Tony Corke

#rstats, maths, science, quirky stuff, and Aussie Rules football.

@[email protected] on mastodon
@matterofstats.bsky.social on Bluesky

[Tony Corke @MatterOfStats]

One mostly for the Squiggle modellers and Monash Prob Comp participants

You think the probability of a home win is h, and of a draw is d. What value should you enter for Prob(Home win) in the competitions?

[Tony Corke @MatterOfStats]

15th game of the season tonight won by the team registering fewer scoring shots

[Tony Corke @MatterOfStats]

@uvmcda @maxlaughton You don't measure HGA based on 3 games. Over the past few years it's averaged about 15 points per game.

[Tony Corke @MatterOfStats]

@uvmcda @maxlaughton Certainly an advantage, but nothing like 50/50 becomes 80/20. Maybe 65/35 for some teams, and that's assuming about a two-and-a-half goal HGA.

[Tony Corke @MatterOfStats]

Getting my 5G booster shot on Saturday with a flu-shot chaser. Good times.

[Flight Emergency @FlightEmergency]

Who lives in a pineapple under the sea? SpongeBob SquarePants 🎶

Someone flying a Diamond DA42 Twin Star (N108LU) over Bellefontaine, Ohio, had a little fun — drawing a giant SpongeBob SquarePants on the map. Via @AirNavRadar

Check the flight data: https://t.co/LFbFhv1dhg

[Tony Corke @MatterOfStats]

@RadelaideRob "No sir, that's 6" at most ..."

[Tony Corke @MatterOfStats]

@phalpern I'd heard that Schrödinger both did and didn't have a cat, but no-one was game to open the box

[Cricmetric @cricmetric]

📢📢 I am excited to announce a new open source code repository on the application of AI and Data Science in the Cricket world. Over the course of next few days, I will be open sourcing the models that power some of the advanced analytics on Cricmetric.

First installment: a full look into the T10 Win Probability model that is currently used on the website. Detailed article: https://t.co/4vAi2EWFOs

The open source Git repository can be found here: https://t.co/OEACLpJN7z . Collaborators invited!

[Tony Corke @MatterOfStats]

@Chudlubber @AflGlicko If you're genuinely interested and not just wanting to have a crack for its own sake, there are about a dozen different models whose team ratings and rankings are summarised here (and probably not a spreadsheet amongst them)

https://t.co/2UQysbbexy

[Tony Corke @MatterOfStats]

@hthieblot

[WeRateDogs @dog_rates]

This is Freddy and Ozzy. They are transferring data. Please do not disrupt them until the process is complete. 13/10 for both

[Tony Corke @MatterOfStats]

Top 5 most common leads in men's V/AFL football

At QT: 1 / 6 / 2 / 7 / 5
At HT: 6 / 2 / 5 / 1 / 3
At 3QT: 5 / 4 / 3 / 7 / 8
At FT: 1 / 2 / 5 / 3 / 9

[Tony Corke @MatterOfStats]

@EmlynBreese Are there some really small counts here?

My (possibly flawed) understanding is that Disposals and Possessions should generally be very similar (recognising that tackled means poss no disp, and kicked off ground means disp and no poss)

[Tony Corke @MatterOfStats]

@fuzzybluerain Is the cling wrap waiting to pounce and send whatever you've not eaten by then to the fridge?

[Tony Corke @MatterOfStats]

@ItsAndyRyan Indeed ...

https://t.co/rk1Mp51e3X

[Tony Corke @MatterOfStats]

@DanielCherny You're beautiful
You're beautiful
You're beautiful, it's true
I saw your mace in a crowded place
And I don't know what to do
'Cause I'll never be with you

[Tony Corke @MatterOfStats]

@QuantumHawk666 Exactly

[Tony Corke @MatterOfStats]

A touch of pasive aggressiveness, ChatGPT style