@matthew_sigel IREN AI Cloud Services revenue in Q4-2025 was 17.3 mm. Annualized its currently at 17.3*4=69.2 mm. So they are saying they will be going from 69.2 mm to 3,700 mm annualized AI Cloud revenue in the next 10 months? Yeah right not buying it ๐ฅด
@matthew_sigel $CLSK 1.03gw operating under contract + 1.7gw development pipeline = 2.73gw. 2.73*8=$21.84 Bn market cap. 21,840 mm/281 mm shares =$77.7 USD per share. Divine triple 7 ๐ would represent +342% from current price of $22.72, still early!
@benjamincowen@Sykodelic_ Ben but doesnโt alts bleeding against BTC and then against ETH align with @SecretsOfCrypto path to altseason? This path to altcoin season aligns with what we are seeing right now, as well as with Sycodelicโs view above. Curious to hear your thoughts, cheers
Here is my CLSK US exit strategy:
- At $55: sell 20% of position
- At $65: sell 30% of position
- At $75: sell 25% of position
- At $90: sell 15% of position
- At $105: sell 10% of position
How likely is it that CLSK reaches these price targets this BTC bull cycle? Curious to hear everyoneโs thoughts.
Cleanspark ($CLSK) entered the BTC mining industry in December 2020 and has quickly become the leader of its comp group due to the following differentiating factors:
1) Operational excellence
โข Among lowest production costs in the industry at approx. $42,667 per BTC, directly tied to having one of the most efficient mining fleets at 16.71 J/TH (as of May 31, 2025).
โข Among highest uptime at โผ98% achieved by their in-house equipment repair team.
โข 45.6 EH/s operating hashrate, representing โ5% of the global BTC hashrate. This means that CLSK mines, on average, โ5% of all BTC produced daily!
2) Great market timing
โข Management has proven track record of timing the market perfectly. CLSK normally shifts to a HODL strategy as BTC bull cycles begin, and selectively sells portions of its BTC stack towards the end of bull cycles to raise capital for rainy bear market days. It then uses this capital to grow aggressively in the midst of bear markets when mining asset prices are at distressed levels.
3) 100% BTC focused & vertically integrated
โข Last remaining pure-play BTC miner, with competitors shifting portions of their electric power capacity from BTC to HPC/AI.
โข CLSK recently terminated its last remaining hosting ops, and now fully owns 100% of its mining infrastructure.
4) BTC treasury war chest
โข Has amassed a huge treasury of 12,502 BTC, making it the 6th largest BTC holding entity in the world.
โข Recently launched in-house institutional grade BTC treasury desk, first of its kind in the industry. This will allow CLSK to generate yield on its BTC stack.
5) Escape velocity achieved ๐
โข On April 15, 2025 CLSK announced that it has achieved escape velocity! While the BTC mining industry is riddled with massive equity issuances to fund operations that lead to shareholder dilution, CLSKโs healthy balance sheet & massive BTC treasury will allow it to fund future operations solely by selling portions of its BTC mined as well as by raising BTC collateralized debt, putting an end to shareholder dilution!
Fundamentally, CLSK is doing everything right. Surprisingly however, it has one of the highest short interest %s among publicly traded BTC miners at โ27% of its float. This has suppressed its stock price & IMO caused significant market inefficiency, creating opportunity. For example, a recent research report published by Macquarie on March 18, 2025 had the following comp valuation analysis:
โข EV/Projected EH/s: 0.3 CLSK < 0.6 comp average โ
โข EV/Deployed EH/s: 0.4 CLSK < 1.0 comp average โ
โข EV/FY1 EBITDA: 3.0 CLSK < 6.2 comp average โ
โข EV/FY2 EBITDA: 2.8 CLSK < 4.6 comp average โ
When you find an industry leader trading at the lowest valuations in its comp group, you might have hit the jackpot & found pure alpha. And that's without factoring in how frothy EV/EH multiples can get during the mania phase of BTC bull markets, which could further magnify returns as the whole comp group re-rates. Iโll leave it at that, hope you found this insightful and let me know your thoughts! @smatthewschultz