Is $1.7M enough to log-off Polymarket forever?
#3 crypto trader stopped trading on the 4th of April
profile: https://t.co/6CKW2NwUGI
over 40k people are trying to snip his entry
he made $600k monthly and about $70k weekly
very few people will make this amount in their lifetime
article says a bit about how to retire using prediction markets
People work 9 to 5 to make what this bot makes before breakfast
What does $9,143 in ONE DAY look like?
Scroll through ohanism's profile and find out
This bot has made 91,000 bets since February
NINETY ONE THOUSAND
It trades 5/15min Markets
This is what happens when someone builds a machine specifically designed to beat prediction markets
It finds the edge, calculates the probability, and fires
Polymarket made this possible
Open markets, on-chain transparency, no gatekeepers
Just pure competition between code and conviction
74,000 people already saw this bot's profile
https://t.co/8CSvrxr3Lc
Win 98% of the time on Polymarket
> Trading is math, not chance
Formulas that top traders won't tell you about-it’s profitable for them that you remain exit liquidity
1. Poisson Distribution > P(k) = (λ^k * e^-λ) / k!
Helps correctly assess the probability of rare events that the market usually undervalues (especially "YES" on low prices)
2. Shannon Entropy > H = -[p log2(p) + (1-p) log2(1-p)]
Measures uncertainty in the market and edge (via KL-divergence). Also helps detect insiders-when entropy drops sharply without news
3. Fat Tails > P(X > x) = C * x^(-α)
The formula is needed to avoid going bankrupt at the moment when the market behaves "impossibly" according to ordinary mathematics
Tired of losing? Want to start trading successfully? Bookmark this
Half the broken Polymarket bots I've seen fail because the dev used the wrong API for the wrong job
Gamma API and CLOB API are two completely different layers
Here's exactly what each one does -and how to connect them correctly in your bot
> Gamma API - market discovery
Public. No auth required. No wallet needed
This is where you find markets, read prices, get metadata. Key endpoints:
• GET https://t.co/dn0Fcu4nLH{conditionId} - single market details (recommended, returns object)
• GET https://t.co/QHDDWwQoKC{conditionId} - market details (returns array)
• GET https://t.co/MxtlxwHgEP{slug} - event by slug + all markets inside
• GET https://t.co/MNdCT1D3uk{slug} - direct event access (even cleaner)
• GET https://t.co/w7PTb4hchD{id}&active=true - active markets by category
• GET https://t.co/MK09YojAJH{query} - market search (use q= only)
Most important field in the response:
clobTokenIds[] - array of two token IDs
clobTokenIds[0] = YES token
clobTokenIds[1] = NO token
These are your bridge to trading
> CLOB API - trade execution
• GET https://t.co/fdIBKO2cqu{id} - live order book
• GET https://t.co/2J0T3T3Jv6{id}&side=buy - best available price
• GET https://t.co/uskwOnKh2g{id} - midpoint price
• GET https://t.co/kXF8kHrYhq{id} - spread
• GET https://t.co/E7wMbTiKbd{id} - last trade price
• GET https://t.co/NUYpm82qLd{id} - fee rate
• GET https://t.co/ddDKp9kOgN{id} - tick size
• GET https://t.co/slW8QZX4vP - server time (for nonce)
Only trading endpoints require auth (POST /order, cancels, etc.)
> Correct two-step flow
# Step 1: Gamma - get metadata + token IDs
r = requests.get(f"https://t.co/ebsNZIqi26{market_condition_id}")
data = r.json()
token_id_yes = data["clobTokenIds"][0]
# Step 2: CLOB - read endpoints work without auth
price_resp = requests.get(f"https://t.co/zdJP60fRTd{token_id_yes}&side=buy")
price = float(price_resp.json()["price"])
You cannot place orders with conditionId. CLOB only understands token_id.
> Right bot architecture:
Gamma for discovery → CLOB for execution (and now all market data reads are public)
If your bot is broken = 90% of the time you’re either hitting the wrong endpoint on Gamma or using outdated assumptions about CLOB auth
Save this - it’s 100% synced with official docs
5 GitHub Repos That Cover 90% of Building Your Own Polymarket Trading Bot
Each of them closes a major piece of the stack - from market discovery to execution, logging, and performance analysis
Instead of building everything from scratch, you can take these five repos and significantly speed up your bot development
1. Trade execution - Polymarket/py-clob-client
The official Python SDK from Polymarket itself.CLOB API connection, order placement, order book fetching, WebSocket subscriptions - all in one package
Installs with a single command: pip install py-clob-client
This is the foundation of any bot - there's no getting around it
GitHub: https://t.co/EnMpyo922v
2. Market discovery and all APIs in one -HuakunShen/polymarket-kit
A fully typed SDK that covers all three Polymarket APIs at once.
GammaSDK - find markets, filter by volume, category, closing date. No auth required.DataSDK - pull positions and trade history for any wallet
WebSocketClient - subscribe to live order book updates
Works in both TypeScript and Python, OpenAPI schema included
Instead of three separate clients - one package that covers everything except trade execution
GitHub: https://t.co/yIMcP7kYFM
3. Trading logic - Polymarket/agents
The official repo with trading agent examples from the Polymarket team.
Shows how to properly connect market discovery, data analysis, and trade execution into a single workflow.
Use it as an architectural template - plug in your own strategy where the default one sits.
The best starting point if you want to build from scratch rather than copy someone else's bot.
GitHub: https://t.co/xP4IqxkgMQ
4. Position monitoring - warproxxx/poly_data
A data pipeline that collects the full trade and position history from Polymarket
Connect it to your bot to log every trade in a structured format
A ready-made data snapshot is available to download immediately - no need to wait for your own history to accumulate
Ideal for analyzing bot performance and finding patterns through AI
GitHub: https://t.co/vo52jpWoBP
5. Analytics — leolopez007/polymarket-trade-tracker
A web tool for analyzing trades from any Polymarket wallet
Paste your bot's address - get a full breakdown: PnL, win rate, Maker/Taker roles, cumulative PnL over time
Export everything to JSON - feed it to AI and let it find the weak spots in your strategy
Use it after every week of trading to understand what's working and what isn't
GitHub: https://t.co/9x6lcSZPH1
Here's how it all connects:
• polymarket-kit finds the market
• py-clob-client executes the trade
• agents holds it all together
• poly_data logs the history
• trade-tracker analyzes the result.
Five repos - the full cycle of a trading bot
5 free repositories for sentiment analysis and news trading on Polymarket
From simple solutions for beginners to more complex quantitative systems and automated strategies.
1. ent0n29/polybot
An advanced arbitrage infrastructure for Polymarket.
Uses Kafka, ClickHouse and Grafana.
Features a complete arbitrage suite and a paper trading mode.
More akin to a trading firm’s infrastructure than a standard bot.
GitHub: https://t.co/d9xw463Es0
2. echandsome/Polymarket-betting-bot
A copy trading bot focused on profitable wallets.
Supports adjustable copy ratios, encrypted keys and odds-based strategies.
Built on MongoDB and Node.js.
Instead of searching for an edge yourself, you can simply copy those who already have one.
GitHub: https://t.co/Et8seBMjw6
3. Polymarket/poly-market-maker
The official market-making bot from Polymarket itself.
Supports AMM and band strategies.
Runs via Docker Compose and is used as a reference bot for liquidity strategies.
A good option for those who want to understand how professional market-making systems work.
GitHub: https://t.co/DecEG6QuC9
4. realfishsam/prediction-market-arbitrage-bot
An arbitrage bot for Polymarket and Kalshi.
Supports dry-run mode and simultaneous order execution.
Features conservative and aggressive trading modes.
Designed to identify price inefficiencies between prediction markets.
GitHub: https://t.co/9n7odMuKgL
5. Drakkar-Software/OctoBot-Prediction-Market
A fully-fledged prediction market trading framework.
Features copy trading, self-custody and a visual dashboard for managing strategies.
Feels more like a ready-made trading terminal than just another script.
GitHub: https://t.co/2iwAfsbQNr
While some are still trading manually and on emotion, others have long since automated everything.
Today, the advantage lies not in the information itself, but in speed, systematic approach and consistency.
This HFT bot prints $14K/day almost 30 days in a row with one trade every 1.7 minutes
He trades 5 assets at once and made $417,202 last month alone
The strategy is stupid simple:
The bot scans 5-minute Up/Down windows across five crypto assets in parallel
It enters when the market prices a directional event well below fair value - anywhere from 20¢ to 96¢
And holds to resolution at 100¢
Fastest way to copy-trade him even with $10 using: https://t.co/7qw0SmTB5j
One trade every 1.7 minutes. 24 hours a day
Portfolio variance drops by 55% compared to single-asset. Same expected return
0.033% mean return per trade × 18,207 trades × continuous reinvestment = ×83 in 30 days
Profile: https://t.co/plBSIUrUHP
These 3 wallets are destroying weather markets right now
The edge is simple
Weather markets resolve from a specific airport station
There's a lag between the raw data and the market price
Specialists enter at 1-5¢ before the market catches up, and ride to $1
You don't need to learn any of this. Just copy the specialists already doing it:
BeefSlayer. $62k PnL across 1,593 predictions. Sniping 2-5¢ entries on US city temperature brackets and riding them to $1
Profile > https://t.co/o1kmElHSCd
wegotit2green. $20k PnL in 2 months. Clean chart straight up. London, Seoul, NYC, Dallas. Every position wins
Profile > https://t.co/mPju6gZWnA
dpnd. $25k PnL, 17,321 predictions. Global coverage: Seoul, Moscow, Shanghai, Chongqing, London. Enters at 1-5¢ on narrow temperature bands
Profile > https://t.co/miOPeFrL7p
Copy any of them on kreo: https://t.co/osgWasyawP