Olivia
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Something unusual is unfolding this week — and it could ripple across markets.
On Friday, the U.S. is releasing CPI inflation data during a government shutdown.
This is the first Friday CPI print since 2018 — and it lands just five days before the next Fed meeting.
The Labor Department confirmed that no other reports will be produced until the shutdown ends.
Markets are reading between the lines: could this timing signal a bullish CPI narrative?
Whether intentional or coincidental, the intersection of policy, data, and politics at this moment is rare — and potentially will move the markets.
In uncertain times, the data we do get matters more than the data we don’t.
The real inflection point isn’t price — it’s perception.
— Resley Cassaro | The Crypto Strategist
X: @Cryptos_Alert | IG: @Rise_with_Crypto
#MacroStrategy #Inflation #Markets #CryptoStrategy #DigitalAssets #FederalReserve
FEAR & GEED INDEX...
What these readings mean👇
Extreme fear is a condition, not a timing tool. It tells you positioning is defensive and risk premia are elevated. Prices are hypersensitive to incremental good news (liquidity, policy, earnings beats) and less responsive to incremental bad news unless credit stress rises.
When both crypto and equities flash fear together, it’s a macro/liquidity story rather than a single-asset story. Think USD strength, higher real yields, and de-risking by systematic funds—more than any one crypto headline.
History rhymes at these levels
Not precise forecasts—just the playbook I’ve seen repeat over 20+ years of cycles:
Bitcoin / Crypto (index ≤ ~25)
Nov–Dec 2018: Extreme fear into the capitulation low, followed by a multi-month recovery.
Mar 2020: Panic reading during the COVID crash → swift V-shaped reversal with triple-digit gains in the following months as liquidity flooded back.
Jun–Jul 2022: Extreme fear produced a tradable bounce, but liquidity kept tightening and we printed a lower low in Nov 2022. Lesson: fear can mark a low without being the low when macro is deteriorating.
Late 2022 → Jan 2023: Fear lingered; once DXY and yields rolled over, crypto engineered a powerful trend change.
US Stocks (CNN Fear & Greed ≤ ~25)
Dec 2018 and Oct 2022: Extremes coincided with important tactical lows and strong 6–12M forward returns as the Fed pivoted from “most hawkish” to “less bad.”
Mar 2020: Extreme fear at the crash low → historic rally with policy support.
2008 exception: Fear stayed pinned because credit cracked. When HY spreads blow out and funding markets freeze, extremes persist.
Bottom line from history:
In most cases, these fear troughs are followed by relief rallies within 2–8 weeks—provided credit markets remain functional and the dollar/yields stop rising.
When liquidity worsens (stronger USD, rising real yields, widening credit spreads), fear can persist and produce lower lows before the real turn.
Today’s read (present moment)
Cross-asset fear suggests de-risking is macro-driven. If we see even a modest improvement in liquidity (DXY stalls, 10Y yields stop climbing, credit spreads stable), the set-up favors a reflexive rally in both equities and crypto.
In crypto specifically, I’m watching:
Funding/basis: Negative funding and compressed perp basis often precede short squeezes.
Stablecoin dominance & net issuance: Stabilization/upticks = fresh dry powder.
ETF net flows & on-chain distribution: Outflows moderating while long-term holders keep net accumulating is constructive.
Risks that would negate the bounce case: a credit event, renewed USD surge, or policy shock that tightens liquidity further.
How I’d trade/invest it (not financial advice)
Tactical: Scale in near extremes rather than “all-in,” pair with defined-risk hedges (puts/collars) while fear is elevated. Look for confirmation: funding flips negative → flat → positive, breadth thrusts, and momentum reclaim of key MAs.
Strategic: Use fear pockets to upgrade quality—BTC, ETH, and cash-flowing infra (L2s, data/settlement rails)—instead of chasing illiquid beta.
Risk management: If credit spreads widen materially or DXY/real yields break higher again, expect lower-low risk and keep powder dry.
What usually follows a 20–25 reading
Scenario A (base case if liquidity stabilizes): 2–6 week relief rally led by high-quality risk (BTC > alts; mega-cap > small-cap).
Scenario B (bearish extension if liquidity worsens): One more flush into lower lows, then a more durable bottom when fear is ignored (apathy) rather than acute.
My take: Fear is high, positioning is light, and optionality is cheap—classic ingredients for a squeeze if macro stops getting worse. I’m patient, scaling, and letting liquidity be the signal.
— Resley Cassaro | The Crypto Strategist
📈 X: @Cryptos_Alert | IG: @Rise_with_Crypto
*The real inflection point isn’t price — it’s liquidity and adoption moving in sync.*
🚨 Bitcoin just entered what looks like a distribution phase on the weekly chart.
Let’s break down what that means — and why it could define the next 12 months of crypto markets. 🧵👇
1.
We’re seeing:
• 3 tops on the weekly
• RSI divergence
• Head & Shoulders pattern breakdown
➡️ Target: ~$94,473
This isn’t random — it’s how markets exhale before they expand again.
2:
If the bear market starts in Oct 2025, we could see a cycle low around Oct 2026 (~$64K) — right at the 200-week MA.
That’s when accumulation begins quietly.
3:
When infrastructure, liquidity & regulation synchronize —
the curve doesn’t rise.
It compounds. 📈
4:
Every major crypto bull market was born out of exhaustion.
This time won’t be different — only smarter.
🧭 Resley Cassaro | The Crypto Strategist
📘 Author of Rise with Crypto
Stay ahead of the next crypto cycle 👇
#blockchain #crypto #cryptocurrency #bitcoin #btc #ethereum #eth #risewithcrypto #investing #investor #cryptotrends #cryptonews #altcoins #cryptomarket #defi #web3 #nfts #layer2 #cryptoexchange #cryptoworld #cryptocommunity #bitcoinetf #btcetf #digitalassets #financialmarkets #macrotrends #cryptoinvesting #tradingstrategy #marketcrash #cryptocrash #bitcoincyle #marketcycle
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🚨 CRYPTO CRASH UPDATE — DATA REVISED
Within minutes, over $800 billion was wiped from the crypto markets — and just as fast, buyers stepped back in.
📉 BTC: −12.1% (116K → 102K)
📉 ETH: −15.2% (4,000 → 3,393)
📉 SOL: −17.6% (205 → 169)
This is not panic — it’s price discovery.
We’re watching a Wyckoff-style spring, an Elliott Wave wave 4 reset, and a Gann retracement perfectly aligned with the 100K support zone.
As I often remind readers in Rise With Crypto, volatility is not the enemy — it’s the rhythm of opportunity.
🧭 BTC Key Levels:
Support: $100K–$102K
Resistance: $112K–$116K
Rebounds born from fear are often the foundation of the next leg up. Stay focused. Stay strategic.
📘 From my book — “Rise With Crypto: From Zero to Financial Freedom in the Digital Age”
Available on Amazon 🇺🇸 🇪🇸 🇧🇷
#Crypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum #Solana #MarketAnalysis #Blockchain #CryptoCrash #BTC #ETH #SOL #Investing #DigitalAssets #FinancialFreedom #RiseWithCrypto #CryptoMarket #ElliottWave #Wyckoff #GannAnalysis #CryptoTrading #InstitutionalAdoption #CryptoNews
🚨🔥BIGGEST LIQUIDATION IN CRYPTO HISTORY
1.5 Million Traders Were Wiped Out — Why It Matters (and What Comes Next)
Crypto markets just endured a shock unlike any before. Over 1.5 million traders were liquidated. Around $9.57 billion of leveraged positions vanished in a single 24-hour window — officially the largest wipeout the leveraged crypto world has ever seen.
To put this in perspective: the record prior was May 2021, when Bitcoin collapsed from ~$43,000 to ~$30,000 and triggered ~$8.6 billion in liquidations. Today’s carnage eclipsed that, leaving markets reeling.
What triggered this purge?
The spark: Trump’s 100% tariff threat on China. A potent geopolitical shock, it unleashed a global risk-off wave. BTC, ETH, SOL — all plunged, and over $8 billion in long positions were forced into liquidation.
Cycle patterns don’t lie. Every major crypto cycle ends in a massive purge. That purge resets leverage, restores structural clarity, and prepares the ground for what comes next.
📊 Technical & Pattern Insights — What to Watch
Wyckoff / Accumulation Lens
This could be a forced spring test: sub-range break to shake weak hands, then a strong reclaim. If BTC reclaims above its prior low with a higher low, that’s a bullish signal.
If this is a UTAD (upthrust after distribution), we must watch whether Bitcoin holds above key support zones.
Elliott Wave Perspective
The crash may be a wave (4) in a larger impulsive sequence.
Expect a corrective channel, likely retracing between 0.382 to 0.618 of the prior leg.
If price falls below the invalidation boundary, the count transitions to an ABC corrective cycle.
Gann & Harmonic Geometry
Gann line (1×1) from major support pivots points to a critical zone at $100K–$102K.
Harmonically, cluster supports appear near $94K–$98K if deeper breakdown occurs.
Timewise, expect 3–5 trading days of volatility before trend clarity emerges.
Primary Price Levels (revisited)
Support: $100K – $102K
Resistance / Supply zones: $112K – $116K
Fibonacci retracements: 38.2% ≈ $107.3K, 50% ≈ $109K, 61.8% ≈ $110.7K
Invalidation Floor: Closing below ~$98K late in week tilts the risk toward deeper correction.
🧭 What to Expect Next (Scenarios)
ScenarioTriggerTarget ZoneRisk Zone
Bull Base CaseBTC reclaims > $112K + holds support$116K → $120K+Drop < $98K
Neutral / RangePrice oscillates between $102K and $112KSideways for 1–2 weeksSustained break either direction
Bear / Deeper CorrectionClose < $98K$94K → $89K if momentum buildsFast moves below $89K possible
The sharp rebound already underway suggests buyers rushed in at forced lows. But strength must be confirmed with follow-through above resistance zones.
📝 Personal Lens
As someone who’s lived through multiple cycles (2017, 2021, the LUNA collapse, flash crashes), I can tell you: raw compression is often the most fertile soil for the next leg. But survival was never about predicting moves — it’s about positioning where odds align.
In Rise With Crypto, I dive deep into how to manage cycles with discipline, avoid emotional reactions, and build asymmetry into your portfolio. This moment — as chaotic and frightening as it feels — might also be your most potent opportunity yet.
Stay patient. Let price speak. And don’t lose your nerve.
---
📘 Final Callout
Rise With Crypto — available globally in 🇺🇸 English · 🇪🇸 Español · 🇧🇷 Português, on Amazon.
This isn’t speculation. It’s strategy.
#BTC #ETH #SOL #CryptoLiquidation #CryptoMarkets #RiseWithCrypto #Trading #Blockchain #TechnicalAnalysis #MarketCrash
🔥CIRCLE 🤝 DEUTSCHE BÖRSE — A MAJOR STEP FOR EUROPEAN DIGITAL FINANCE
The walls between traditional capital markets and blockchain just moved again.
Circle has officially partnered with Deutsche Börse Group, one of Europe’s leading exchange and market infrastructure providers, to expand the use of USDC and EURC across European capital markets.
This collaboration is more than a partnership — it’s a bridge between tokenized digital money and regulated financial infrastructure.
By integrating stablecoins like USDC and EURC into established market systems, Europe is positioning itself at the forefront of digital asset settlement and liquidity innovation.
This move reinforces what I highlight in Rise with Crypto: the convergence of blockchain, finance, and regulation is not a distant future — it’s happening now, led by credible players who understand the value of compliant innovation.
The signal is clear:
✅ Stablecoins are evolving from DeFi tools to institutional-grade infrastructure.
✅ The next wave of global finance will run on interoperable rails.
Digital finance is going mainstream — one collaboration at a time.
📘 Learn more about the institutional transformation of money and markets in my book, Rise with Crypto, available in 🇺🇸 🇪🇸 🇧🇷 on Amazon.
#Circle #DeutscheBörse #Blockchain #Stablecoins #USDC #EURC #Tokenisation #DigitalAssets #InstitutionalAdoption #Crypto #RiseWithCrypto #Finance #Innovation #Web3
BH BECOMES BRAZIL'S "BITCOIN CAPITAL"
— A Symbolic Breakthrough for Crypto Cities
Belo Horizonte (BH) just took a bold step into the future. Mayor Álvaro Damião signed a law declaring the city the official “Capital of Bitcoin.”
The intent is clear: position BH as a hub for crypto innovation, education, and investment. The law authorizes city support for blockchain events, courses, and tech-driven entrepreneurship — though critics caution the plan lacks concrete incentives.
Why It Matters
Symbolic power: When a major city from the 5th biggest country in the world with over 210 million people adopts the “Bitcoin Capital” title, it signals to investors and innovators that crypto infrastructure matters.
Cultural anchor: Anchoring identity in crypto can attract projects, talent, and tourism to BH.
Regulatory momentum: Even if not perfect yet, this is a political statement toward broader local crypto acceptance.
In Rise with Crypto, I explore how cities and regions become micro-cryptoeconomies, turning regulation, branding, and infrastructure into a competitive edge. BH’s move mirrors what I predicted: not waiting for national shift but leading from the ground up.
This is more than a title — it’s a beacon. Let’s watch how BH builds the infrastructure to match its ambition.
📘 Rise with Crypto — available worldwide in 🇺🇸 🇪🇸 🇧🇷 — shows how local leadership becomes the foundation for global crypto adoption.
#Bitcoin #CryptoCity #BeloHorizonte #Blockchain #RiseWithCrypto #Innovation #CryptoAdoption #CryptoInfrastructure
🏡 'OPENDOOR' Eyes Bitcoin Home Transactions — A New Era for Real Estate and Crypto
In a move that could rewrite how we buy homes, Opendoor, a $6–7 billion real estate iBuyer platform, just confirmed plans to allow Bitcoin payments for properties.
CEO Kaz Nejatian responded on X: “We will. Just need to prioritize it.”
This isn’t speculative — it’s a signal that $BTC is evolving into money, one home at a time.
🔑 Why This Matters
Real-world adoption: Accepting Bitcoin for homes moves crypto beyond trading — into practical, high-ticket use cases.
Capital unlocking: Sellers can hold crypto instead of converting to fiat. The buyer side opens to global capital flows.
Institutional confidence: If real estate firms integrate Bitcoin payments, it cements the narrative of crypto as institutional-grade collateral.
Legacy infrastructure meets Web3: Home contracts, deeds, and transfers can benefit from blockchain’s speed, transparency, and programmability.
Opendoor’s shift aligns with trends I discuss in Rise With Crypto, particularly in Chapter 7 (Institutional Adoption & Balance Sheet Strategy) and Chapter 11 (New Monetary & Regulatory Order). This is precisely the moment where regulation, capital, and utility converge.
🔮 What to Watch Next
Timeline & execution: When will this capability roll out? Full homes, partial payments, fees?
Custody and compliance: Which crypto custodian will partner? How will title / escrow adapt?
Market reaction: This could shift demand toward Bitcoin holders buying real assets.
Competing firms: Will other real estate platforms follow? Will mortgage lenders offer Bitcoin-backed home loans?
---
This development isn’t just news — it’s a milestone in crypto’s maturation into real money. In "Rise With Crypto", I lay out how adoption moves in layers — from niche to institutional to real-world utility. Opendoor’s step is one of those utility layers in motion.
The book is now available worldwide on Amazon in three languages:
🇺🇸 English | 🇪🇸 Spanish | 🇧🇷 Portuguese
👉 Link in bio.
#Bitcoin #BTC #Crypto #RealEstate #Opendoor #HomeBuying #CryptoAdoption #Blockchain #RiseWithCrypto #DigitalAssets #PropTech #Web3 #Innovation
🚀 Avalanche ($AVAX) Makes Its Move to Wall Street: The Institutional Era Begins 🔥
Avalanche is officially stepping into the spotlight — and this could mark a pivotal moment for institutional adoption in crypto.
Avalanche Treasury Co. is going public through a $675 million SPAC deal, partnering with Mountain Lake Acquisition, and constructing a $1 billion $AVAX treasury. According to reports, $460 million is already locked — signaling serious intent, not speculation.
Now, here’s where it gets game-changing:
A Nasdaq listing could introduce $AVAX to the same stage as the world’s largest tech and finance players. This isn’t just a listing; it’s a bridge between blockchain and traditional finance, where liquidity, compliance, and innovation converge.
Institutions have long been looking for regulated, scalable, and high-throughput blockchains — and Avalanche, known for its subnets, low latency, and sustainability, is positioning itself as a leading contender.
If executed well, this move could establish Avalanche as one of the core pillars of institutional DeFi infrastructure, aligning with the accelerating narrative of tokenization, blockchain settlement, and digital assets integration.
Total contracts deployed on #Avalanche have more than tripled in the past year. Bullish for $AVAX!
As we’ve discussed in “Rise With Crypto”, this is exactly how the next phase of crypto adoption unfolds — when legacy finance doesn’t just join the game… it merges with it.
The lines between Wall Street and Web3 are blurring fast.
And Avalanche just threw its hat in the ring.
🌋 The avalanche has begun.
📚 Learn more in “Rise With Crypto” — now available in 🇺🇸 English, 🇪🇸 Spanish, and 🇧🇷 Portuguese on Amazon worldwide.
🔗 Link in bio.
#Avalanche #AVAX #Nasdaq #CryptoNews #InstitutionalAdoption #Blockchain #DeFi #CryptoMarket #Tokenization #Web3 #DigitalAssets #SPAC #Finance #CryptoInvesting #RiseWithCrypto #Bitcoin #Ethereum #CryptoCommunity
🚀 BITCOIN SEASONALITY INSIGHT 📊
Did you happen to know? Over the years, Bitcoin has exhibited clear patterns in average monthly returns — and history often repeats itself in markets.
🔥 Here are the standout trends:
✅ November is historically Bitcoin’s strongest month with an incredible +46.02% average return, often called "Moonvember" in the crypto community.
✅ October also stands out with +21.89%, often referred to as “Uptober” in the crypto circles.
✅ The early months (Feb, Mar, Apr) consistently deliver double-digit gains on average.
⚠️ Meanwhile, September is the weakest month historically, averaging -2.85%. Nevertheless, September 2025 showed strength, closing positive (5,16%).
💡 Why this matters:
Seasonality doesn’t guarantee the future, but it highlights how market psychology, liquidity cycles, and investor behavior tend to repeat. For traders & investors, timing entries and exits with these patterns can provide an extra edge.
🌍 As Bitcoin matures, these cycles interact with global liquidity trends, ETFs, and halving cycles — giving us a fascinating roadmap into how momentum builds.
📖 That’s why I dive deeper into these cycles and strategies in my book Rise with Crypto — helping readers master market psychology and position themselves smarter for the future.
👉 What’s your strategy for this Uptober + Moovember rally?
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Investing #RiseWithCrypto #CryptoTrading #FinancialFreedom #wealthcreation #trending
KHUGA BASH IS NOW LIVE!✳️
It’s finally here! The game is LIVE on @AbstractChain and ready for you to play!
BASH it now!⚔️
I have just written an article on Medium. "How to Prevent Being Scammed in Crypto: A Comprehensive Guide"
Check it out.
https://t.co/2DveGZAvcc
#Crypto #cryptocurrency #technology #Bitcoin #Altcoins #ETH
Look who’s already joined the adventure! 🔥
Events like @gamescomlatam are the perfect chance to connect, bond, and celebrate everything we’re building together with the RavenQuest community.
Streamers, creators, and legends are stopping by our booth—and snapping epic pics just like this one. 😎
Do like @afro_hey, @GODAOsz & YagoNFT! Come hang out, meet the team, strike a pose, and be part of the RavenQuest world!
📸 Don’t forget to post your photo with #RavenQuestGamescom and tag us!
🎭✨ O Bardo Está Chamando!
O @umbardomedisse (Instagram) estará na Gamescom LATAM, e
uma história inspirada em RavenQuest será escolhida
para ganhar vida no palco, em uma sessão épica de
RPG ao vivo!
O Bardo ouvirá as melhores histórias... e fará nascer
uma nova lenda.
🔹 Como participar:
Escreva uma história curta (1–2 parágrafos) inspirada
no universo de RavenQuest.
"Publique nas redes sociais e nos marque. Depois,
entre no nosso Canal de Eventos no Discord e envie
sua criação."
🎤 Conte sua história. Viva a aventura. Deixe sua
marca!
#RavenQuest #Gamescom #GamescomLATAM
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