional drop in scores expected for Round 4.

[Peter J Higginbotham @PeterHiggo]

A very close friend of mine is offering online maths tuition - significant. Worth a look for those with school aged mathematicians. https://t.co/YdQw2oWzVM

[The Old Fitzroy @TheOldFitzroy]

@PeterHiggo Marks inside 50 and goals both in decline over 20 years. Strong correlation.

[Peter J Higginbotham @PeterHiggo]

@Jonesracing82 @davidking34 @DJDevils1 @HarfSerious @Robbo_heraldsun @rohan_connolly Lower game scores lead to closer games. Closer games result in increased fan engagement. In this regard the new rules are a win for the AFL.

[Peter J Higginbotham @PeterHiggo]

Time to return to some AFL analysis. Attached is a look at Total Game Scoring and Game Margin trends over the past decade. #AFL #AFLdata #SuperCoach

[Peter J Higginbotham @PeterHiggo]

Round 10 is an historically low scoring round. 2019 has followed this trend producing the lowest scoring round for the year - Average Total Game Score of 150.3 - the 3rd lowest scoring round in over 10 years.
@BFtigercast @Jonesracing82

[Peter J Higginbotham @PeterHiggo]

@Jonesracing82 @bpeaves @kanecornes @AFL @TheTiserSport Update attached.

[Peter J Higginbotham @PeterHiggo]

@theheraldsun @Supercoach I think it’s time @jock_reynolds & @TheCrouchingOne ... I suggest we meet in The Bungalow tomorrow night.

[Peter J Higginbotham @PeterHiggo]

Updated Total Game Score infographic; Ade v Freo's Total Game Score of 83 lowest since Rd.14 1997 - Freo v Syd, 81 pts. @BFtigercast

[Peter J Higginbotham @PeterHiggo]

@BFtigercast Will post in morning

[Peter J Higginbotham @PeterHiggo]

Average margin of 15.1 pts this round - very low! I think the closeness of the games might distract people for another week from the low scoring.

[Tigercast @Tigercastpod]

@PeterHiggo @Jonesracing82 @MatterOfStats Gees this round was a shocker for scores.

How many more weeks of trending down until questions start being asked do you think?

[Tigercast @Tigercastpod]

@PeterHiggo Hey mate, would love to see an updated table on the scores!

[Peter J Higginbotham @PeterHiggo]

@AussieBenC 147 is still a goal every 5 minutes or so... still seems unlikely given game styles

[Peter J Higginbotham @PeterHiggo]

Can anyone confirm if this is the lowest Total Game Score Over/Under market ever framed?