Surgical Bet of the Day.
Collin Sexton Under 3.5 Assists
75❤️ and I’ll drop NBA Play #4
Sexton is Under in 5/5 with Josh Giddey this year averaging 1.5 assists in those 5 games
And he’s had 4 or LESS POTENTIAL ASSISTS in all 5 of his games with Giddey (pretty much 100% shooting needed)
Especially with 37 or less passes now in five straight and he’s under in 9 STRAIGHT with 37 or less passes overall
Making this super tough as he’ll almost never be the primary passer and he’s already under in 100% with Giddey on the Bulls
Best Line: -157 BetRivers
👽 I’m laddering Wemby’s blocks tonight…
👉🏼 $50 on 3+ blocks (-114)
🪜$20 on 4+ blocks (+220)
🪜$10 on 5+ blocks (+490)
Here’s why this is the perfect matchup for it…
🎨 The Pistons are a paint heavy team, taking the fourth fewest 3PA and third most restricted area FGA.
In the five games Wemby’s played vs teams top five in restricted area FGA, he’s recorded 26 total blocks…
👋🏼 3 games vs NOP: 9 blocks, 3 blocks, 4 blocks
👋🏼 1 game vs CHI: 5 blocks
👋🏼 1 game vs MIA: 5 blocks
Being so paint heavy, Detroit allow the fourth most blocks vs them per game (5.7/g) and have let 19 players record 3+ blocks against them this season.
🔒 Wemby has been locked in on D lately.
Wemby has recorded 3+ blocks in eight of his last 12 games with 4+ in six of those and 5+ in four of them.
He’s contesting 9.7 FGA per game in that stretch, the 4th most in the NBA.
📍 Detroit don’t have the shooters to stretch Wemby out of the paint.
He’ll be able to guard Duren, Stewart, Ausar or Holland the whole game.
None of those guys can shoot, meaning Wemby will just sag off them and set up shop at the rim.
🤏🏼 Finally, this should be a close with just a 1 point spread meaning Wemby should get plenty of minutes.
The Patriots lost Tom Brady, became one of the worst teams in the league, drafted a QB, traded him after 3 years, drafted another QB, and got back to the Super Bowl all before Josh Allen could get to one