foundational model companies always looking for ways to get people to spend more $.
it would be like if Exxon was publishing a bunch of tips for how to keep your car running all day.
This is it.
OpenAI is now considering drastic price cuts to win users from Anthropic, who will likely cut right back. Two companies losing billions, about to compete each other's margins to zero.
Buffett's worst kind of business: one that grows rapidly, devours capital, and earns nothing. He meant airlines. The most important industry of its age, where the customer wins and the shareholder bleeds.
Revolutionary technology and a good investment have never been the same thing.
The internet was real too. Most of the companies building it still went to zero.
TLDR:
1. Declare AI too dangerous for ordinary competition so you propose a regulatory regime where only the largest incumbents can survive
2. Warn about labor displacement while selling the product to executives as a labor-displacement tool
3. Warn about state overreach while asking the state to license and gatekeep frontier models
4. Warn about corporate power while sketching a corporate-state cartel over compute, release, security, export controls, and deployment
My bullish/bearish take on bitcoin is that we shouldn’t blame any entity for buying too much of it, because if bitcoin can be killed by an entity buying it, then it wasn’t meant to be.
If all it takes to kill bitcoin is a bullish entity that likes it enough to buy, then go home.
the year is 2028. claude infers whether you’ve ever even thought about gradient descent and silently routes your queries to Claude Sisyphus, a model RL’d to maximize engagement while avoiding task completion. you spend your entire UBI token allotment on it without ever realizing.
i read through dario's blog post, anthropic's blog post, and their 19 page "advanced ai framework" so you don't have to.
regulatory capture. they are going for regulatory capture.
if i had to guess:
* raise money through their ipo
* use the money to push their regulatory capture agenda
* force lock in on enterprise customers (this is coming)
* build kill switches into competitor models
* etc.
the main thing they wanna control is automated r&d, which is why they conveniently bury it at the very end of all their fear mongering as the fourth pillar of fear or existential threat or whatever
Today I'm publishing a new essay, Policy on the AI Exponential. AI is progressing extremely fast—much faster than the policy process was built to handle. The essay lays out where I think the technology is now, and the action needed to close the gap: https://t.co/Lh6PWae178