sikandar

📚 Posting All Things Investing.
🧠 Simplifying Economics & Finance.
🏛️ Sharing My Passion For Markets.
Market Insights & More in Stories

[sikandar @phoen1x80]

🇵🇰 $PPL Pakistan Petroleum
9MFY26 was the weak link in the sector on lower realized oil price + windfall levy drag that headwind just reversed with Brent's surge. Reko Diq optionality still underpriced.
📊 Entry: 219 | SL: 210 | TP1: 265
#PSX #KSE100 #PPL #PakistanStockExchange

[sikandar @phoen1x80]

🇵🇰 $MARI — Mari Energies
Strong reserve growth story (Bannu West) but valuation already reflects a lot of the optimism. Needs an earnings beat, not just a narrative, to justify chasing here.
📊 Entry: 654 | SL: 620 | TP1: 721
#PSX #KSE100 #MARI #EnergyStocks

[sikandar @phoen1x80]

🇵🇰 $OGDC — Oil & Gas Development Co
Production just hit a 6.5-year high (40,000+ bpd) right as Brent breaks $85 on the Hormuz escalation. Direct beneficiary of the oil spike.
📊 Entry: 319 | SL: 304 | TP1: 392
#PSX #KSE100 #OGDC #OilAndGas

[sikandar @phoen1x80]

🇵🇰 $FFC — Fauji Fertilizer
Sona Urea's market leader (~38% share) sitting on cheaper Mari-field gas vs peers. Earnings due Jul 27 — walking in with global urea prices up ~30% YTD.
📊 Entry: 551 | SL: 521 | TP: 608
#PSX #KSE100 #FFC #PakistanStockExchange

[sikandar @phoen1x80]

Short on Meezan Bank
#psx
@MeezanBankLtd

[Pseudo Economist @PseudoEconomist]

"I spend more time looking at balance sheets than I do income statements. Wall Street really doesn't pay much attention to balance sheets, but I like to look at balance sheet over an 8-10 year period before I even look at the Income Statement"

Warren Buffett, Berkshire AGM, 2025

[sikandar @phoen1x80]

⚠️ EXIT ALL IF:
- KSE-100 <160k
- IMF fails
- Oil >$85

#PSX #KSE100 #SwingTrading
#pakistanecnomy
@pakstockexgltd
@PseudoEconomist
@UBLDigital @ogdclofficial
@FFCL1978

[sikandar @phoen1x80]

🇵🇰 5 EXACT PSX SWING TRADES (Apr 25, 2026)

1️⃣ MCB Bank
📍 Buy: 400-410
🛑 Stop: 369 (-10%)
🎯 Targets: 462/525/590
✅ Probability: 75%/60%/45%

2️⃣ HBL
📍 Buy: 285-300
🛑 Stop: 271 (-9%)
🎯 Targets: 335/380/450
✅ Probability: 70%/55%/40%
💰 Dividend: 6.44%

[sikandar @phoen1x80]

5️⃣ FFC
📍 Buy: 465-500
🛑 Stop: 438 (-10%)
🎯 Targets: 545/620/700
✅ Probability: 65%/50%/35%
💰 Dividend: 7.2%

📊 PORTFOLIO WIN RATE: 55%
⏰ TIMING:
- Buy Monday AM (MCB, HBL)
- Buy month-end (LUCK)
- Hold 1-3 months (Target 1)

[sikandar @phoen1x80]

⏰ TIMING:
✅ Buy banks Mondays
✅ Buy cement month-end
✅ MPC: May 5, June 16
✅ Sell Fridays (short-term)
⚠️ Exit ALL if:
IMF fails
Oil >$85
PKR crash >10%
KSE-100 <160k
Risk/Reward: 1:5
Max loss: 10%
Target: 35-50% in 12mo
#KSE100 #PSX #TradingSetup

[Pseudo Economist @PseudoEconomist]

Few X accounts covering PSX and Pakistan’s economy stand out for consistently solid analysis. Great source of learning

In case I’ve missed someone, will share in replies. Also, feel free to drop your best analysis accounts so I can follow them.

Here is the list 👇🏻

🧵

[Crime Master Gogo @CMGogoPK]

UBL has become the largest bank in Pakistan 🇵🇰 in terms of deposits.

[Pseudo Economist @PseudoEconomist]

REER stood at 105.2 as of Mar-26.

In April, MoM inflation is expected to be in the range of 2.5% to 3.0%. Since inflation among our trading partners will likely be lower than ours, the REER should increase further unless some unexpected adjustment brings it down.

[sikandar @phoen1x80]

Closing full position 😍🥲🤔🔨
#psx #ubl

[sikandar @phoen1x80]

Closing full position 😍🥲🤔🔨
#psx #ubl

[sikandar @phoen1x80]

Going Long On @UBLDigital
Take profit = $441
Stop Loss =$337
Probability 60%

[shah @shahh]

Dead projects:

Blast
Berachain
Movement
Aptos
Sei
Starknet
zkSync
Polygon zkEVM
Scroll
Aleo
Mina
Aztec
Celestia
EigenLayer
0G
Linea
Metis
Zircuit
Boba Network
Axelar
Bittensor
PIN AI
Gensyn
Story
Kinto
Midas
Injective
Rootstock
Kaia
Sonic
Cosmos
NEAR
Cardano
Tezos
EOS
Cronos
Celo
Kava
Lisk

These were all considered the future of crypto at some point ���

[sikandar @phoen1x80]

Going Long On @UBLDigital
Take profit = $441
Stop Loss =$337
Probability 60%

[sikandar @phoen1x80]

here's the thing that keeps me up at night:

when global money managers finally run this math themselves, the rotation into Pakistan is gonna be brutal

like, violently fast

and it hasn't even started yet

idk maybe I'm crazy but the setup is right there
#psx #خدمت_کے_دو_سال

[sikandar @phoen1x80]

Okay so I went down a rabbit hole on Pakistan's stock marketand I found something actually insane the expected annual return is 18.5% according to the Buffett Indicator.
Meanwhile the US market is the most overvalued it's ever been
let me show you what I found 🧵

[sikandar @phoen1x80]

for context: the US Buffett Indicator just hit 232%

literally the highest in recorded history

expected return for US stocks over the next 8 years? basically zero. maybe negative.

and everyone's just... staying in US equities anyway??