Baseball Duke

Philly Dad ⚾| Dombrowski harasser | Harper apologist
Phillies pre/post-game data breakdowns,commentary & situational analytics. Tracking Statcast metrics. ⚾📊

[Baseball Duke @PhillieDad]

Post Game
Phillies 2
Royals 5
Royals Win

Nola had an awful 1st but ended strong
1st Inning: 3H 2ER 18.00 ERA
2nd to 7th inning: 4H 1ER 7K 1.50 ERA

Bats went silent against Avila and one of the worst bullpens in MLB
Before Today:
Luinder Avila: 5..40 ERA 1.671 WHIP 5.8 BB/9
Royals Bullpen: 5.28 ERA (29th) 1.560 WHIP(30th) BAA.269

Phillies bullpen faltered again
Bullpen: 1 IP 1H 2R 2BB 1K 18.00 ERA 3.00 WHIP

Today:
Luinder Avila: 5IP 3H 1ER 4K 1.80 ERA 0.80 WHIP
Royals Bullpen: 4IP 2H 0ER 3K 0.75 WHIP

Notes:
-Nola's fastball and curve command was off in the first inning but improved later in the game.
-Bullpen performance shows we are in desperate need of bullpen arms at the trade deadline.
-An extra bat wouldn't hurt either

Tomorrow Series Finale: Sanchez vs Cameron

Stats provided by @statmuse

#Phillies #RingTheBell

[Baseball Duke @PhillieDad]

@BostonStrong_34 ABS claims another victim

[Baseball Duke @PhillieDad]

@ah_pod A 1.67 WHIP.
Yikes.

[Baseball Duke @PhillieDad]

@RobertJHuey @JeffKerrPHL Keep living in April. I
m sure it will serve you well in September.

[Baseball Duke @PhillieDad]

@DanClarkSports Why did he stop the steal when he got a good jump? How did he think that was going to go, exactly?

[Baseball Duke @PhillieDad]

Records on the day of the last game of that series (April 26th):
Braves: 20-9 .689 Win%
Phillies: 9-19 .321 Win%

Records since that game:
Braves: 32-26 .551 Win%
Phillies: 41-20 .672 Win%

To insinuate that these teams are who they were when they last played is ignorant of the last 2 months.

[Baseball Duke @PhillieDad]

@TalkinBaseball_ @JimSalisbury215 Just ask Aaron Nola.
With the amount of taters Nola has thrown this year - Harper would win it easily.

[Baseball Duke @PhillieDad]

Last 3 catcher setups for Nola - middle outside
Last 3 pitch locations:
- Center - foot under the zone
- Center - foot under the zone
- Curve that hung in the middle of the plate.

Nola's accuracy is cooked right now.

[Baseball Duke @PhillieDad]

@ah_pod If he throws a curve it hangs in the zone.
If he throws a heater it doesn't break and is grooved.
The only pitch he has is the changeup but NOTHING sets it up.

[Baseball Duke @PhillieDad]

@ah_pod If he keeps living where 2,4 and 5 are located, this game will turn into batting practice

[Baseball Duke @PhillieDad]

Game Preview

Phillies-Royals
Aaron Nola (3-5 6.04 ERA) vs
Luinder Avila (3-3 5.40 ERA)

Luinder has been very hittable this year
Avila has also been issuing free passes at a high rate.
46.2 IP 5.40 ERA 1.671 WHIP 5.8 BB/9

Nola's struggles have been well known this year
He has been giving up homers at an elevated rate.
85 IP 6.04 ERA 1.494 WHIP 10.4 H/9 2.0 HR/9

Avila doesn't have much experience against the Phillies.
Only 2 players have more than 10 at bats against Nola.
In the sample they have had a lot of success

Players to Watch
Vs Nola
Bobby Witt: 3-6 1HR 2RBI 3K 1.833 OPS
Starling Marte: 11-31 1HR 3RBI 9K .871 OPS

Last 7 Games
Alec Bohm: 7-23 .304 2HR 5RBI 1.080 OPS
Trea Turner: 9-29 .310 3HR 7RBI .966 OPS

Bottom Line
We could have a scoring frenzy today.
Nola lives and dies by fastball/cutter/sinker setting up the changeup
If these pitches miss or don't break Nola is going to get pounded.
If Nola can hold it together and the hot bats can get to Avila we can get a win.
The size of that IF makes Independence Hall look like a doll house in comparison.

Stats provided by @baseball_ref

#Phillies #RingTheBell

[Baseball Duke @PhillieDad]

@CBread04 @Phillies

[Baseball Duke @PhillieDad]

Post Game

Phillies 6
Royals 1
Phillies Win

Luzardo stays dominant on the road
Luzardo's dominance away from home continues
6IP 1ER 0BB 9K 0.66 WHIP

Schwarber continues his success against Wacha
Tonight: 2-3 1BB 1K

Alec Bohm is heating up
Tonight: 2-4 2R 1HR 1BB 1RBI
Last 7 days: .263 1HR 3RBI 4K .860 OPS

Bottom Line
- Luzardo went deep and protected the bullpen.
- Solid offensive performance. Great game overall.

Good start to the series.
Nola pitching tomorrow.
No comment.

Stats provided by @statmuse

#Phillies #RingTheBell

[Baseball Duke @PhillieDad]

Payroll - $328 million
Result - Cant field a bunt or catch a popup

[FOX Sports: MLB @MLBONFOX]

The Mets aren't able to make a play on the bunt and the Braves again have something cooking!

📺: FOX

[Baseball Duke @PhillieDad]

@mike_daddino Cohen is paying 300 million for this team to not know how to catch a pop up and let an outfield single become in the ballpark homeruns.
Brutal.

[Baseball Duke @PhillieDad]

@PhilsTailgate WACHA WACHA

[Baseball Duke @PhillieDad]

Well deserved.
What a year at the plate.

[MLB @MLB]

Brandon Marsh will start in front of the Philly faithful!

It’s the first career All-Star Game for the Phillies outfielder 🔔

[Baseball Duke @PhillieDad]

@JeffPassan For those asking - this is Michael Zagaris - the longtime Athletics photographer.

[Baseball Duke @PhillieDad]

Second least surprising news all day

[Philadelphia Phillies @Phillies]

For the first time in his career, Jhoan Duran is an All-Star! ⭐